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  1. #1
    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    'Across the globe, 1 million square kilometres more sea ice than 35 years ago

    CFACT

    'Across the globe, there are about one million square kilometres more sea ice than 35 years ago, which is when satellite measurements began.
    It’s fair to say that this has been something of an embarrassment for climate modellers. But it doesn’t stop there.'
    Are global warming campaigners massaging temperature data to hide the failure of computer models?
    ... Share the facts at the Daily Mail and at Climate Depot: http://www.climatedepot.com/
    'In recent days a new scandal over the integrity of temperature data has emerged, this time in America, where it has been revealed as much as 40 per cent of temperature data there are not real thermometer readings.
    Many temperature stations have closed, but rather than stop recording data from these posts, the authorities have taken the remarkable step of ‘estimating’ temperatures based on the records of surrounding stations.
    So vast swathes of the data are actually from ‘zombie’ stations that have long since disappeared. This is bad enough, but it has also been discovered that the US’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is using estimates even when perfectly good raw data is available to it – and that it has adjusted historical records.
    Why should it do this? Many have noted that the effect of all these changes is to produce a warmer present and a colder past, with the net result being the impression of much faster warming.
    They draw their conclusions accordingly.'



    It's politics not science that is driving the climate change mania

    Despite the best efforts of the UN Panel on Climate Change their computer models...

    dailymail.co.uk

    It's politics, not science, driving climate mania: Why are environmentalists and scientists so reluctant to discuss long-term increases in southern hemisphere sea ice?


    • UN computer predictions subject of ridicule: not got it right for 18 years
    • Across the globe, there are about 1m sq km more sea ice than 35 years ago
    • Authorities are now guessing global temperatures based on nearby weather stations

    By Andrew Mountford, Climate Change Author
    Published: 16:01 EST, 5 July 2014 | Updated: 18:54 EST, 5 July 2014
    3,199 shares

    For years, computer simulations have predicted that sea ice should be disappearing from the Poles.
    Now, with the news that Antarctic sea-ice levels have hit new highs, comes yet another mishap to tarnish the credibility of climate science.
    Climatologists base their doom-laden predictions of the Earth’s climate on computer simulations.
    But these have long been the subject of ridicule because of their stunning failure to predict the pause in warming – nearly 18 years long on some measures – since the turn of the last century.



    An adult chinstrap penguin jumps out of the sea at Port Lockroy, Antarctica

    It’s the same with sea ice. We hear a great deal about the decline in Arctic sea ice, in line with or even ahead of predictions.
    But why are environmentalists and scientists so much less keen to discuss the long-term increase in the southern hemisphere?

    In fact, across the globe, there are about one million square kilometres more sea ice than 35 years ago, which is when satellite measurements began.

    It’s fair to say that this has been something of an embarrassment for climate modellers. But it doesn’t stop there.
    In recent days a new scandal over the integrity of temperature data has emerged, this time in America, where it has been revealed as much as 40 per cent of temperature data there are not real thermometer readings.
    Many temperature stations have closed, but rather than stop recording data from these posts, the authorities have taken the remarkable step of ‘estimating’ temperatures based on the records of surrounding stations.


    A Crabeater seal on an iceberg in Paradise Bay, Antarctica. Crabeater seals are the most common large mammal on the planet after humans, with an estimated population of 15 million

    So vast swathes of the data are actually from ‘zombie’ stations that have long since disappeared. This is bad enough, but it has also been discovered that the US’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is using estimates even when perfectly good raw data is available to it – and that it has adjusted historical records.
    Why should it do this? Many have noted that the effect of all these changes is to produce a warmer present and a colder past, with the net result being the impression of much faster warming.
    They draw their conclusions accordingly.
    Naturally, if the US temperature records are indeed found to have been manipulated, this is unlikely to greatly affect our overall picture of rising temperatures at the end of the last century and a standstill thereafter.
    The US is, after all, only a small proportion of the globe.
    Similarly, climatologists’ difficulties with the sea ice may be of little scientific significance in the greater scheme of things.
    We have only a few decades of data, and in climate terms this is probably too short to demonstrate that either the Antarctic increase or the Arctic decrease is anything other than natural variability.
    But the relentless focus by activist scientists on the Arctic decline does suggest a political imperative rather than a scientific one – and when put together with the story of the US temperature records, it’s hard to avoid the impression that what the public is being told is less than the unvarnished truth.
    As their credulity is stretched more and more, the public will – quite rightly – treat demands for action with increasing caution…


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    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...g-failure.html
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  2. #2
    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    Global warming computer models confounded as Antarctic sea ice hits new record high with 2.1million square miles more than is usual for time of year


    • Ice is covering 16m sq km, more than 2.1m unusual for time of year
    • UN computer models say Antarctic ice should be in decline, not increasing



    By David Rose
    Published: 16:01 EST, 5 July 2014 | Updated: 02:02 EST, 7 July 2014
    2,881 shares
    706
    View
    comments

    The levels of Antarctic sea-ice last week hit an all-time high – confounding climate change computer models which say it should be in decline.
    America’s National Snow And Ice Data Center, which is funded by Nasa, revealed that ice around the southern continent covers about 16million sq km, more than 2.1 million more than is usual for the time of year.
    It is by far the highest level since satellite observations on which the figures depend began in 1979.
    In statistical terms, the extent of the ice cover is hugely significant.

    Scroll down for video - Video at the page Link


    The Gerlache Strait separating the Palmer Archipelago from the Antarctic Peninsular off Anvers Island

    It represents the latest stage in a trend that started ten years ago, and means that an area the size of Greenland, which would normally be open water, is now frozen.

    The Antarctic surge is so big that overall, although Arctic ice has decreased, the frozen area around both poles is one million square kilometres more than the long-term average.

    In its authoritative Fifth Assessment Report released last year, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change admitted that the computer models on which scientists base their projections say Antarctic ice should be in decline, not increasing.
    The report said: ‘There is low confidence in the scientific understanding of the observed increase in Antarctic sea ice extent since 1979, due to… incomplete and competing scientific explanations for the causes of change.’


    An adult chinstrap penguin jumps out of the sea at Port Lockroy, Antarctica


    A Crabeater seal on an iceberg in Paradise Bay, Antarctica. Crabeater seals are the most common large mammal on the planet after humans, with an estimated population of 15 million

    NASA animation shows Antarctic ice sheet melting



    Some scientists have suggested the Antarctic ice increase may itself be caused by global warming. But Professor Judith Curry, head of climate science at the Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta, said the arguments were not convincing.
    She added: ‘We do not have a quantitative, predictive understanding of the rise in Antarctic sea ice extent.’

    She said it was becoming increasingly apparent that long-term cycles in ocean temperatures were responsible for a significant proportion of the ice decline in the Arctic – a process that may be starting to reverse.
    Prof Curry also revealed that because of the ‘pause’, in which world average temperatures have not risen for more than 16 years, the Arctic ice decline has been ‘touted’ by many as the most important evidence for continued global warming.

    But in her view, climate scientists have to consider evidence from both Poles.
    She added: ‘Convincing arguments regarding the causes of sea-ice variations require understanding and ability to model both the Arctic and Antarctic.’



    The Gerlache Strait separating the Palmer Archipelago from the Antarctic Peninsular off Anvers Island

    IT'S POLITICS, NOT SCIENCE, DRIVING CLIMATE CHANGE MANIA

    For years, computer simulations have predicted that sea ice should be disappearing from the Poles.
    Now, with the news that Antarctic sea-ice levels have hit new highs, comes yet another mishap to tarnish the credibility of climate science.
    Climatologists base their doom-laden predictions of the Earth’s climate on computer simulations.

    But these have long been the subject of ridicule because of their stunning failure to predict the pause in warming – nearly 18 years long on some measures – since the turn of the last century.
    It’s the same with sea ice. We hear a great deal about the decline in Arctic sea ice, in line with or even ahead of predictions.
    But why are environmentalists and scientists so much less keen to discuss the long-term increase in the southern hemisphere?
    In fact, across the globe, there are about one million square kilometres more sea ice than 35 years ago, which is when satellite measurements began.
    It’s fair to say that this has been something of an embarrassment for climate modellers. But it doesn’t stop there.
    In recent days a new scandal over the integrity of temperature data has emerged, this time in America, where it has been revealed as much as 40 per cent of temperature data there are not real thermometer readings.
    Many temperature stations have closed, but rather than stop recording data from these posts, the authorities have taken the remarkable step of ‘estimating’ temperatures based on the records of surrounding stations.
    So vast swathes of the data are actually from ‘zombie’ stations that have long since disappeared.
    This is bad enough, but it has also been discovered that the US’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is using estimates even when perfectly good raw data is available to it – and that it has adjusted historical records.
    Why should it do this?
    Many have noted that the effect of all these changes is to produce a warmer present and a colder past, with the net result being the impression of much faster warming. They draw their conclusions accordingly.
    Naturally, if the US temperature records are indeed found to have been manipulated, this is unlikely to greatly affect our overall picture of rising temperatures at the end of the last century and a standstill thereafter.
    The US is, after all, only a small proportion of the globe.
    Similarly, climatologists’ difficulties with the sea ice may be of little scientific significance in the greater scheme of things.
    We have only a few decades of data, and in climate terms this is probably too short to demonstrate that either the Antarctic increase or the Arctic decrease is anything other than natural variability.
    But the relentless focus by activist scientists on the Arctic decline does suggest a political imperative rather than a scientific one – and when put together with the story of the US temperature records, it’s hard to avoid the impression that what the public is being told is less than the unvarnished truth.
    As their credulity is stretched more and more, the public will – quite rightly – treat demands for action with increasing caution…
    Andrew Mountford


    Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook


    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...cord-high.html
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  3. #3
    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    Opinion 6/25/2014 @ 11:07AM 127,285 views

    Government Data Show U.S. in Decade-Long Cooling


    The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s most accurate, up-to-date temperature data confirm the United States has been cooling for at least the past decade. The NOAA temperature data are driving a stake through the heart of alarmists claiming accelerating global warming.
    Responding to widespread criticism that its temperature station readings were corrupted by poor siting issues and suspect adjustments, NOAA established a network of 114 pristinely sited temperature stations spread out fairly uniformly throughout the United States. Because the network, known as the U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN), is so uniformly and pristinely situated, the temperature data require no adjustments to provide an accurate nationwide temperature record. USCRN began compiling temperature data in January 2005. Now, nearly a decade later, NOAA has finally made the USCRN temperature readings available.
    According to the USCRN temperature readings, U.S. temperatures are not rising at all – at least not since the network became operational 10 years ago. Instead, the United States has cooled by approximately 0.4 degrees Celsius, which is more than half of the claimed global warming of the twentieth century.
    Of course, 10 years is hardly enough to establish a long-term trend. Nevertheless, the 10-year cooling period does present some interesting facts.


    Source: National Climatic Data Center, NOAA

    First, global warming is not so dramatic and uniform as alarmists claim. For example, prominent alarmist James Hansen claimed in 2010, “Global warming on decadal time scales is continuing without letup … effectively illustrat[ing] the monotonic and substantial warming that is occurring on decadal time scales.” The word “monotonic” means, according to Merriam-Webster Online, “having the property either of never increasing or of never decreasing as the values of the independent variable or the subscripts of the terms increase.” Well, either temperatures are decreasing by 0.4 degrees Celsius every decade or they are not monotonic.
    Second, for those who may point out U.S. temperatures do not equate to global temperatures, the USCRN data are entirely consistent with – and indeed lend additional evidentiary support for – the global warming stagnation of the past 17-plus years. While objective temperature data show there has been no global warming since sometime last century, the USCRN data confirm this ongoing stagnation in the United States, also.
    Third, the USCRN data debunk claims that rising U.S. temperatures caused wildfires, droughts, or other extreme weather events during the past year. The objective data show droughts, wildfires, and other extreme weather events have become less frequent and severe in recent decades as our planet modestly warms. But even ignoring such objective data, it is difficult to claim global warming is causing recent U.S. droughts and wildfires when U.S. temperatures are a full 0.4 degrees Celsius colder than they were in 2005.
    Even more importantly than the facts above, the USCRN provides the promise of reliable nationwide temperature data for years to come. No longer will global warming alarmists be able to hide behind thinly veiled excuses to doctor the U.S. temperature record. Now, thanks to the USCRN, the data are what the data are.
    Expect global warming alarmists, now and for the foreseeable future, to howl in desperation claiming the USCRN temperature data are irrelevant.
    Of course, to global warming alarmists, all real-world data are irrelevant.

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestay...-long-cooling/
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