November 12th, 2009
OH Sen Poll: Portman Edges Dems

As President Obama's approval rating goes net negative in Ohio for the first time, the latest Quinnipiac poll also shows former Rep. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) leading his two potential Democratic opponents in the U.S. Senate race for the first time (Nov. 5-9, 1123 RV, MoE +/- 2.9%).

"The Democratic wave that swept through Ohio in 2006 and 2008 may be cresting," said Quinnipiac assistant director Peter Brown. "The Democratic lead in the Governor's and Senate races has evaporated and for the first time President Barack Obama is under water in the most important swing state in the country."

More than half of voters remain undecided in the Democratic primary, where most outside observers expect Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher to defeat Sec. of State Jennifer Brunner. However, Brunner closed on Fisher this month, making a 7-point deficit now just 2 points.

General Election
Portman 39 (+8 vs. last poll, Sept. 16)
Fisher 36 (-6)
Und 24 (-2)

Fisher leads by 1.0 points in the RCP Average

Portman 38 (+4 vs. last poll, Sept. 16)
Brunner 34 (-5)
Und 27 (+2)

Portman leads by 0.7 of a point in the RCP Average

GOP Primary
Portman 26 (-1 vs. last poll, Sept. 16)
Ganley 7 (-2)
Und 64 (+3)

Dem Primary
Fisher 24 (-2 vs. last poll, Sept. 16)
Brunner 22 (+5)
Und 51 (-4)

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com ... dges-dems/