Thread: GOP Senate Incumbents: GOOD NEWS & BAD

As we sit on the precipice of the election, here is recent polling information on GOP incumbent Senate races along with their grades from NumbersUSA:

GOOD NEWS: GOP INCUMBENTS GENERALLY SUPPORTIVE CURRENTLY LEADING:

-Lamar Alexander (Tennessee) last poll up +22 (career grade B, recent B)

-John Barrasso (Wyoming) last poll up +21 (career grade A, recent A)

-Saxby Chambliss (Georgia) last two polls show him up by +5 and (only) +1 (career grade A, recent A)

-Thad Cochran (Mississippi) last poll up +27 (career grade C+, recent B)

-John Cornyn (Texas) last poll up +9 (career grade B, recent B+)

-Michael Enzi (Wyoming) last poll up +27 (career grade A - , recent A-)

-James Inhofe (Oklahoma) last poll up +12 (career grade A, recent A +)

-Mitch McConnell (Kentucky) last poll +8 (career C, recent B-)

-Pat Roberts (Kansas), last poll up +27 (career grade A+, recent A)

-Jeff Sessions (Alabama), last poll up +33 (we all know about him )

-Roger Wicker (Mississippi) last poll up +7 (career A-, recent B+)

NOT GOOD NEWS AT THIS TIME; ENDANGERED GOP INCUMBENTS GENERALLY SUPPORTIVE NOT CURRENTLY LEADING:

-Elizabeth Dole (North Carolina) last poll down -5 (career grade A, recent A)
*Support her

-John Sununu (New Hampshire) last poll down -6 (career grade A-, recent A-) *Support him

NOT SO GOOD NEWS: GOP INCUMBENTS GENERALLY UNSUPPORTIVE CURRENTLY LEADING:

-Susan Collins (Maine) last poll up +16 (career grade C-, recent D+)

-Lindsey Graham (South Carolina) last poll up +19 (career grade C, recent D)

OTHER:

-Norm Coleman (Minnesota) last poll down -4 (career and recent grades of
C)

-Gordon Smith (Oregon) last poll down -3 (career and recent grades of C+)

-Ted Stevens (Alaska) last poll down -22 (career and recent grades of C-)

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*I've just listed the Senate races for GOP incumbents. Feel free to comment or add info about other Republicans, the Democrats, and/or races for open Senate seats (e.g., Idaho where GOP candidate Jim Risch is up + 23 in the most recent poll).

Sources:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... gress.html

NumbersUSA

Bad news for Illinois.

Durbin, the incumbent (career F, recent F) is heavily favored to retain his Senate seat. Sauerberg is running against him. I will be voting for Sauerberg.

Most recent poll shows Durbin up +25. That is bad news. I know Durbin keeps pushing the misnamed "Dream" Act amnesty.

Oh Lord let the Norm Coleman number be wrong. Can you image Al Franken being a senator. This guy lies in his sleep.

Originally Posted by Gogo

Oh Lord let the Norm Coleman number be wrong. Can you image Al Franken being a senator. This guy lies in his sleep.

Since I posted this last night, another poll was released that shows Coleman up +5, plus the RCP average shows him up +2.8. So if this holds and these polls are accurate, Coleman may be able to squeak through.

BTW, I'm not a big fan of his, but he would likely be better than Al Franken and it would mean one less Dem Senator. So I hope Coleman wins.

Thanks for the update Populist...I don't think one rotten Democrat is going to lose a seat

Originally Posted by SOSADFORUS

Thanks for the update Populist...I don't think one rotten Democrat is going to lose a seat

You're welcome Sosad. I believe Mary Landrieu (Louisiana; career and recent grades of C+ from Numbers -- not bad for a Democrat) was the only Democrat Senate incumbent who was possibly in any trouble, but even she is now up by +19 in the most recent poll.

Possibly decent news for Elizabeth Dole. We'll see. A poll just released from Mason-Dixon, shows her up +1, although RCP average still has Hagan up +3.3. This race is rated as a "Toss Up."

Thanks Populist. Our prayer group is praying at the top of the hour every hour.

Have you seen anything on Barletta and Chaffetz?

Originally Posted by Gogo

Thanks Populist. Our prayer group is praying at the top of the hour every hour.

Have you seen anything on Barletta and Chaffetz?

Just found this on Lou Barletta (11/3):

"The latest poll comes from SurveyUSA on behalf of Roll Call (subscription only), and finds Kanjorski trailing Republican Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta by 6 points, 51 percent to 45 percent.

Echoing other political forecasts, Roll Call says Kanjorski "could be the most vulnerable House Democrat in the country."

The results of the survey closely mirror other polling that has shown Kanjorski closing the gap on Barletta but still trailing. A Franklin & Marshall College poll last month had Barletta leading by 5 points in the 11th Congressional District."

http://www.politickerpa.com/danh/2483/r ... ection-day

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And this on Jason Chaffetz (11/2):

"And Chaffetz, who took out 10-year incumbent Rep. Chris Cannon, R-Utah, in the GOP June primary, leads Democrat Bennion Spencer, 58-24 percent. Chaffetz is probably not as well-known as a longtime incumbent would be. Still, only 12 percent of registered voters are undecided in that race."

http://deseretnews.com/article/1,5143,705259785,00.html