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Thread: Senator Barbara Boxer won't seek re-election in 2016

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  1. #21
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
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    January 08, 2015, 06:46 pm

    California: The $1BILLION Senate race?

    By Cameron Joseph




    Sen. Barbara Boxer’s (D-Calif.) retirement is setting off a chaotic scramble to replace her — and could lead to a crowded, outrageously expensive race.

    Boxer is one of a number of California Democrats who have reigned over the state for decades, leading to a lot of pent-up political ambition for younger members of her party. With her gone, that energy is about to explode.


    “It will be a very expensive race and it will be a crowded field,” former Rep. George Miller (D-Calif.), a close friend of Boxer’s, told The Hill. “There will be a lot of really talented people who will be vying for this seat.”
    Democrats are buzzing about both California Attorney General Kamala Harris (D) and California Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom (D), two rising stars, as early front-runners should they jump in. Billionaire environmentalist Tom Steyer is also signaling interest in a campaign.

    Whoever takes the plunge will need lots of cash.

    California has long been one of the most expensive states in the nation to campaign due to its huge population and multiple media markets, and political campaigns’ prices have risen exponentially in recent years with the advent of super-PACs.


    On top of that, California’s new “jungle” primary system — where the top two candidates advance regardless of party — has proven to be a money suck in other races, as everyone has to spend heavily to try to make it through both rounds.


    Strategists are predicting the race will be the most expensive in history, with some mentioning $1 billion in total spending as within the realm of possibility, depending on who runs.


    “That's one thing the new primary system has brought us — an incredible extra expenditure of money, which is unfortunate,” said Miller.


    That could also yield some surprises. A pair of Democrats could advance to the fall election if no Republicans mount a serious bid, scrambling campaign strategy; a primary race to the left could quickly flip to a focus on independents for both candidates.


    In addition to Harris, Newsom and Steyer former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D) may be in the mix, along with California Secretary of State Alex Padilla (D). And Golden State Democrats say L.A. County supervisor Hilda Solis (D) and Reps. John Garamendi, Loretta Sanchez, Raul Ruiz, Adam Schiff and Jackie Speier have all hinted they may look at a statewide bid.


    Harris and Newsom each have higher aspirations, say Democrats, but are unlikely to both run. They share a common fundraising and political base in northern California, as well as a top consultant — longtime Democratic guru Ace Smith — and have made public signals that they won’t take each other on.


    “I do not think Newsom would run against Harris and vice versa. I think they'll sit down and discuss how not to.

    They have great admiration for each other politically and they'll work it out,” said Joe Cotchett, a top northern California Democratic donor who described both as friends.


    Harris recently swore in Newsom to a new term, a public sign that there is “peace in the valley,” as one senior California Democrat put it. A number of Democrats predicted that Harris will likely have the right of first refusal and will choose between the Senate race and waiting for a gubernatorial run in 2018.


    If she decides to run for the Senate she’ll likely scare off more opponents because of her profile as a female, African-American hero of the liberal base.


    Observers say Newsom may face a more crowded field.


    “I think there's a likelihood the lieutenant governor will run, Gavin Newsom. I think there's a high likelihood that Antonio Villaraigosa ... may run. I hear there are a couple of House members who may run,” Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) told reporters on Thursday. “And it's a different thing because have this open primary system. ... My last race was the first one along those lines. It's a bit hard to predict how people do in that kind of a race.”


    Steyer is a big question mark. The billionaire, who spent more than $70 million in last year’s midterm elections supporting “green” candidates, could self-fund in a huge way and alter the trajectory of the race. He put out a statement praising Boxer soon after her retirement announcement, a sign he’s keeping a close eye on the race’s developments, and a Steyer ally predicted he will "take a look at it and consider it over the next few days or so." But Democrats speculated he wouldn’t run — and pointed out that most self-funding candidates have flamed out in California in recent years.


    Whether Harris or Newsom takes the plunge, strategists expect a Los Angeles-area Democrat to jump in and carry the torch for southern California. Villaraigosa, a former L.A. mayor and Democratic National Committee vice chairman, is the biggest name in that group, and recently moved back to California to reengage in politics there.

    Sources close to the former mayor say he hasn’t ruled out a Senate bid, but that he’s much more interested in being governor. Who else jumps in may play a deciding role in what Villaraigosa does.


    “He indicated to me the other day he was more interested in governor. But you know how he is, he changes daily,” said one source close to Villaraigosa.


    The other Democratic candidates eyeing a bid don’t have the same type of statewide name recognition and may wait to see what the heavier hitters decide to do before making their own decisions. Garamendi said in a statement he will weigh a bid, while Speier refused to say if she’s considering a campaign in a brief interview with The Hill.


    While the Democratic field is just starting to develop, the GOP’s short bench is already winnowing, and Republicans privately admit it’s unlikely they’ll be able to compete for the seat even with a top recruit.


    “I don't know of anyone serious who'd want to take on that thankless job. The real story is going to be the Democratic primary,” said one California GOP strategist.

    Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice’s spokeswoman told The Hill she’s definitely not interested in a race, while sources close to Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) also said there’s no way he’ll run.

    The cost of the race also means that a self-funding candidate would be preferable for the party, though it’s unclear who that might be. Republicans also mention San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, self-funding 2014 gubernatorial nominee Neel Kashkari and 2010 self-funding candidate Steve Poizner as potential candidates, though neither has signaled any interest in a bid.


    One potential name not mentioned by strategists: former Rep. Mary Bono (R-Calif.), who lost her reelection bid in 2012. Bono sent a cryptic tweet on the race Thursday evening saying her party needs “a strong candidate” for the race, though a friend of hers said that she was worn thin on congressional politics and said it would "take an awful lot" to convince her to run.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio...124_story.html

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  2. #22
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
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  3. #23
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
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    NO AMNESTY

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  4. #24
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
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    I just got the first of my California election pamphlets and there are 35 candidates listed for this office.

    12 Republicans
    8 Democrats
    11 No party preference
    2 Libertarian
    1 Peace and freedom
    1 Green

    Some of them didn't even submit a photo.
    Some gave no info about themselves or their platform.
    Most gave an address and phone number
    and/or an email address or web site.
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  5. #25
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
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    How California's U.S. Senate ballot could cause problems for the June 7 primary



    Sample ballot for the June 7 California Senate primary.
    (Los Angeles County)




    John Myers Contact Reporter


    If elections officials could send just one message to California's 17.2 million registered voters about the U.S. Senate primary in June, it would probably be this: Read the instructions carefully.

    "It's not necessarily intuitive on how to properly mark this ballot," said Kammi Foote, registrar of voters for Inyo County. And a mistake could keep a ballot from counting.


    On primary day, the race to replace retiring Sen. Barbara Boxer will feature 34 candidates. Only four of those candidates have received appreciable support in public polling so far, and five will appear at the first Senate debate Monday night.


    But the full field is larger than any single roster of statewide contenders since the colossal list of 135 candidates who ran in the 2003 special election that recalled then-Gov. Gray Davis. (To make the ballot, candidates must pay about $3,500 or collect 10,000 signatures.)


    The glut of candidates presents serious challenges in designing a ballot that makes sense to voters while also adhering to California election laws.

    In some ways, the Senate election is so far beyond the capacity of the system that it’s requiring a unique set of solutions. "You're not just trying to fit a square peg in a round hole, you're trying to fit a skyscraper in a round hole," said Orange County Registrar of Voters Neal Kelley.

    In most races, with a handful of candidates, names appear in a single column on one page of the voting booklet, a clear sign to voters that they should only pick one. But with 34 candidates, the geography of ballot templates tends to favor listing the names in two, side-by-side columns, on facing pages of the voting booklet.


    That's where the trouble lies for the Senate race, as voters could mistake the two columns as two distinct races and choose one name from each list. That would result in an "overvote," a ballot cast for two or more candidates, which is thus disqualified.


    The two-column layout gained notoriety in the 2000 presidential race with the so-called "butterfly ballot" design in Palm Beach County, Fla. Already, some have similar fears about what could happen in California.


    In early April, a team of ballot design experts joined elections officials in Santa Cruz County to test a variety of side-by-side options for arranging the Senate candidates' names. In trial runs, they found that no matter how they tinkered with the format, more than one-third of the mock ballots were marked with an overvote.

    "That's devastatingly high," said Whitney Quesenbery of the Center for Civic Design, a New Jersey-based educational organization that set up the test.


    Some counties have been able to fit all 34 names in a single column on the June ballot, making clear that those candidates are competing against one another. California holds a "top-two" primary that sends only the top two vote-getters, regardless of party, to the Nov. 8 general election ballot.

    The single-column design pushes the Senate race to the second page of the ballot, leaving only presidential candidates on the first page. For voters unaffiliated with a political party and voting on an "independent" ballot, and therefore not allowed to vote in the Democratic or Republican presidential primary, the first page would be blank. Some worry that those voters could mistakenly fail to turn the page to see the rest of the ballot.


    Other counties will try to make the two-column layout work.


    "I don't think anybody spent as much time looking at it as we are now," said John Tuteur, Napa County's registrar of voters. In 2012, the county found that a two-column layout for a single race resulted in at least a tenfold increase in mistaken "overvotes."


    This time, Napa's ballot will have two columns but a single set of instructions that stretches across the entire layout that reads: "There are 34 candidates for U.S. Senator. You can only choose 1."

    Because counties use a variety of voting machines manufactured by private vendors, there is no universal fix.


    Los Angeles County's electronic voting machines will require two entire pages of Senate candidates. The first page will include a large red warning icon with instructions to vote for only one candidate.


    California elections officials warn of 'surge' for June 7 primary

    How counties will pay for additional costs related to the supersized Senate ballot remains to be seen. Legislators meet next week to consider an additional $16.2 million in special funds for the June election, an effort launched earlier this month by Secretary of State Alex Padilla.

    In Napa County, Tuteur estimated the long list of Senate candidates -- which, by law, must be randomized on each ballot -- will mean some 90,000 test ballots need to be printed for a county with fewer than 69,000 registered voters.


    "There's an additional cost to us," he said.


    The only real solution may be a voter education blitz to match the size of the field of Senate candidates. Elections officials plan to intensify their efforts when sample ballots are mailed out, beginning this week. Several county registrars said they would ask poll workers, too, to offer extra guidance on election day.


    Quesenbery, who has worked on designing ballots for elections in several states, said the voters most at risk of error are those who are the most reliable -- those who assume they know what to do without taking the time to follow the new instructions.


    "The problem is, there's so much habit about how you vote," she said.

    http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-p...425-story.html

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  6. #26
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
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    www.NumbersUSA.com

    COMPARING THE CANDIDATES:

    Which candidates in California's U.S. Senate race would protect workers from unfair foreign worker competition?


    The grid below shows a comparison of the candidates on a variety of immigration issues. The primary is on June 7.


    THE SYMBOLS ON THE GRID: A GREEN circle means a stance in favor of MORE protection of American workers. A stance for LESS protection gets an ORANGE circle. A dash means we can't find strong enough evidence of a stance to provide a rating.


    Congressional
    Primary Election:


    JUN
    07
    = Incumbent
    Duf
    Sundheim

    (GOP)
    Ron
    Unz

    (GOP)
    Oppose Amnesty
    Implement Interior Enforcement
    Mandate E-Verify
    Assist Local Police
    Defund Sanctuary Cities
    Fund Entry/Exit System
    Secure the Border
    End Birthright Citizenship
    End Visa Lottery
    End Chain Migration
    Limit Unnecessary Worker Visas
    Reduce Total Immigration

    https://www.numbersusa.com/candidate-comparison/election/2016/congressional/senate/ca.
    NO AMNESTY

    Don't reward the criminal actions of millions of illegal aliens by giving them citizenship.


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  7. #27
    MW
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    Senior Member MW's Avatar
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    GOP Ron Unz

    AMNESTY: "I'm absolutely opposed to offering any amnesty to illegal immigrants except as part of a broader package that would completely shutdown all future illegal immigration and also permanently cut legal immigration by more than 50%."

    INTERIOR ENFORCEMENT:
    "I strongly support enforcing existing laws and especially turning off the jobs magnet as the most effective means fo encouraging illegal immigrants to return home."


    E-VERIFY:
    "I'd support requiring broader implementation of the E-Verify system and other methods of screening out users of stolen or fraudulent identity documents given that illegal immigration remains a significant problem while the rate of eligible workers being incorrectly denied authorization by this system appears to be extremely low."


    LOCAL ENFORCEMENT:
    "I support requiring the federal government to cooperate with law enforcement in picking up illegal immigrants convicted of felonies and other serious crimes."


    SANCTUARY CITIES:
    I support having Congress reduce funding to states and local governments that adopt policies that shield illegal immigrants convicted of felonies and other serious crimes from deportation."


    ENTRY-EXIT:
    "I support full funding and completion of US-VISIT, as previously enacted by Congress"


    BORDER SECURITY:
    "I support full Congressional funding and oversight for the full implementation of border measures already signed into law."


    CHAIN MIGRATION:
    "I advocate a permanent reduction of 50% or more in legal immigration levels, and eliminating "chain migration" should probably be an important aspect of this."


    VISA LOTTERY:
    "I support immediate elimination of the Visa Lottery."


    UNNECESSARY WORK VISAS:
    "I totally oppose the importation of foreign workers threatening the jobs and wages of American workers. In particular, I strongly support a complete reform of the massive abuses in the H-1B visa system, which is currently used to replace American tech workers with lower-cost foreigners and drive down wages of middle-class Americans."


    OVERALL IMMIGRATION:
    "I strongly support a large reduction in total immigration, including a complete shutdown of illegal immigration and a permanent reduction of total immigration numbers by 60%-70%. This is by far the most important element to be included in any immigration legislation, should be the central goal of the negotiating process."


    https://www.numbersusa.com/candidate...senate/ron-unz

    While not perfect, unfortunately he is probably the best we can hope for. I'd be surprised to see a Republican seriously compete for Boxer's seat.

    "The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing" ** Edmund Burke**

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  8. #28
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
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    US Senate

    Kamala D. Harris (D)

    40.3%

    Loretta L. Sanchez (D)

    18.5%

    Duf Sundheim R 8.0%


    Phil Wyman R 4.9%


    Thomas G. Del Beccaro R 4.2%


    Greg Conlon R 3.2%


    Steve Stokes D 2.1%


    George C. Yang R 1.5%


    Karen Roseberry R 1.5%


    Tom Palzer R 1.3%


    Gail K. Lightfoot L 1.3%


    Ron Unz R 1.3%


    Massie Munroe D 1.2%


    Pamela Elizondo GRN 1.2%


    Don Krampe R 1.0%


    Jarrell Williamson R 0.9%


    Eleanor García I 0.8%


    Von Hougo R 0.8%


    President Cristina Grappo D 0.8%


    Jerry J. Laws R 0.8%


    Mark Matthew Herd L 0.5%


    Ling Ling Shi I 0.5%


    John Thompson Parker P 0.4%


    Herbert G. Peters D 0.4%


    Emory Rodgers D 0.4%


    Mike Beitiks I 0.4%


    Clive Grey I 0.4%


    Jason Hanania I 0.4%


    Paul Merritt I 0.3%


    Jason Kraus I 0.3%


    Don J. Grundmann I 0.2%


    Scott A. Vineberg I 0.2%


    Tim Gildersleeve I 0.1%


    Gar Myers I 0.1%


    22,298 of 22,356 (99%) precincts reporting

    Last update: 06:15 am
    Source: Secretary of State


    Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-...#storylink=cpy
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  9. #29
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
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  10. #30
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
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