Thread: Immigration Invasion Has Ties to World Population Growth

http://www.washingtondispatch.com/article_10752.shtml

Immigration Invasion Has Ties to World Population Growth
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Commentary by Donald Collins
March 4, 2005

As the world situation continues to deteriorate, many world leaders little heed nor long remember the advice of past generations of far sighted policy makers, including American Presidents, who once understood and acted upon the facts of population growth and its inexorable ties to our national security.

The effect of this burgeoning population in poor countries is seldom reported, but, if it is, it is mostly ignored. For example, a little heralded February 25th Associated Press story, “World Population to Exceed 9 Billion in 2050, U.N. Says� which discloses that “The world's population will increase by 40 percent to 9.1 billion in 2050, but virtually all the growth will be in the developing world, especially in the 50 poorest countries, the U.N. Population Division said.�

If US citizens think this doesn’t affect us, think again. Our population now conservatively reported at about 300 million (not counting perhaps 20 million illegal aliens) will reach nearly 400 million by 2050, well within the life span of today’s teens. That growth of course will come from the arrival of immigrants, who have high fertility rates, making the US so culturally different as to be unrecognizable. Of the 9 billion humans on the planet in 2050, 7.8 billion will live in those poorer developing nations, but many of that 7.8 billion will continue to press via legal and illegal immigration to live in the richer developed countries, many here in the US.

The UN estimate of immigration into the US is extremely conservative. “The United States is projected to be the major net recipient of international migrants, 1.1 million annually, with its population increasing from 298 million in 2005 to 394 million in 2050, the report said.� By 2100, that number will easily reach one billion US inhabitants. “It is going to be a strain on the world," said Hania Zlotnik, the division's new director. She said the expected growth will be concentrated in countries that already struggle to provide adequate shelter, health care and education.� As we know so well, her estimate of US immigration is grossly understated.

Based on the wars and terrorism now extant, what should be done to address this urgent growth problem in the nations that can least afford to grow and will continue to be net exporters of their excess populations to the affluent nations of the West? “Thoraya Obaid, executive director of the U.N. Population Fund, said the new projections should spur more action to stop the spread of HIV/AIDS and help couples freely determine the size of their families. "We must take more urgent action to promote access to reproductive health, including family planning, and fight HIV/AIDS to save millions of lives from AIDS and maternal death, as well as to reduce poverty in developing countries," she said in a statement.�

But assisting those with HIV/AIDS, which now number some 70 million, will not solve the the growth of populations which cannot be care for and who, in legal parlance, represent a “flight risk� from their home nations to perceived better lives in rich countries. Right now and for years to come, as the demographers’ have repeatedly shown, even with declining overall world fertility rates, some 70 million net new humans are added to the planet yearly. That extra 2.3 billion persons on our planet by 2050, 40% more than are now alive, will be largely uneducated, unsocialized, unlocalized and angry as hell that they have little promise of any kind of decent life. And they will try to get here or be motivated to hate us because they are not.

As the March 1, 2005 World Watch Institute report notes, “Over the past few decades, countries from every major political and religious background and in virtually every region have experienced momentous change in the size and structure of their populations. Yet the global demographic transition--the transformation of populations from short lives and large families to longer lives and small families--remains woefully incomplete. Studies show that countries at the early stages of this transition bear the highest risks of becoming embroiled in an armed civil conflict--warfare within countries that ranges from political and ethnic insurgencies to state-sanctioned violence and domestic terrorism. Most are bogged down by a debilitating demographic situation: they are home to large and growing proportions of young people; many are experiencing rapid urban population growth; and many face very low per-capita availability of crop land or fresh water.�

In these dangerous developing nations, the average age of the population is under 25, sometimes under 20 years of age. Often these governments are not really governments, but simply cabals of killers keeping power at the point of guns, as shown in the recent movie, “Hotel Ruanda�. Escape as refugees and/or illegal alien immigrants then becomes a rational, if desperate option.

Here are a few examples from writer Roy Paterson: “This is a ticking time bomb. Those 14 and under make up 28.2 percent of the world's population. But in the Middle East, where most of the oil is, this figure jumps to 40 percent. And way over half the population of this area is under 20 years of age. And not all these countries have any oil. In Yemen, for instance, over half the population is under 15. In Saudi Arabia, over half the population is under 20. These guys are going to be really pissed in about 5 years when there are no jobs for them. Most of them live in the city and will have nothing to do but raise hell. They will have nothing to live for, nothing to look forward to except more hunger and hard times.

Their youth population will dictate an extremely high youth unemployment rate even with the status quo in energy. But with the energy supply dropping…..Now if the governments in these countries are strong enough, they can force these people to simply sit there and starve to death. But most of these countries have governments that are weak and subject to the whims of the mullahs. These countries will explode with violence. And if Saudi Arabia explodes in such a manner, look out! There is just no way that we are going to see love and cooperation
among this starving youth. All hell will break loose.�

Many years of relative indifference by both major American political parties to undertake broad, realistic efforts to make family planning more widely available has in part led to this dangerously urgent extremis. Family planning as part of a broad based program of foreign aid and development is simply an insurance policy whose premiums are extremely cheap compared to the present and future costs of out of control immigration and increasing widespread military action. Yet still the Bush Administration sleeps on, lulled into visions of military glory and conquest, even as the immigration invasion of America goes forward at breakneck speed. We have only ourselves to blame for too often omitting, even denigrating, this crucial issue component of reproductive health, a fact that now adds huge risk to our own and our world’s health.

Development assistance abroad is not a substitute for changing our present immensely stupid open border policies here at home, but it is a factor of consequence in the longer term fixes required for world peace and stability.

Collins, a free lance writer living in Washington, DC, frequently writes for the Washington Dispatch on policy issues.

http://www.washingtondispatch.com/article_10752.shtml

Immigration Invasion Has Ties to World Population Growth
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Commentary by Donald Collins
March 4, 2005

As the world situation continues to deteriorate, many world leaders little heed nor long remember the advice of past generations of far sighted policy makers, including American Presidents, who once understood and acted upon the facts of population growth and its inexorable ties to our national security.

The effect of this burgeoning population in poor countries is seldom reported, but, if it is, it is mostly ignored. For example, a little heralded February 25th Associated Press story, “World Population to Exceed 9 Billion in 2050, U.N. Says� which discloses that “The world's population will increase by 40 percent to 9.1 billion in 2050, but virtually all the growth will be in the developing world, especially in the 50 poorest countries, the U.N. Population Division said.�

If US citizens think this doesn’t affect us, think again. Our population now conservatively reported at about 300 million (not counting perhaps 20 million illegal aliens) will reach nearly 400 million by 2050, well within the life span of today’s teens. That growth of course will come from the arrival of immigrants, who have high fertility rates, making the US so culturally different as to be unrecognizable. Of the 9 billion humans on the planet in 2050, 7.8 billion will live in those poorer developing nations, but many of that 7.8 billion will continue to press via legal and illegal immigration to live in the richer developed countries, many here in the US.

The UN estimate of immigration into the US is extremely conservative. “The United States is projected to be the major net recipient of international migrants, 1.1 million annually, with its population increasing from 298 million in 2005 to 394 million in 2050, the report said.� By 2100, that number will easily reach one billion US inhabitants. “It is going to be a strain on the world," said Hania Zlotnik, the division's new director. She said the expected growth will be concentrated in countries that already struggle to provide adequate shelter, health care and education.� As we know so well, her estimate of US immigration is grossly understated.

Based on the wars and terrorism now extant, what should be done to address this urgent growth problem in the nations that can least afford to grow and will continue to be net exporters of their excess populations to the affluent nations of the West? “Thoraya Obaid, executive director of the U.N. Population Fund, said the new projections should spur more action to stop the spread of HIV/AIDS and help couples freely determine the size of their families. "We must take more urgent action to promote access to reproductive health, including family planning, and fight HIV/AIDS to save millions of lives from AIDS and maternal death, as well as to reduce poverty in developing countries," she said in a statement.�

But assisting those with HIV/AIDS, which now number some 70 million, will not solve the the growth of populations which cannot be care for and who, in legal parlance, represent a “flight risk� from their home nations to perceived better lives in rich countries. Right now and for years to come, as the demographers’ have repeatedly shown, even with declining overall world fertility rates, some 70 million net new humans are added to the planet yearly. That extra 2.3 billion persons on our planet by 2050, 40% more than are now alive, will be largely uneducated, unsocialized, unlocalized and angry as hell that they have little promise of any kind of decent life. And they will try to get here or be motivated to hate us because they are not.

As the March 1, 2005 World Watch Institute report notes, “Over the past few decades, countries from every major political and religious background and in virtually every region have experienced momentous change in the size and structure of their populations. Yet the global demographic transition--the transformation of populations from short lives and large families to longer lives and small families--remains woefully incomplete. Studies show that countries at the early stages of this transition bear the highest risks of becoming embroiled in an armed civil conflict--warfare within countries that ranges from political and ethnic insurgencies to state-sanctioned violence and domestic terrorism. Most are bogged down by a debilitating demographic situation: they are home to large and growing proportions of young people; many are experiencing rapid urban population growth; and many face very low per-capita availability of crop land or fresh water.�

In these dangerous developing nations, the average age of the population is under 25, sometimes under 20 years of age. Often these governments are not really governments, but simply cabals of killers keeping power at the point of guns, as shown in the recent movie, “Hotel Ruanda�. Escape as refugees and/or illegal alien immigrants then becomes a rational, if desperate option.

Here are a few examples from writer Roy Paterson: “This is a ticking time bomb. Those 14 and under make up 28.2 percent of the world's population. But in the Middle East, where most of the oil is, this figure jumps to 40 percent. And way over half the population of this area is under 20 years of age. And not all these countries have any oil. In Yemen, for instance, over half the population is under 15. In Saudi Arabia, over half the population is under 20. These guys are going to be really pissed in about 5 years when there are no jobs for them. Most of them live in the city and will have nothing to do but raise hell. They will have nothing to live for, nothing to look forward to except more hunger and hard times.

Their youth population will dictate an extremely high youth unemployment rate even with the status quo in energy. But with the energy supply dropping…..Now if the governments in these countries are strong enough, they can force these people to simply sit there and starve to death. But most of these countries have governments that are weak and subject to the whims of the mullahs. These countries will explode with violence. And if Saudi Arabia explodes in such a manner, look out! There is just no way that we are going to see love and cooperation
among this starving youth. All hell will break loose.�

Many years of relative indifference by both major American political parties to undertake broad, realistic efforts to make family planning more widely available has in part led to this dangerously urgent extremis. Family planning as part of a broad based program of foreign aid and development is simply an insurance policy whose premiums are extremely cheap compared to the present and future costs of out of control immigration and increasing widespread military action. Yet still the Bush Administration sleeps on, lulled into visions of military glory and conquest, even as the immigration invasion of America goes forward at breakneck speed. We have only ourselves to blame for too often omitting, even denigrating, this crucial issue component of reproductive health, a fact that now adds huge risk to our own and our world’s health.

Development assistance abroad is not a substitute for changing our present immensely stupid open border policies here at home, but it is a factor of consequence in the longer term fixes required for world peace and stability.

Collins, a free lance writer living in Washington, DC, frequently writes for the Washington Dispatch on policy issues.