Thread: Immigration Tsunami (Parts 1 and 2)

Immigration Tsunami, Part 1


By Mike Scruggs


Posted on: June 17, 2005

According to a January Report by the investment firm of Bear Stearns there may now be as many as twenty million illegal immigrants in the United States. The Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) and the Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR) had estimates of ten to twelve million illegals in the country in late 2004.

As illegal immigration is, of course, illegal and kept as quiet as possible, it is hard to get a handle on how many illegal immigrants are here. The three sources agree, however, that the numbers are growing rapidly. The CIS and FAIR both believe the number of illegals is increasing at the rate of 500 thousand per year. Some believe this may now be closer to 800 thousand per year. That figure will increase enormously, if there is any kind of amnesty, by whatever name. Such a plan is now before Congress in the form of the Kennedy-McCain Immigration “Reform� Bill.

The situation is already bad without the disingenuous “reform� bill of Senators Kennedy and McCain. The present, massive invasion of illegal immigrants plus the unprecedented increase in the number of legal immigrants in the last few decades is already heading the nation towards a demographic disaster that will turn America into an unrecognizable distortion of the noble ideals of the Founding Fathers and seriously threaten the freedom, prosperity, security, social cohesion, and even the civic virtues of her people.

The effects of the immigration tidal wave are already tremendous and are going to get worse, much worse. Americans are losing their jobs to illegal immigrants and American wages are being driven down because of increased availability of illegal cheap labor. Americans are in a double bind with jobs leaving and massive numbers of new immigrants coming in to take the jobs that are left. Recent studies show that the impact of illegal immigration is affecting not only low-skill jobs, but professional jobs.

Even new college graduates are being affected by increased competition from foreign graduates. The college graduate market is now suffering from a supply shock of foreign immigrants, decreasing opportunities and lowering salaries for the sons and daughters of American tax-payers who have struggled so hard and saved so dearly to educate their children. According to figures released by the Economic Policy Institute in May, real (inflation adjusted) wages for new college graduate dropped 2.7% from 2001 to 2004. The 2004 job market for young college graduates was the worst in 20 years. In addition, U. S. colleges are spending more and more money on educating foreign students, especially at the graduate level.
Nearly 35% of Ph. D. degrees given in the U. S. are to foreign students.

According to Harvard professor George Borjas, writing in the Quarterly Journal of Economics, the impact of immigration reduced the real wages of native-born Americans by 3.2 % from 1980 to 2000. It is getting worse. Since 2000, according to figures compiled by the Economic Policy Institute in May, the real wages of unskilled labor (high school drop outs) declined 8.9%, and income for college educated Americans dropped 4.9%. College graduates with 11 to 15 years work experience, just at the age when many are raising small children, declined by 5.9% over the four-year period.

According to a recent study by ESR Research Economic Consultants, the economic recovery of the Bush administration from 2001 to January 2005 increased Hispanic employment by nearly 2.1million or 13%. Non-Hispanic employment rose by a paltry 385,000, less than one half of one percent over four years.
This is strong indication that Americans are being displaced in the workforce by illegal immigrants.

Our federal taxes, state taxes, and especially local taxes are going up and will continue going up to pay for services and expenses made necessary by this huge influx of people, who are in violation of U. S. laws and taking American jobs, but who will get a free ride. According to a FAIR study, in the border state of Texas alone, the cost of education, medical care, and incarceration for illegal immigrants is $4.7 billion dollars annually. This is a burden of $725 per year to non-immigrant Texas households. Even allowing generously for the economic contribution of illegals, the net cost to Texas is $3.7 billion dollars per year.

The impact of such a massive increase in immigration, especially illegal immigration, is so wide and vast that a comprehensive estimate of its human and economic costs is difficult. The CIS estimated that illegal immigration was a net $10 billion loss to the federal government in 2002, when each illegal immigrant cost the federal government a net loss of $2750 per year. But this is a drop in the bucket to the total costs. Most illegal immigration losses fall on state and local governments, especially in states that border Mexico. The costs to other Southern states such as Georgia and North Carolina are also rising at an alarming rate. Texas is probably the hardest hit with an estimated $3.7 billion net lost to state budgets, but California is high on the list with from $3.0 to $4.0 billion in net state government deficits. Local data is more difficult to obtain.

Hospitals in Border States are being severely affected. To all this must be added the cost of job displacements and lower wages for non-immigrant households. Whatever the total and comprehensive cost of illegal immigration is in the United States, it is an immense and scandalous number. Cheap labor turns out to be very expensive for most people. It is just that the people who actually pay the price are not nearly as politically powerful as those that benefit.

Medical insurance and hospital costs are going up to cover the unpaid bills of illegals. Many hospitals, especially where there are large numbers of illegal immigrants simply cannot cope with the losses from unpaid services and are going broke, leaving many communities without hospitals. A February 2004 report by FAIR indicated hospitals in states bordering Mexico lost $190 million in a twelve month period due to unpaid hospital bills of illegal immigrants. Another $113 million was lost on ambulance and follow-up services. The Florida Hospital Association found that unpaid bills of illegal immigrants amounted to $40 million for twenty-eight hospitals in 2002. It is becoming a problem for hospitals everywhere there are large numbers of illegal immigrants. Healthcare is the second leading cost to states in services to illegal immigrants. In the state of Arizona, for instance, it amounted to nearly 31% of the budget cost for illegal immigration. Few illegals have immunization records, and probably many have no immunizations at all. Thus native born Americans are also being exposed to greater health risks and costs by illegal immigrants.

Schools are being crowded with children, who speak little English and require much more attention.
The great majority of Mexican and Central American immigrants are low-skilled, high school drop outs. A recent study released by the Pew Hispanic Center and quoted in the June 13th issue of Newsweek noted that “the more poor immigrants, the harder it is to improve the skills of their children. The schools will be overwhelmed; the same for social services.� A 2004 study released by FAIR indicated there are 1.5 million illegal immigrant children in U. S. public school grades K-12. These and their 2.0 million siblings, who were born in the U. S. to illegal immigrants, cost the states $28.6 billion annually. Education for K-12 students tops the categories of state services to illegal aliens and their children. Does anyone seriously believe that this will not also have an enormous impact on the quality of education and discipline in the class room?

Besides higher taxes, lower wages, fewer job opportunities, higher insurance and health risks, and impediments to quality education, there are public safety concerns and with them increased law enforcement costs. There are other costs, and these are actually more sinister and potentially devastating to American society. The massive immigration wave we are now experiencing will in all probability very soon change the balance of political power in the country. This will change the political equation for every political and social issue. That political change will favor liberals and bury conservatives.

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Immigration Tsunami, Part 2


By Mike Scruggs


Posted on: June 23, 2005

Recent estimates by a major investment firm and two research firms have placed the number of illegal immigrants in the U. S. at between ten and twenty million. All the estimate revisions seem to move constantly upward. Obviously, our immigration problem is so enormous and out of control that it is very difficult even to measure. Some have very appropriately termed the immigration tsunami an invasion.

The massive tidal wave of illegal immigration and unprecedented levels of legal immigration now occurring in the United States portend an impending demographic disaster. These demographic changes are already having enormous and substantial impacts on our lives. Jobs, wages, taxes, and every aspect of our economy are being adversely affected. The quality and costs of education and healthcare are also being adversely affected. Public safety and national security are being weakened or jeopardized. Out of control immigration portends a political, social, and cultural future very different from the ideals of the Founding Fathers of our Republic.

The immigration tsunami, if not stopped, will change the political balance of power is our country. As can be seen in the last two presidential elections, that balance is already close. The massive immigration tsunami is creating a new electorate tilted to the left. Within a decade, if not much sooner, we will be playing with political dice loaded to come out liberal. Thus these immense and unprecedented demographic changes we are undergoing will have a profound effect on politics. Immigration will determine the outcome of every political issue.

A strong leftward tilt can be seen in the socio-ethnic groups that comprise the vast majority of recent immigrants legal and illegal. The largest share of illegal immigrants and new legal immigrants are Hispanic. George W. Bush and his political aides have talked big about capturing the Hispanic vote, but it has been a failure that could have been easily foreseen. Bush only got 35% of the Hispanic vote in the 2000 election, which included Cubans, who usually vote majority Republican. It is likely he got far less than 35% among new immigrant voters. It is even further unlikely that he would do well among predominantly unskilled and poorly educated Mexican and Central American illegals should there be an amnesty. Bush political aides claimed to have received 44% of the Hispanic vote in 2004, but that has been completely debunked by several pollsters and analysts. In fact, of the 15 counties that Bush lost in Texas in 2004, 13 were predominantly Mexican. Most analysts estimate Bush got from 33% to 40% of the Hispanic vote in 2004 despite enormous effort and hispandering. It is unlikely for Republicans to do better than 35% to 40% in a voter group that is poorly educated, low-skilled and not at all oriented to conservative economic and social issues.

A Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) study released in August 2001 confirmed that Hispanic immigrants are most interested in social welfare programs and tend to vote heavily for more liberal political candidates. Furthermore their voting patterns do not become more conservative over time or with new generations. Only higher income Hispanics have any leaning at all to the Republican Party, and that is not strong. This is quite evident in recent and past elections analysis.

Asians make up the second largest recent and illegal immigrant block. Although Bush and his political aides were optimistic about these “natural Republicans�, According to an 11,000 voter exit poll done by the Asian American Defense and Education Fund following the 2004 election, Kerry badly drubbed Bush by a 74% to 24% margin.

The political bottom line is that the new immigrants that have been flooding into the United States for the last decade mean two or three Democrat votes for every Republican vote. It is highly unlikely that an amnesty would break this pattern. In fact, given some sort of amnesty, current illegal immigrants would probably vote even more overwhelmingly Democrat and liberal.
By refusing to enforce U. S. immigration laws and constantly flirting with thinly disguised amnesty, George W. Bush and his political advisors are on the path of electoral suicide. Every month that we maintain a near de facto open border immigration policy, the remaining viability of the Republican Party is being undermined. Amnesty, by whatever clever subterfuge, or phony reform like the Kennedy-McCain Bill would finish the Republican Party as anything but a me-too liberal party and turn the nation down the path of leftish chaos.

If the massive immigration tsunami is not soon checked, a new electorate far more interested in social welfare programs than free enterprise, limited government, or preserving traditional social and religious values, will dominate our elections. Then politically overwhelmed and displaced conservatives can kiss their guns and tax cuts goodbye. They can for all practical purposes kiss constitutional and limited government goodbye. Within a decade or less they can forget any possibility of conservative judges being appointed to federal courts. Abortion on demand will be here to stay and at tax-payer expense. They can forget the Ten Commandments; prayer is schools, or anything else that does not meet the multiculturalist agenda. Affirmative Action, that hypocritical euphemism for blatant racial preferences, will be here to stay. Not only will job opportunities be fewer and wages lower, but unless you are a member of a “protected� group you will be discriminated against as well. Your children will get the full brunt of the new multiculturalist regime. Conservatives will have lost the culture war to new voters who do not identify with George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, and Patrick Henry, much less Ronald Reagan.

Most Americans are complacently unaware that immigration will determine the outcome of all other political and social issues. They have not quite grasped that out of control immigration will very soon have an enormous impact on the balance of political power in the United States. Unless the massive wave of immigration can be drastically reduced, political power will shift significantly to the left and stay there.

Most of the new immigrants, especially illegal immigrants are either non-Christian or unchurched. The past common wisdom that most Hispanic immigrants are good, socially conservative Catholics is about two generations out of date. The new immigrants are predominantly unchurched. It is not the individual immigrant that threatens the nation’s values. It is their immense numbers that threaten to overwhelm both the political arena and the culture. This will further marginalize Christian influence and values in society. Christians will become a smaller minority with less and less cultural and political impact. This by no means denies the duty of Christians to show kindness and evangelical concern for both legal and illegal immigrants, but they should recognize the sheer numbers of this unprecedented invasion threaten to displace or marginalize their values and influence on society and future generations. They should also be wary of the anti-Christian multiculturalist agendas that support the current massive wave of immigration. Christians should not support flagrant violation of U. S. immigration laws by employers or illegal immigrants, especially since such lawlessness is clearly hurting other Americans.

National security is also being jeopardized. How many potential terrorists and criminals are in these millions of illegal immigrants? According to CIS, there are over 150,000 illegal immigrants from the radicalized Muslim Near East in this country. That is a force as large as the United States Marine Corp.

If we have 10 to 20 million illegal immigrants here now, what will the effect of amnesty be? In the past amnesties and even hopes of a new amnesty program have always resulted in a huge new influx of illegals. The CIS estimates that amnesty would triple the federal cost of illegal immigration. Will it triple state and local costs as well? Will it have an equally dramatic effect on job opportunities and wages for non-immigrants? Will it make the U. S. a third world nation politically and economically?

The cheap labor we are selling out our country for is actually not so cheap. It is only cheap to the big corporations and smaller businesses that recruit and use illegal immigrant labor. The rest of America pays the education, medical, and welfare bills and the higher taxes. And for this favor they get for themselves reduced wages and fewer job opportunities.

American society is being put at risk for the sake of cheap foreign labor and multiculturalist ideology.

Cheap foreign labor is enriching some, but lowering the living standard and quality of life for most Americans. The multiculturalist agenda is subtly and quietly displacing and marginalizing Christianity, the political ideas of the Founding Fathers, and our American and European cultural heritage. As Patrick Henry once said, “why stand we idly by?�

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Most analysts estimate Bush got from 33% to 40% of the Hispanic vote in 2004 despite enormous effort and hispandering

There's a well known open borders type at the other site who's tag line reads "If the Republicans don't get 40% of the hispanic vote in 2008, Hillary will take your guns away".

Now let's think about this for a minute. Even a rabid open borders supporter admits that the GOP is fighting for a 40% share.

The obvious question, of course, is "who's the other 60% voting for"?

One thing's for sure; it's not us.

This makes the GOP's open border policy look even more insane, since a burgeoning hispanic population that only votes 40% GOP will soon guarantee them minority political party status forever.

Now, the GOP obviously knows this, so I expect the "hispandering" from them to increase exponentially from here on out.

CountFloyd...it's not about the politics. There won't be another election in the United States. WE end this year if we don't stop it NOW.

The Courts are gone, we learned that yesterday. The White House is gone, we learned two months ago. The combining of nations with Canada and Mexico has already begun without legislation or our consent. The UN Millennium Agenda convenes in September to finalize its Global Governance Plan. FTAA is to be ratified by December 31. It's predecessor, CAFTA, will be voted on Tuesday.

Is Congress gone too? We'll find out Tuesday.

Then we'll know if we are Alone.

I suspect we are...but we'll see next week.

Everyone has shown their colors but Congress who will have their chance on CAFTA. If they approve CAFTA, they will aprove FTAA.

They already approved remaining with the WTO...from which we should have withdrawn. The new head of the WTO is an American Globalist whose mission is to END WORLD POVERTY. Since the dim-wit has no clue how to do this, his means is to bring all Drones around the world into "parity". That means taking out the Americans and giving everything we have to everyone else....to equalize all workers on earth at third world numbers.

To do that, the UN will need a tax structure and an army to regulate "civil society".

Judy, well just have to wait and see. I really fear a revolution will occur withen a few years, it seems that in just a decade or so we have lost almost all of our freedoms and our whole country and way of life to liberals, GWB dictators, illegal immigrants, PC folk and so forth.

ChrisF202--we can only wait until next week. If Congress passes CAFTA, then we know WE no longer control that last branch of government. That completes the run-a-way of all three branches of government and will the be final declaration that we are no longer a democracy or a free people with a government of the people, by the people or for the people.