Thread: Rasmussen - Huckabee lead in SC gone!

I think the word is getting out.


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... an_primary

Monday, December 17, 2007
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Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney are tied for the lead in South Carolina’s Republican Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows both Huckabee and Romney with 23% of the vote followed by John McCain at 12%, Fred Thompson at 12%, and Rudy Giuliani at 11%. Ron Paul is supported by 5%, Tom Tancredo and Duncan Hunter by 1% each, and 12% are undecided.

Two weeks ago, Huckabee held a seven-point lead over Romney and Thompson. A month ago, Romney and Thompson were tied for the top spot and Huckabee was nine points behind in fourth place.

Over the past two weeks, Romney has gained five percentage points while Fred Thompson has lost six. McCain gained three points and nobody else moved more than a point or two.

The race remains potentially very fluid. Just 51% of Huckabee’s supporters in the Palmetto State say they are certain they will vote for him. Only 41% of Romney’s voters are that certain. Thompson has the most solid base—59% of his voters are certain along with 55% of McCain’s voters and 53% of Giuliani supporters.

All five of the top candidates are the second choice for between 13% and 19% of voters.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of South Carolina’s Likely Republican Primary Voters say that a candidate’s faith and religion is very important in determining their vote. Another 31% say it is Somewhat Important.

Among those who say a candidate’s faith and religion is Very Important, Huckabee leads Romney 36% to 14%. Among those who say it is Somewhat Important, Romney has a five point advantage, 26% to 21%. Among the third of South Carolina’s Likely Primary voters to whom a candidate’s faith and religion is not important, Huckabee earns just 10% support. Romney attracts support from 29% of these voters.

Huckabee is supported by 42% of Evangelical Christians and 16% of other Protestant voters. Romney attracts just 12% of Evangelical voters but earns the vote from a plurality (28%) of other Protestants.

Twenty-four percent (24%) of Likely Republican Primary Voters in South Carolina name immigration as the top voting issue followed by the economy (23%), national security (18%), and the War in Iraq (17%).

Huckabee leads in Iowa and Florida Romney has the edge in New Hampshire, while Huckabee and Giuliani lead in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking poll. Rasmussen Reports will release new polling data this week for both Iowa and New Hampshire. Data on the South Carolina Democratic Primary will be released Tuesday morning.

However, five candidates are in double digits nationally, any one of whom could conceivably win the nomination. The only thing clear at the moment is that the rise of Huckabee has thrown the Republican race in disarray.

Huckabee is now viewed favorably by 66% of Likely Republican Primary Voters. That’s down slightly from 70% two weeks ago but still up from 57% favorable a month ago. The current figures include 34% with a Very Favorable opinion of Huckabee.

Thompson is viewed favorably by 71%, Romney by 71%, and McCain by 64%.McCain has gained four points over the past two weeks.

Giuliani is now viewed favorably by 66%, little changed from two weeks ago, but down from 72% a month ago.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

See survey questions and top-line results. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdgeâ„¢ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This telephone survey of 724 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports December 16, 2007. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Wouldn't it be great if those 12% undecided finally decided for Tancredo or Hunter. Woo Hoo

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