Results 1 to 3 of 3
Like Tree1Likes

Thread: States Expected to Gain or Lose Congressional Seats After the 2020 Census

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

  1. #1
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    PARADISE (San Diego)
    Posts
    99,040

    States Expected to Gain or Lose Congressional Seats After the 2020 Census

    States Expected to Gain or Lose Congressional Seats After the 2020 Census

    EDS analysis using Census Bureau estimates shows “12 states will be impacted by changes in their congressional delegation if these new numbers were used for apportionment today.”

    AUGUST 27, 2018



    According to analysis from Election Data Services (EDS), using estimates from the Census Bureau, “12 states will be impacted by changes in their congressional delegation if these new numbers were used for apportionment today.”

    While there are multiple possible scenarios, EDS expects Florida and Texas to be the biggest winners and Illinois to possibly be the biggest loser. According to their report:

    States Gaining Districts (6 or 7)

    • Arizona +1 (from 9 to 10)
    • Colorado +1 (from 7 to 8)
    • Florida +2 (from 27 to 29)
    • Montana even or +1 (from At-large to 2)
    • North Carolina +1 (from 13 to 14)
    • Oregon +1 (from 5 to 6)
    • Texas +3 (from 36 to 39)

    States Losing Districts (9)

    • Alabama -1 (from 7 to 6)
    • Illinois -1 or -2 (from 18 to 17 or 16)
    • Michigan -1 (from 14 to 13)
    • Minnesota -1 or even (from 8 to 7 or none)
    • New York -1 (from 27 to 26)
    • Ohio -1 (from 16 to 15)
    • Pennsylvania -1 (from 18 to 17)
    • Rhode Island -1 (from 2 to 1)
    • West Virginia -1 (from 3 to 2)


    California is nearing the cusp of losing a seat as well.


    These estimates could be impacted not just by actual changes in population, but by the accuracy of the 2020 headcount. With a potential undercount in rural America (from a change in counting methodology and insufficient testing) and a potential
    undercount among the immigrant population (due to the addition of a citizenship question), these estimated outcomes for House seats could change further.

    For instance, the New York Times recently tried to estimate the impact of the citizenship question with several models, suggesting that
    a 15 percent undercount of noncitizens would give Colorado and Montana each an extra seat, while costing New York and California one seat each,

    and that
    a headcount of only citizens would flip 10 seats (Colorado, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, and Pennsylvania would all gain a seat, while Florida, Texas and New York would each lose one seat, and California would lose four seats).

    https://www.insightsassociation.org/...er-2020-census

    NO AMNESTY

    Don't reward the criminal actions of millions of illegal aliens by giving them citizenship.


    Sign in and post comments here.

    Please support our fight against illegal immigration by joining ALIPAC's email alerts here https://eepurl.com/cktGTn

  2. #2
    Senior Member JohnDoe2's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    PARADISE (San Diego)
    Posts
    99,040
    NO AMNESTY

    Don't reward the criminal actions of millions of illegal aliens by giving them citizenship.


    Sign in and post comments here.

    Please support our fight against illegal immigration by joining ALIPAC's email alerts here https://eepurl.com/cktGTn

  3. #3
    Senior Member Captainron's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Posts
    8,279
    I hope California gets whacked. Now that they have figured out how to effectively control Orange County itself there's no hope.
    "Men of low degree are vanity, Men of high degree are a lie. " David
    Join our efforts to Secure America's Borders and End Illegal Immigration by Joining ALIPAC's E-Mail Alerts network (CLICK HERE)

Similar Threads

  1. Panic at the DNC: Dems could lose 2 congressional seats next
    By AirborneSapper7 in forum Other Topics News and Issues
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 04-06-2010, 01:06 PM
  2. California Would Lose Seats Under Census Change
    By Texas2step in forum General Discussion
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 10-30-2009, 06:14 AM
  3. Analysis: Census data shows 8 states could lose House seats
    By Dixie in forum Other Topics News and Issues
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 12-23-2008, 12:15 AM

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •