Thread: Romney and McCain dead even in latest tracking poll

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InsiderAdvantage will poll the race through the weekend
Romney and McCain dead even in our latest tracking poll

January 26, 2008 — You can’t get much closer than one-tenth of a percentage point with five days until the election.

That’s where the Florida Republican presidential primary race was as of Thursday night. Our latest InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research poll came out like this:

John McCain (23.3%)
Mitt Romney (23.2%)
Rudy Giuliani (16%)
Mike Huckabee (13%)
Ron Paul (7%)
Other, which would include Fred Thompson (8%)
Undecided (10%)

The poll sampled 420 likely voters who either plan to vote in Tuesday’s GOP primary or have already cast their ballots through early voting or absentee ballots.

The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5%. The data have been weighted for age, gender, race, partisan affiliation, and geographical distribution across the state.

As astounding as the tie at the top is between Romney and McCain, the 10% undecided number may be even more startling. It's certainly the most important percentage. Ten percent undecided with only days before an election is somewhat high for a pool of respondents that identify themselves as likely voters. With a tie among the top two contenders, that 10% undecided may as well be 100%, because it's going to decide this race.

There are signs that the race may be trending for Romney, but that’s informed speculation at this point. We will continue polling the race through Election Day.

That doesn't supprise me, I think Florida is about 50-50 Liberal/Conservative.

Dixie

Rasmussen National Poll
Saturday, January 26, 2008
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows John McCain and Mitt Romney are starting to pull away from the rest of the field in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. McCain earns 27% of the vote while Romney attracts 25%. These are the first results based entirely upon interviews conducted after Fred Thompson dropped out of the race. Trailing the frontrunners are Mike Huckabee at 17%, Rudy Giuliani at 12%, and Ron Paul at 6%


Florida
The Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds Mitt Romney with 27% of the vote, John McCain with 23%, and Rudy Giuliani picking up support from 20%. Nineteen percent (19%) of those surveyed have already cast their ballots

Rasmussen Markets See Romney as Debate Winner
Friday, January 25, 2008
AdvertismentRasmussen Markets data suggests that Mitt Romney gained ground in Florida during last night’s televised debate.

When the debate began, the market results showed Romney with a 54% chance of winning Florida’s Primary next Tuesday. By the end of the evening, expectations for a Romney win increased to 60%. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Florida showed Romney with a modest lead.

John McCain’s numbers moved in the opposite direction, from 38% when the debate began to 33% by the end of the evening. Immediately following his win in South Carolina, expectations were very high for McCain in Florida, reaching 70%. However, on Monday, Rasmussen Reports became the first polling firm to show McCain trailing to Romney and expectations for a McCain victory have been slipping a bit each day. Florida poses a special challenge and an opportunity for McCain. He won in New Hampshire and South Carolina with the help of independent voters. In Florida’s closed primary, only Republicans are allowed to participate. A Rasmussen Reports analysis earlier in the week noted that if McCain does win in Florida, he may become unstoppable in his bid for the nomination.


All these are polls are great news.

THERE ARE STILL IGNORANT PEOPLE WHO HASVE BEEN FOOLED INTO THINKING MCCAIN IS CONSERVATIVE AND SOME ARE SENILE.

Thanks Delta. That info will help me sleep tonight.

Your welcome.

Romney has to win Fla, because he and McCain are tied in California.

Bttt

At my gig last night I met a couple, probably 60 ish, who were republicans and undecided. That really says something.There have been a lot of undecided's seems like this go round. I had a long chat with them and gave them information on Ron Paul. I know one thing, the guy hated the IRS..lol.

I saw a screen shot on Fox Saturday night indicating that Clinton and McCain will win California. Fox is so pro-McCain it's unbelievable. Bret Briar(?) told one of the pundit's when the pundit kept talking as if McCain is the GOP nominee to "hold on, let's not knock Romney out of the race just yet." Go Bret!

Originally Posted by Skippy

I saw a screen shot on Fox Saturday night indicating that Clinton and McCain will win California. Fox is so pro-McCain it's unbelievable. Bret Briar(?) told one of the pundit's when the pundit kept talking as if McCain is the GOP nominee to "hold on, let's not knock Romney out of the race just yet." Go Bret!

I saw a field poll on Calif. just a few days ago (after Thompson dropped out) that showed the race in Calif. has tightened considerably and is now basically even, maybe McCain up by a couple. So this is far from over.