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  1. #1
    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    When McCain Drops Out

    When McCain Drops Out

    Steve Rosenbaum
    Sun Jun 15, 11:20 PM ET

    When the Republicans choose their candidate on September 4th, there is a very real chance that they could throw the election into an unexpected chaos as they pull a genuine September Surprise.

    I think there is every reason to believe John McCain won't be the nominee. Ok, let me say that again. McCain will not be the Republican candidate in November.



    Here's how it could happen:

    At some point in mid August, John McCain will announce that he has decided that he can not accept his party's nomination for president. The reason will be health-related, and that may turn out to be the truth. Anyone who's seen him on stage these days knows he looks like he's about to keel over. And anyone who's been on a presidential campaign knows the physical demands are grueling and can be a challenge for a young man.

    But excuses or facts hardly matters. He won't be accepting his party's nomination.

    The reasons are simple. He can't win. Now that Obama is the presumptive Democratic nominee -- the polls all show that McCain's pro-war stance and Bush endorsement make him a lost cause in November. That combined with soft stand on litmus test conservative issues make him an unpopular candidate among the base. I know some Democrats that think the Republicans are planning to let McCain lose and 'sit this one out' so that they can hang the democrats with a bad economy and a war that is a morass. But that just isn't how they play. They play to win every hand -- think about 2000 with a popular Democratic president and good economy and a solid VP running for president. Why did they put up Bush? And why did they fight so hard? Because, you don't ever throw a game. And they're not going to throw this one.

    McCain won't be the nominee.

    By August, they'll have done something to try and pick away at Obama's popularity. They'll emphasis race, or whatever they can to get him to appear less than perfect. Then, they'll bring out of the woodwork a surprise candidate who can shift the story fast. With just two months before the election -- the new candidate will have little time to be 'vetted' but will be shiny and new, and will get a lot of media attention as Obama's newness will have become -- by then -- tarnished or at least no longer the surprise that it has been as he unseated Hillary.

    So, who will be the Republican candidate that faces Obama in the fall?

    I've spoken to a number of friends who -- when presented with this set of facts respond: "but they don't have anybody else." That's simply not the case.

    Joe Trippi, campaign consultant and most notably Howard Dean's campaign manager, said of McCain dropping out: "While crazy, this may be the best shot they have."

    There are a whole list of Republicans who in many ways are more likely to energize the Republican base. One thing is certain -- there are candidates that will play to the core issues in ways that McCain simply can't.

    Here's a list of names. Some you know, some you don't. But each of them knows their name is in play. Among them --

    Condoleezza Rice (Secretary of State)
    Colin Powell (fmr Sec. of State)
    Marilyn Musgrave (Colorado Congresswoman)
    Mitt Romney (fmr Massachusetts Governor)
    Mike Huckabee (fmr Governor of Arkansas)
    Charlie Crist (Florida Governor)
    Tim Pawlenty (Minnesota Governor)
    Bobby Jindal (Louisiana Governor)
    Mark Sanford: (Governor of South Carolina)
    John Thune (Senator from South Dakota)
    Dick Lugar (Senator from Indiana)
    Chuck Hagel (Senator from Nebraska)
    MIchael Bloomberg (NYC Mayor)



    Ok, go ahead knock them down. One by one. See if you can really remove ALL these names from a list of candidates that are more likely to give Obama a run for his money. They'll come on the scene late, with a press corps that is looking for a horse race and a new story. Obama's frontrunner status will be upset, and there will be a set of variables that need to be calculated -- and tested against a weary electorate.

    Is this supposition? Sure, but one grounded with enough history and observation to take it beyond conjecture and into the realm of the possible.

    So -- before the Democrats go and game out how to beat McCain, it may be worth thinking about what happens when he says he won't accept the nomination. For the Republicans, a wide open convention would be both good theater and good politics.

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/huffpost/200806 ... ydi6ce6sgF
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  2. #2
    Senior Member agrneydgrl's Avatar
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    The only one I would consider voting for is Bobby Jindal. I will probably vote third party. Colin Powell would have once had my vote, but he was involved in the war scandle.

  3. #3
    Senior Member Judy's Avatar
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    Interesting ... that would be so exciting to have a free for all at the convention.

    Mitt Romney would be good if he'd get on board for the FairTax. I wrote him about it, he responded and said he'd look into it. I think he's very smart and has a great record of turning things around ... which is a skill we certainly need at this time.

    Anyone except McCain or anyone that has worked for Bush.
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  4. #4
    Senior Member azwreath's Avatar
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    I think that if that is what's planned, they'll pull Mitt Romney out of the hat.

    He was very popular, his departure literally stunned everyone, and he's never really left. It's hard to verbalize exactly, but he's just sort of been hovering there in the background.

    Or they could REALLY, REALLY surprise everyone and Tom Tancredo will be back, maybe as Mitt's running mate if not the presidential nominee.

    Overall though, I agree that something is up. I've felt that for awhile now.
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  5. #5
    Senior Member LegalUSCitizen's Avatar
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    I'm going to hold on to this hope!!!!!!!!!! :P
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  6. #6
    Senior Member grandmasmad's Avatar
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    OMG

    Am I reading this correctly

    This would be the biggest blessing

    I wanted Romney from square one....he is a businessman....neither of these 2 dumxxxxx that we are forced with have ever run a business...

    Maybe there is hope :P :P :P :P :P :P :P :P :P
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  7. #7
    Senior Member Americanpatriot's Avatar
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    Wow...I hope so. Mitt Romney is my pick for the next President!
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