Thread: NASA Admits That Winters are Going to Get Colder…Much Colder

NASA Admits That Winters are Going to Get Colder…Much Colder

Chris Carrington 18 hours ago
3 Comments

The Maunder Minimum (also known as the prolonged sunspot minimum) is the name used for the period roughly spanning 1645 to 1715 when sunspots became exceedingly rare, as noted by solar observers of the time.

Like the Dalton Minimum and Spörer Minimum, the Maunder Minimum coincided with a period of lower-than-average global temperatures.
During one 30-year period within the Maunder Minimum, astronomers observed only about 50 sunspots, as opposed to a more typical 40,000-50,000 spots. (Source)
Climatologist John Casey, a former space shuttle engineer and NASA consultant, thinks that last year's winter, described by USA Today as "one of the snowiest, coldest, most miserable on record" is going to be a regular occurrence over the coming decades.
Casey asserts that there is mounting evidence that the Earth is getting cooler due to a decline in solar activity. He warns in his latest book, Dark Winter, that a major alteration of global climate has already started and that, at a minimum, it is likely to last 30 years.
Casey predicts food shortages and civil unrest caused by those shortages due largely to governments not preparing for the issues that colder weather will bring. He also predicts that wickedly bitter winter temperatures will see demand for electricity and heating outstrip the supply.
Casey isn't alone in his thinking. Russian climate expert and astrophysicist Habibullo Abdussamatov goes one step further and states that we are at the very beginning of a new ice age.
Dr. Abdussamatov points out that Earth has experienced such occurrences five times over the last 1,000 years, and that:

"A global freeze will come about regardless of whether or not industrialized countries put a cap on their greenhouse gas emissions. The common view of Man's industrial activity as a deciding factor in global warming has emerged from a misinterpretation of cause and effect." (source)

Don Easterbrook, a climate scientist based at Western Washington University, predicted exactly what Casey is saying as far back as 2008. In his paper 'Evidence for Predicting Global Cooling for the Next Three Decades'
he states:

Despite no global warming in 10 years and recording setting cold in 2007-2008, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climatic Change (IPCC) and computer modelers who believe that CO2 is the cause of global warming still predict the Earth is in store for catastrophic warming in this century. IPCC computer models have predicted global warming of 1° F per decade, and 5-6° C (10-11° F) by 2100 which would cause global catastrophe with ramifications for human life, natural habitat, energy, water resources, and food production. All of this is predicated on the assumption that global warming is caused by increasing atmospheric CO2 and that CO2 will continue to rise rapidly.

The list of climate scientists that are moving into the global cooling camp is growing; many of them base their views on past climate records, while history suggests a link between diminished solar activity and bitterly cold winters, as well as cooler summers, in the northern hemisphere.

"My opinion is that we are heading into a Maunder Minimum," said Mark Giampapa, a solar physicist at the National Solar Observatory (NSO) in Tucson, Arizona. "I'm seeing a continuation in the decline of the sunspots' mean magnetic field strengths and a weakening of the polar magnetic fields and subsurface flows."

David Hathaway of NASA's Marshall Solar Physics Center explains:

"We're at the sunspot maximum of Cycle 24. It's the smallest sunspot cycle in 100 years and the third in a trend of diminishing sunspot cycles. So, Cycle 25 could likely be smaller than Cycle 24."

A NASA Science News report of January 2013 details the science behind the sunspot-climate connection and it well worth reading. It should be remembered that since the report was written Solar Cycle 24 has been proven to be not just the smallest cycle in 50 years, but the smallest for more than 100 years. The last one with sunspot numbers this low was 1906, solar cycle 14.

"Indeed, the sun could be on the threshold of a mini-Maunder event right now. Ongoing Solar Cycle 24 [the current short term 11 year cycle] is the weakest in more than 50 years. Moreover, there is (controversial) evidence of a long-term weakening trend in the magnetic field strength of sunspots. Matt Penn and William Livingston of the National Solar Observatory predict that by the time Solar Cycle 25 arrives, magnetic fields on the sun will be so weak that few if any sunspots will be formed. Independent lines of research involving helioseismology and surface polar fields tend to support their conclusion."

Livingston and Penn are solar astronomers with the NSO (National Solar Observatory) in Tuscon, Arizona. They use a measurement known as Zeeman splitting to gather data on sunspots. They discovered in 1990 that the number of sunspots is dropping and that once the magnetic field drops below 1500 Gauss, that no sunspots will form. (A Gauss is a magnetic field measurement. The Gauss of the Earth is less than one). If the decline continues at its present rate, they estimate that the Sun will be spot free by 2016.
If these scientists are correct, we are heading into a period of bitterly cold winters and much cooler summers. Imagine year after year of 'polar vortex' winters that start early, finish late and deliver unprecedented cold across the country. Cool wet summers will affect food production, as will floods from the melting snow when spring finally arrives.
The American Meteorological Society Journal gives the following information regarding cold-related deaths in comparison to heat-related deaths in the United States from 1979-1999. The article is entitled Heat Mortality Versus Cold Mortality.
During the study period from 1979 to 1999 a total of 3,829 people died from excessive heat across the United States – an average of 182 deaths per year. For the same time period, 15,707 people died of cold – an average of 748 deaths a year.
Based on these figures, cold kills four times more people than heat. If these scientists are right, you can expect that figure to rise dramatically as energy demand outstrips supply. Power supplies are also impacted by ice storms and heavy snow which will lead to more outages and the disruption that brings. Generally, the infrastructure will fail to cope with month after month of excessive cold. Transportation is severely impacted by weather events and that has the knock-on effect of hitting the economy as people struggle to get to work. For the unprepared, regular food deliveries not making it to stores will leave many hungry and increasingly desperate.
The consequences of global cooling are huge, and those who fail to consider it as a possibility are risking their lives and the lives of their families.

Source

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UK weather warning: Polar blast will see temperatures fall to MINUS 7C

Nov 20, 2014 17:12
By Euan Stretch

Forecasters have warned the UK's mild spell will be replaced with a cold snap thanks to freezing air from the Arctic



Warning: Weather is set to turn Get your woollies out...Britain will get its first taste of winter in the next few days with temperatures in some parts plunging to an icy minus 7c (19F).
Forecasters have warned the current mild weather will end and be replaced with a cold snap.
They blamed a ‘meandering’ jet stream which will allow freezing air from the Arctic to sweep across the UK.
Parts of the north including Cumbria and Scotland could see temperatures plunge to -4c (25F) on Friday with sleet and snow on some high ground.



VIEW GALLERY The south will initially escape the cold blast with day-time temperatures of around 16c (61F) predicted on Friday and Saturday but then the mercury will take a dip.
Leon Brown, for The Weather Channel UK, said the whole of Britain will widely start to feel much colder by the beginning of next week.
He said: “It is feeling quite cold on Sunday. In the rain over the Southeast temperatures will be pulled down to only 5c (41F) in the afternoon after a mild start early in the day.

Weather warning: Temperatures will fall “It still looks like a frosty and icy start to Monday still across Wales and southern Britain with temperatures as low as -2c (28F) or -3c (27F).
“A colder feel to the weather next week, and there will be more frosts, especially over the north.
“On Wednesday morning Scotland may see dawn temperatures as low as minus 7c (19F).”
Weather forecasters also warned that next week’s cold spell could herald a snowy and cold winter.
Piers Corbyn, forecaster for Weather Action, said early signals warn of a severe cold snap hitting as soon as next month.
He said: “There are significant cold and snow blasts expected during December thanks to air being allowed to flood in from the Arctic region.



VIEW GALLERY “This is due to a meandering jet stream which is currently blocking this cold flow of air, however a major change will see a dramatic turnaround with sustained cold and snow likely.
“People should be aware of the strong likelihood for disruption, especially as it is still mild so there may be a false sense of security.”
James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, added: "A much anticipated colder and more wintry spell of weather is likely as we progress throughout the latter part of November and into December.”

Video at the page link:

However Met Office forecaster Laura Young disputed warnings of a cold snap.
She said: “The weather will certainly turn colder overnight Sunday for Monday and perhaps in some spots we could see minus 5c on the tops of mountains in the north.
“But actually what we are seeing is an end to what has been a very warm and wet autumn and the return to more normal temperatures for this time of year.
“Next week many places are likely to reach 13c still with an average across Britain of 9.9c which is actually not bad for this time of year.”

Reuters



Snow joke: A vehicle is shown submerged in snow sits on interstate I-190 in West Seneca, New York The chilly warnings come as the United States is crippled by a major whiteout with has so far killed seven people.
Jim Dale, forecaster for British Weather Services, said: “It is not quite cold enough yet for that to happen but it is getting colder, especially after the mild weather we have seen and what we are expecting is not linked to what is happening in the United States.
“The change is really down to this battleground between high and low pressure, it is a classic situation resulting in mild quickly followed by cold conditions.”


http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news...-blast-4663821

CFACT

Temperature flat? Ice expanding? Sea level stable? Polar bears thriving? Weather normal?

What's a scaremonger to do?