Thread: STORM WATCH: Tenacious Dorian Heads for Puerto Rico... Bahamas and Florida Could Be N

STORM WATCH: Tenacious Dorian Heads for Puerto Rico...
Bahamas and Florida Could Be Next...

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Strong Hurricane Dorian, 150mph Winds – Southeast Coast Expanded Concern…


Posted on August 31, 2019 by sundance

Hurricane Dorian has intensified and slowed. The forecast track has shifted right (east) and now extends from Florida into Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina. After Dorian impacts the Bahamas the forecast path will be more certain; until then, prepare for worst and keep praying for a right turn where Dorian stays out in Atlantic.


At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the distinct eye of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 26.0 North, longitude 73.4 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h) and a slower westward motion should continue into early next week. On this track, the core of Dorian should move over the Atlantic well north of the southeastern and central Bahamas today, be near or over the northwestern Bahamas on Sunday, and move near the Florida east coast late Monday through Tuesday.




Data from both NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunter planes indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 150 mph (240km/h) with higher gusts. Dorian is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely, but Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during the next few days. (read more)







We have a lot of Treepers in the path of this storm. If you need assistance, use the comments section of any Dorian Update thread to reach out, or use the email address in the upper right of the site.


Right now you are in control. By now you should have a solid plan in place. Work that plan, stay busy and don’t get caught up in the national hysteria. Stay updated via your local news stations. Saturday looks like the key day impact zones will be identified.



Reach out to your neighbors; touch-base and check to see if they are okay or need anything. The community restoration begins before the storm arrives. Look out for each-other. This is why preparation and communication is key.
Regarding any evacuation plan, please pay attention to your local officials who will be coordinating with state Dept. of Transportation. As the path and impact zone of the storm becomes more predictable your local officials will alert to best route for evacuation.



For those in the cone of uncertainty; remember, planning and proactive measures taken now can significantly reduce stress in the days ahead. Plan when to make the best decision on any evacuation (if needed) consider Saturday mid-day the decision time-frame; Sunday morning at the latest. As a general rule: take shelter from wind – but evacuate away from water.

Communication is important. Update your friends and family contact list. Stay in touch with family and friends, let them know your plans. Select a single point of contact for communication from you that all others can then contact for updates if needed.



Check your shutters and window coverings; test your generator; re-organize and familiarize yourself with all of your supplies and hardware. Check batteries in portable tools; locate tools you might need after the storm; walk your property to consider what you may need to do based on the storms path. All decisions are yours. You are in control.


Consider travel plans based on roads and traffic density. Being proactive now helps to keep any future stress level low. You are in control. If you have pets, additional plans may be needed.


Protect your family first, then help your friends and neighbors.

Above all else, stay calm. Actively challenge yourself to stay calm regardless of the hysteria and/or alarm around you. Stay calm and work your plan.

♦ Look over the National Hurricane Center resources for planning assistance.



♦ Also a great resource – CREATE A PLAN






https://theconservativetreehouse.com...anded-concern/

Catastrophic 185 MPH Hurricane Dorian Makes Landfall in Bahamas – East Florida Coast BE ALERT…..



Posted by sundance
September 1, 2019
Florida has suspended all roadway tolls as intensely powerful Hurricane Dorian continues a slow westward track over the Bahamas. There is a great deal of uncertainty on the timing of any northward shift… Everyone on the east coast of Florida pay attention.


The eye-wall of category-five hurricane Dorian now carries 185 mph winds outward 45 miles from center. This presents a 90-mile-wide buzzsaw of devastating impact. It cannot be overstated how dangerous this storm has become. Very few structures can withstand winds of that scale for any prolonged duration of time. [Hurricane Center Update]
This is a ‘topography changing’ event.






At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the extremely distinct eye of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 26.5 North, longitude 77.1 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slower westward motion should continue for the next day or two, followed by a gradual turn toward the northwest. On this track, the core of extremely dangerous Hurricane Dorian will continue to pound Great Abaco today and the move near or over Grand Bahama Island tonight and Monday. The hurricane should move closer to the Florida east coast late Monday through Tuesday night.



Maximum sustained winds are near 185 mph (295 km/h) with higher gusts. Dorian is a extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely, and Dorian is expected to remain a catastrophic hurricane during the next few days.




Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). (more)





For the east coast of Florida everything is contingent on a sharp turn north as predicted by the National Hurricane Center…. However, even a few miles further West can make a big difference. Do not take the path of this storm lightly.



In the past 48 hours Dorian has only moved 0.3 degrees north in latitude. It has been heading almost due West for the past two days. The Bahamas are now experiencing one of the strongest hurricanes ever recorded; and unfortunately it is moving slowly.



If you are along the Florida east coast. Do not take chances. Listen to evacuation instructions from your local officials.


A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for: North of Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line. All preparations should be rushed to completion.
Having personally been through four direct impact hurricanes from Andrew (’92) through Irma (’17). Current hurricane Dorian is much more like Andrew (Homestead, FL), and it is simply too risky to stay. If this storm doesn’t turn North as predicted it will mean significant problems. The aftermath of life after a storm like this is very hard.



If you can leave the east coast it would be prudent to prepare NOW to do so. As soon as any evacuation order is given, please leave.

https://theconservativetreehouse.com...oast-be-alert/

11:00am Hurricane Dorian – 155 MPH Winds Pummeling Grand Bahama Island – Florida Warnings Extended…



Posted by sundance


September 2, 2019


Hurricane Dorian has been pummeling Grand Bahama Island for the last 14 hours. Almost unfathomable damage and impacts to the island topography are anticipated. Wind speed has diminished slightly, and with slow continued westward movement hurricane watches and warning along the Florida coast have expanded. [Details in FL Here]


Florida, Georgia, South and North Carolina coastlines are all in various stages of watches, warnings and mandatory evacuations. The entire Southeast coast is vulnerable and watching. Stunningly, the hurricane is anticipated to remain on/near the U.S. coastline throughout the entire week.





[Hurricane Center] At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 26.8 North, longitude 78.3 West. Dorian is moving very slowly toward the west near 1 mph (2 km/h). A slow westward to west-northwestward motion is forecast during the next day or so, followed by a gradual turn toward the northwest and north.
On this track, the core of extremely dangerous Hurricane Dorian will continue to pound Grand Bahama Island through much of today and tonight. The hurricane will then move dangerously close to the Florida east coast late tonight through Wednesday evening and then move dangerously close to the Georgia and South Carolina coasts on Wednesday night and Thursday.






Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts. Dorian is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although gradual weakening is forecast, Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during the next couple of days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). (more)


The 24 Hour timelapse video is stunning and shows just how long Grand Bahama Island has been dealing with a category-5 and cateory-4 hurricane.


This is unreal. The island topography will likely experience significant change as Hurricane Dorian batters Grand Bahama through SIX full tide cycles.




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https://theconservativetreehouse.com...d/#more-169872