Thread: US election poll tracker: Who is ahead - Clinton or Trump?

US election poll tracker: Who is ahead - Clinton or Trump?

4 hours ago
From the section US Election 2016

Voters in the US will vote on 8 November to decide who will be the country's next president.

Use our poll tracker to follow the contest between the Democratic contender Hillary Clinton and her Republican rival Donald Trump.

How are Clinton's numbers looking?

Hillary Clinton has long been the frontrunner in this contest but there have been times where she has looked far from comfortable. The most recent examples came back-to-back in early September. First, she made headlines by labelling half of Donald Trump's supporters a "basket of deplorables", allowing her rival to conclude it was evidence of her disdain for "hardworking people". Then just two days later, Mrs Clinton was filmed fainting after leaving a 9/11 memorial service early. It later emerged she had been suffering from pneumonia fuelling further rumours about her health - rumours that some of her critics have been pushing for months. Her poll numbers took a noticeable hit in the days that followed, but they appeared to recover towards the end of September.

Clinton 47%
Trump 46%

The Republican candidate has made substantial gains on Mrs Clinton since her leads of about 20% in the summer of 2015 (when the field was far wider) but he has only crept ahead of her a few times. The last came after the Republican National Convention at the end of July when Mr Trump officially accepted the party's nomination. The lead didn't last long though, with his rival receiving a similar boost to her ratings at the end of the Democratic National Convention a few days later.

How did the VP picks affect the polls?

In the past, an astute pick for a candidate's running mate could earn them a double-digit boost in the polls - Bill Clinton got a 12-point bounce after naming Al Gore as his pick for vice-president in 1992. But in recent years the bounces have been far smaller and 2016 followed that trend. Neither Trump's choice of Indiana Governor Mike Pence (15 July), or Clinton's unveiling of ex-Virginian governor Tim Kaine (22 July) changed much in the polls.

http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37450661

That's close!!

Hope Trump does well tonight because if he does, he's going to soar!!