CBS/NYT Poll: Ben Carson edges out Donald Trump

CBS News October 27, 2015, 7:00 AM

CBS/NYT Poll: Ben Carson edges out Donald Trump

By Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Anthony Salvanto, and Fred Backus

Ben Carson has surpassed Donald Trump and now narrowly leads the Republican field in the race for the nomination in the latest national CBS News/New York Times Poll.

Twenty-six percent of Republican primary voters back Carson, giving him a four-point edge over Trump (22 percent). Support for Carson has quadrupled since August.

The rest of the Republican presidential candidates lag far behind in single digits. Marco Rubio is now in third place (eight percent), followed by Jeb Bush (seven percent) and Carly Fiorina (seven percent). All other candidates are at four percent or lower.

Carson has made gains across many key Republican groups. In a reversal from earlier this month, he is now ahead of Trump among women and is running neck and neck with him among men. Carson's support among evangelicals has risen and he now leads Trump by more than 20 points with this group.

Carson performs well among conservative Republicans and those who identify as Tea partiers. Trump does well with moderates and leads Carson among those without a college degree - although Trump had a larger advantage with non-college graduates earlier this month.

But the state of the race can change. Seven in 10 Republican primary voters say it is too early to say for sure that their mind is made up about which candidate they will support. This percentage is about what it was at a similar point in the Republican race four years ago.

While Carson may have moved to the top of the pack, Trump's supporters are more firm in their candidate choice than Carson's. More than half of Trump voters say their minds are made up about which candidate to back, compared to 19 percent who are currently backing Carson.

Paying Attention to the Campaign

Forty-three percent of registered voters are now paying a lot of attention to the campaign - similar to earlier this month - but up from 36 percent in September. More are paying a lot of attention now, compared to this point in time in the last two presidential election cycles.

Republican voters are more likely to be tuning into the campaign than Democrats.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsnyt-p...-donald-trump/

I wonder how the Republican "Establishment" feels about this? They'll probably like it because Carson is pro-amnesty and pro-free trade.

Come on Republicans, you know those of you supporting Carson are wrong on this, because he's wrong for America based on his policy positions.

carson can not beat the hill and there will be amnesty for sure. trump has the best chance to beat her. There is nothing great @ her but she has the democratic party voters behind her, she panders to every group for votes, she is very skilled at lying and a seasoned showboat. "practiced at the art of deception" to borrow a line from a rolling stones tune.

A lot of people don't see that she is incompetent and runs a sloppy ship even after benghazi revelations - she would be another puppet for the master though.

trump
your a nyc kid don't back down now you said your going all the way our country need your help . & you see this
good luck trump