Thread: Hot Air survey results: Presidential primary candidate and issue testing

Hot Air survey results: Presidential primary candidate and issue testing

posted at 8:41 am on May 7, 2014 by Patrick Ishmael

Longtime Hot Air readers may recall that the first “winner” we ever had in these surveys was Chris Christie. Four years ago he earned 29% of the vote, but my, how things change. Christie now has 1% of the vote and sits well behind everyone except Mike Huckabee, who he ties, Rick Santorum, and Joe Scarborough, who out of over 3000 votes received a grand total of 6.
Your current leader? Ted Cruz, who earned 29% of the vote. The top five is rounded out by Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Rick Perry and Mitt Romney.


As to issue testing, the candidates offered as “announcing” policy positions didn’t really make too much of a difference to how people voted, but what the issues were did. Supporting marijuana legalization, for instance, had a surprisingly negative impact on Ted Cruz; when he “supported” it, he came within just 10 votes of being overtaken by Scott Walker.

When Chris Christie declared his “support” for marijuana legalization, he gained about a dozen supporters, but I would chalk that net change up to the fact that Christie could hardly lose many supporters. It seems in the current Hot Air voting pool that pot legalization is not exactly a winning issue.
Medicaid block granting doesn’t appear to be a motivating issue for readers, but the calling of a Constitutional convention is. Mike Huckabee tripled his vote total when he “supported” it.

Rick Perry also gained votes, nearly tripling his take from 262 to 660 — drawing lots of votes from the top two contenders — and jumping into second place.

Even Joe Scarborough picked up some votes when he “supported” a Constitutional convention.
Anyway, the survey’s demographics are below and are pretty consistent with our past surveys. Next time I’ll ask about second choices, which I think will shed some light on the contours of the race right now.
Thanks for participating! And if you have questions, please drop those in the comments.





Tags: 2016 election, survey


http://hotair.com/archives/2014/05/0...-issue-testing

you stick Jeb "Globalist" Bush or Chris "All you can eat Chicken Wings/Globalist" on the ticket and I gotta go with Killery "HITLER's Sidekick" Clinton

bttt

Conservative Presidential Poll: Cruz, Paul, and Walker Top GOP Field

Daniel Doherty | May 07, 2014


Why blog about another 2016 GOP presidential primary poll? A good question, of course, and one I assume most of you are asking. Answer: unlike other polls routinely conducted by the major news networks (such as ABC News, NBC News, and CNN) this survey was developed for (and exclusively taken by) conservatives. Indeed, our sister site Hot Air polled more than 3,000 of their conservative readers, many of whom will (at minimum) vote in the 2014 Republican presidential primaries if not actively campaign and donate money to their preferred candidates. (Ninety-five percent of respondents describe themselves as either “Conservative,” “Very Conservative or “Libertarian”). So while this is certainly an imperfect sample, it does give us a general sense of how grassroots Righties feel about the 2016 GOP hopefuls, and which candidates, at least right now, they are leaning toward.
The results aren’t all that surprising. Ted Cruz took first place with 29 percent of the vote; Rand Paul and Scott Walker both finished in second with 18 percent:

What surprises me most of all, perhaps, is that more Hot Air readers would support Mitt Romney for president than Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, or Mike Huckabee(!). Huck, for his part, has topped the GOP field in several national surveys, and yet gets very little support from Hot Air readers. Same for Marco Rubio, who has recovered somewhat from his failed amnesty push; but he, too, isn’t a top contender. Neither is Paul Ryan, for that matter, who was widely perceived as the only True Conservative on the 2012 presidential ticket. Nevertheless, he only garnered 54 total votes out of more than 3,000 cast. None of these conservative candidates, in other words, are more desirable presidential hopefuls than Mitt Romney. What gives?
Parting question: Jeb Bush and Chris Christie each received just one percent of the total vote for obvious reasons. But how many grassroots conservatives would support either one of these establishment candidates if they secured the nomination? That is, if it came down it -- and Chris Christie or Jeb Bush gets the nod over Ted Cruz or Rand Paul -- how many of them would come around, so to speak? They're certainly more desirable presidential candidates than Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden or Martin O’Malley, right?
That's a question I'd hope to see polled one day.

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/danield...field-n1834739

Parting question: Jeb Bush and Chris Christie each received just one percent of the total vote for obvious reasons. But how many grassroots conservatives would support either one of these establishment candidates if they secured the nomination? That is, if it came down it -- and Chris Christie or Jeb Bush gets the nod over Ted Cruz or Rand Paul -- how many of them would come around, so to speak? They're certainly more desirable presidential candidates than Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden or Martin O’Malley, right?
That's a question I'd hope to see polled one day.

I'll be one of the first to bail on this Rickity ass ship

Corporations & Banksters vs. Corporations & Banksters

Its looking bad Merica