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    Senior Member AirborneSapper7's Avatar
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    Karl Rove: Now Blue-State Senate Democrats Feel the Heat- Obama's low approval rating

    WSJ Opinion

    Karl Rove: Obama's low approval ratings in eight states he won in 2012 may hurt his party badly in November.

    Karl Rove: Now Blue-State Senate Democrats Feel the Heat

    Obama's low approval ratings in eight states he won in 2012 may hurt his party badly in November.


    382 Comments
    By KARL ROVE
    March 5, 2014 7:18 p.m. ET

    For months it has been clear that Democrats have a red-state problem in the Senate midterm elections: Seven Democratic seats are up for grabs in states Mitt Romney carried in 2012, three of them opened by retirements.
    Republican Congressman Cory Gardner's decision on March 1 to run against Democratic Sen. Mark Udall in Colorado—a state President Obama carried in 2008 and 2012—indicates that Democrats have a blue-state problem too.
    The problem stems from President Obama's poor approval rating, compounded by able Republican candidates like Mr. Gardner, a rising star in the House.
    Mr. Obama's average Gallup approval rating in Colorado last year was 42.3%, compared with his 2013 national average of 46.5%. The state is also one of 44 where Mr. Obama received a smaller margin in 2012 (5.4%) than 2008 (9%). A February Quinnipiac poll put Sen. Udall a mere three points ahead of 2010 GOP nominee Ken Buck, who was widely seen as a flawed candidate.



    Democratic Senator Mark Udall of Colorado, above, will face a challenge from Republican Congressman COry Gardner this year. Associated Press

    Sen. Udall is not the only Democratic incumbent so situated. If former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown challenges New Hampshire Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, she will have to contend with Mr. Obama's low (44.6%) approval rating in the Granite State.
    Sens. Tom Udall (N.M.), Jeff Merkley (Ore.), and Mark Warner (Va.) also face headwinds. Mr. Obama's 2013 approval rating in each of their states was below his national average last year—45%, 45.4% and 46.4%, respectively.
    Sen. Warner's likely Republican opponent, former Republican National Committee chairman and White House official Ed Gillespie (and a close friend), is off to a strong financial start and drawing large numbers of young people and first-time volunteers. Sens. Udall and Merkley could face determined challengers as well—Mr. Udall from Marine veteran Allen Weh and Mr. Merkley from pediatric neurosurgeon Monica Wehby.
    Though Iowa Republicans won't settle on a nominee until at least June 14, that state's open Democratic Senate seat could also be in play: Mr. Obama's approval rating in Iowa last year was 42.4%, well below his national average.
    In the contest for the open Michigan Democratic Senate seat, Republican former Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land is winning the money race and has led in all four public polls conducted since Dec. 1. Mr. Obama's approval rating in the state last year was 47.8%, just above his national average.
    Even Minnesota's Sen. Al Franken could be in for a tough run: Mr. Obama's approval in his state last year was 48.2%. The Republican primary won't be settled until Aug. 12. But if Mr. Obama is below 50% in October and Republicans nominate a strong candidate, they could have the last laugh on the former comedian's fate.
    In the six blue states with Democratic senators up this fall, Mr. Obama's approval rating last year was below his 2013 national average in four and in two it was just above it. If the president's ratings in these states have moved in tandem with his national number, he's less popular in them now, since the president's Gallup approval was down to 42% on Wednesday. History says it will be hard for Democrats to run much ahead of the president's October approval number—and odds are that number will be lower than it is now.
    The GOP's 2010 experience is instructive. Republicans picked up four Democratic Senate seats in states that Mr. Obama carried in 2008, defeating an incumbent in Wisconsin (won by Mr. Obama by 14 percentage points) and grabbing three Democratic open seats in Illinois (25 points), Pennsylvania (10 points) and Indiana (one point).
    These were paired with 2010 red-state victories, with the GOP winning a Democratic open seat in North Dakota (which Mr. Obama lost by nine points in 2008) and knocking off a Democratic incumbent in Arkansas (which Mr. Obama lost by 20 points). In addition, the GOP retained three open seats in states Mr. Obama carried in 2008: New Hampshire (which Mr. Obama won by 10 points), Florida (three) and North Carolina (one).
    That as many as 15 Democratic seats might be in play might offset any potential GOP losses in Kentucky ( Mitch McConnell ), Maine ( Susan Collins ) and Georgia (retiring Saxby Chambliss ). Sen. McConnell in particular will face an all-out assault from every union and liberal pressure group that fears his effective leadership.
    At this moment, Republicans look likely to sweep the open red-state Democratic seats in West Virginia, South Dakota and Montana, and are poised to take most, perhaps all, of the four races involving red states with Democratic incumbents. That eight Democratic blue-state seats could also be in play dramatically increases chances Republicans pick up the net of six seats needed for a Senate majority, a result with big implications for Mr. Obama's final two years as president.
    Mr. Rove, a former deputy chief of staff to President George W. Bush, helped organize the political action committee American Crossroads.


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    Senior Member HAPPY2BME's Avatar
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    If Republicans want to LOSE ELECTIONS ON A WHOLESALE NATIONAL SCALE, all they have to do is keep Karl Rove as one of their political (expert) spokesmen ..
    Join our FIGHT AGAINST illegal immigration & to secure US borders by joining our E-mail Alerts at http://eepurl.com/cktGTn

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    Super Moderator Newmexican's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by HAPPY2BME View Post
    If Republicans want to LOSE ELECTIONS ON A WHOLESALE NATIONAL SCALE, all they have to do is keep Karl Rove as one of their political (expert) spokesmen ..
    "LaRaza" Carl Rove

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    Senior Member HAPPY2BME's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Newmexican View Post
    "LaRaza" Carl Rove
    --------------------



    KARL ROVE
    Don't fool yourself. Karl Rove is driven by one thing - $ GREED $.

    We are occupied by over 20 million illegal aliens from Mexico thanks to Karl Rove and George W. Bush.

    Karl Rove and the corporate corruption he represents are the very same traitors today as he was the day he endoresed LaRaza publicly and openly.

    CORPORATIONS + LA RAZA = OPEN BORDERS? - Big Corporations, Karl Rove Openly Pander To LaRaza




    Included in the video are:

    * Corporate sponsors of the event pitching to the Hispanic audience.
    * Excerpts from Karl Rove, White House strategist on the Administration's Immigration reform policy.
    * Reaction from a sampling of attendees representing Latino and migrant rights organizations.
    * Video clips interviews with the Nativo Lopez, president of MAPA a prominent retired Hispanic law enforcement official. L. A. County Sheriff's Sergeant Richard Valdemar.


    "Border security is simply IMPOSSIBLE . . without reducing the pressure on the border. As the president likes to say, "Family values don't stop at the Rio Grande." If you can make fifty cents an hour in Mexico and ten bucks an hour in the United States and you want to feed your family, you're coming to the United States every time ."

    Karl Rove speaking to LaRaza, July, 2006
    Join our FIGHT AGAINST illegal immigration & to secure US borders by joining our E-mail Alerts at http://eepurl.com/cktGTn

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