The Lid Just Got Blown Off Of A MAJOR Secret About Trump Supporters That Could Change
The Lid Just Got Blown Off Of A MAJOR Secret About Trump Supporters That Could Change The Election
Could be a game-changer...
F. Peter Brown December 21, 2015 at 1:48pm
Donald Trump holds a huge lead nationally in the Republican presidential field, and he also holds the lead in many early-voting states.
Recent polls point to the massive advantage Trump has over other Republicans in nationwide polling. Last week, a Monmouth survey revealed that 41% of Republican voters nationwide back Trump.
A day after that poll was released, a Washington Post/ABC News poll showed Trump with 38% of the Republican vote nationally.
On Friday, a Fox News poll showed Trump with 39% of the vote nationally, more support than Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Ben Carson combined. Cruz, Rubio, and Carson are the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th place candidates in the field, respectively.
All other Republicans in the poll were at 3% or lower nationally, including Jeb Bush who’s support is down to 3%.
Now, a newly released study by Morning Consult, a polling and marketing research company, reveals that Trump’s lead among the Republican presidential candidates may in fact be significantly higher than many polls show.
The company wondered why online surveys consistently show significantly more support among Republicans for Trump than telephone surveys.
They conducted an experiment that consisted of a traditional telephone survey, a online survey, and an interactive dialing technique that asked voters to select their favorite candidate by pressing buttons on their telephone.
Kyle Dropp, Morning Consult’s polling director, spoke about the results of the poll, stating that “voters are about six points more likely to support Trump when they’re taking the poll online than when they’re talking to a live interviewer.”
Interestingly, the support among blue-collar Republicans for Trump remained similar regardless of which type of polling was conducted.
However, among college-educated Republicans, there was a dramatic shift based on the type of polling, with a whopping nine percentage more college-educated Republicans supporting Trump in online polling.
Dropp and his colleagues believe that something called social-desirability bias, the well-known tendency of people to not commit to unpopular views with a live pollster, explains the difference.
The finding also suggest that voters might be more inclined to support Trump in the anonymity of a voting booth than they would in telephone surveys.
Dropp stated, “It’s our sense that a lot of polls are under-reporting Trump’s overall support.”
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