Poll: Trump has 1-point lead over Clinton

By Rebecca Savransky
September 25, 2016, 02:44 pm

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump leads Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton by 1 point among likely voters, according to a new Morning Consult poll.

Trump is favored by 39 percent of likely voters and Clinton is backed by 38 percent, according to the poll.

Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson is supported by 9 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein is backed by 4 percent.

In a head-to-head matchup, Clinton leads Trump by 2 points among likely voters, 44 to 42 percent.

In a Morning Consult poll taken earlier this month, Sept. 15-16, Clinton had a 2-point lead over her Republican rival in a four-way matchup.

In the most recent RealClearPolitics average of polls, Clinton maintains a 2.5 point lead.

Among white likely voters in the Morning Consult poll, Trump leads Clinton, 44 to 33 percent.

But Clinton has a large advantage over her Republican rival among Hispanic likely voters, 54 to 20 percent and among African-American voters, 75 to 7 percent.

Respondents were split on who they expect to win the first presidential debate, with 29 percent of registered voters predicting a victory for Trump and 36 percent predicting Clinton will win. Another 35 percent say they don't know or have no opinion about what will happen Monday night.

Half of voters say the debates will be at least somewhat important in deciding which candidate they vote for. Another 23 percent say the debates won't be important at all.