Polls: Trump Takes Commanding Leads in New Hampshire, North Carolina
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by MATTHEW BOYLE
3 Nov 2016
NEW YORK CITY
NEW YORK CITY, New York — Republican presidential nominee Donald J. Trump has now taken a commanding lead in the latest surveys out of New Hampshire and North Carolina as his pathway to the White House grows by the hour in the final week.
An ARG poll out of New Hampshire, conducted from Oct. 31 through Nov. 2, shows Trump with a comfortable five point lead in the Granite State—outside the survey’s four percent margin of error. Trump, at 48 percent, leads Clinton who lags at 43 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson got four percent and the Green Party’s Dr. Jill Stein got one percent, while four percent were undecided. The poll surveyed 600 likely voters, and it’s the third survey out of New Hampshire on Thursday showing Trump either leading or tied with Clinton.
Down in North Carolina, the third survey in as many days shows Trump with a similarly strong lead. Trump’s 5.9 percent lead—he’s at 49.6 percent while Clinton trails down at 43.7 percent—is outside the latest Red Wolf Public Sector survey’s 4.9 percent margin of error. That survey polled 375 likely voters in North Carolina, and tracks closely with other surveys out of the Tar Heel state suggesting Trump has moved ahead in the final week.
Trump has seemingly locked in the red states, which amount to 191 electoral votes, and similarly has taken leads in Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, and Maine’s second congressional district. If he holds all these places in which he currently leads, he will hit exactly 270 electoral votes—and that’s without even counting other states with close races like Virginia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Colorado, New Mexico, Wisconsin, or Minnesota.
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