Thread: This is the single most stunning poll number on Donald Trump I have seen

This is the single most stunning poll number on Donald Trump I have seen

By Chris Cillizza January 15 at 2:21 PM

Donald Trump, as I tell anyone who asks, defies virtually every political rule I thought I knew.

There's no better encapsulation of Trump's up-is-down-and-down-is-up effect on presidential politics than a new number from the just-released NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.

The question asked is a simple one: Could you see yourself supporting [fill in the blank candidate] for the Republican nomination for president? When NBC/WSJ first asked GOP voters that question about Trump last March, fewer than one in four (23 percent) said they could see themselves voting for him.

To say that things have changed since then is an understatement on the level of saying Tom Brady is a pretty decent quarterback. Witness this chart built by the indispensable Philip Bump.

It's hard to overstate how remarkable it is that the number of Republicans who could see themselves backing a Trump nomination rose 42 — FORTY TWO — percentage points in 10 months. It's all the more remarkable when you consider that Trump was already totally known by the GOP electorate last spring, meaning that his gains since that time are almost entirely the result of him changing peoples' minds. And it's something else entirely when you consider how Trump got here — a mixture of bravado and anger sprinkled with a dose of controversial statements and seeming gaffes that would have felled lesser candidate many times over.

Trump's improvement on the "could you see yourself voting for him" question is amazing enough in a vacuum. When you compare his rise on the question to, say, how Jeb Bush has fared on it, you begin to appreciate the true remarkableness of what Trump has done. Again, this chart comes courtesy of Philip Bump.

If you need a single chart that tells the fact-really-is-stranger-than-fiction story of the Republican race to date, that's it.

What a race. I can't even begin to wonder what's coming next month when voters actually start voting.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...p-i-have-seen/

Click on link for charts.

Iowa Trump Supporters! Please, please register if you're not already registered Republical, get to the Caucuses on time or early, before 6:30 pm, take a valid piece of mail with your current address with you along with a photo ID so you can both register if you need to and Caucus on Feb 1. Make this the biggest Iowa Caucus turn out .... EVER!

Some economists claim that oil prices are going to go back up sharply this year, especially later. While I am not for that, it would lead to more dissatisfaction with the Dems. Kinda crazy, but it does seem to be true that it has an effect on votes.

Originally Posted by Captainron

Some economists claim that oil prices are going to go back up sharply this year, especially later. While I am not for that, it would lead to more dissatisfaction with the Dems. Kinda crazy, but it does seem to be true that it has an effect on votes.

Prices may go up here in the US because Congress lifted the ban on US oil exports.