Thread: Prediction: Obama Will Savage Romney

newsmax.com
By John LeBoutillier
Monday, 02 Jan 2012 11:19 AM

Every year at this time, I try to look to the year ahead and picture what may happen — especially in the world of politics and world affairs. It is difficult to distinguish between what we want to happen and what we think will happen. I try to do my best to keep my own biases and desires out of these predictions each year. So, here we go:

Something — politically — cataclysmic is going to happen this year somewhere around the world before the Nov. 6 presidential and congressional elections. This will be a man-made event — an attack or an assassination or a revelation of a big scandal — that will shock us all and re-jigger the political world.

2012 will be the wildest, most unpredictable election year since 1968. 2011 was the craziest year inside the GOP — ever — with five different front-runners who rose and then sank within months (Trump, Bachmann, Perry, Cain, and Gingrich). And all this transpired before even one real vote was cast! If the lead-up to 2012 is this unpredictable and unhappy, how can the election itself not be even crazier?

It is a virtual lock that Ron Paul will finish either first or second in the Iowa caucuses Tuesday night. Why? Because his supporters are the most fervent and devoted — and they will turn out on Tuesday night for sure. Romney? He could finish anywhere from first to third — that is how fluid this race, and his support, is.

Ron Paul will not run in the general election as a third-party candidate. Why not? As my Campaign Confidential colleague Pat Caddell said, “Ron Paul would cost the GOP any chance at the presidency and the blowback would destroy any chances his son, up-and-coming GOP Senator Rand Paul, would have inside the Republican Party down the line.” Pat is right. Ron is 76; this is his last rodeo. But the Pauls and their libertarian cause will live to fight another day inside the Republican Party.

Rick Santorum will be in the top three in Iowa — and will, for a while, inherit much of the Christian evangelical vote.

There will be a dynamic third candidate in the race against President Barack Obama and the Republican nominee. With 70 percent of American voters saying they are alienated from both parties, there is a gigantic space in this year’s race for a new, serious, exciting candidate — not a has-been and not a self-promoting clown candidate. This candidate has not yet been mentioned amid all the speculation over a third candidate.
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will not be Iran’s president by this time next year.

There will be another economic downturn in 2012 that will knock Obama’s re-election chances backward. Unemployment numbers will go back up again — a statistical fact if things on the jobs front seem to be improving and more people re-join the workforce. The nation will gasp if the unemployment number does indeed go back up — and polls will show Obama’s re-election chances again dimming.

If Mitt Romney is the GOP nominee, Team Obama will savage him in the 16 swing states with eviscerating TV commercials beginning as soon as it appears Romney will be the nominee. The focus will be to go after Romney’s self-proclaimed strength: his business career in the world of private equity and mergers and acquisitions. This will be the mirror image of what the George H.W. Bush campaign did to another former Massachusetts governor, Mike Dukakis, in 1988. In that case, Dukakis was running on his supposed-Massachusetts Miracle and his so-called “competence” as an executive. But when the Bush campaign was done with him and his record in the Bay State, he had nothing left to campaign on. He was destroyed in November 1988. Team Obama will try to replicate this by running ads featuring laid-off workers who lost their jobs while Romney “enriched” himself. Romney and the GOP better be ready for this.

Obama also will hit Romney on two issues that have cropped up because of Mitt’s attempt to move to the right to get on the “right” side of Gingrich and Perry: He came out for the Paul Ryan Medicare plan to get to the right of Newt, and he took the extremely hard line on illegal immigration in opposition to Perry and then Newt. Look for Obama to attack Romney among seniors on this Medicare plan — and in Hispanic areas on the illegal immigration issue.

If Obama wants to play the class warfare card, then Republicans, if they select Mitt Romney, are nominating the one candidate who plays into that stereotype. With his “I’ll bet you $10,000” moments and pictures of him with cash coming out of his pockets (from his Bain days), Team Obama will have a field day.

The so-called mainstream media — always in the tank for Obama — will re-double their efforts to re-elect the president. Why? Because to have the first African-American president defeated would be to de-legitimize all that the left has believed in. So they will help Obama in his scorched-earth strategy —– if that is the only way he can get re-elected.
Let us all hope for a great 2012 for the United States!

http://www.newsmax.com/JohnLeBoutill...1/02/id/422756

Election 2012: Romney 45%, Obama 39%

Mitt Romney has now jumped to his biggest lead ever over President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup. It’s also the biggest lead a named Republican candidate has held over the incumbent in Rasmussen Reports surveying to date.The latest national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters favor the former Massachusetts governor, while 39% prefer the president. Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...ey_45_obama_39

No President has ever been re-elected with an approval rating under 50%, and no sitting President has ever been elected with unemployment over 7%. White middle class Independent voters are the reason that Obama Is President, they will not be there for him In 2012. I predict Obama loses In a landslide to Romney .... TS

A previous prediction from the same author .... Romney's Days Are Numbered in GOP Primary

By John LeBoutillier

Five weeks from Tuesday – January 10, 2012 – is the New Hampshire Primary. That day – and night – will be the end of Mitt Romney’s six-year quest to become President of the United States.

Here is how things are going to happen, and why:

The GOP primary voter hates the GOP Establishment. That is why the Tea Party was born.

These voters do not like Mitt Romney. He has never connected with them. His disastrous, churlish Brett Baier Fox News Channel interview last Tuesday accelerated his decline and thus the inevitable end of his campaign.

The tea party and Christian evangelical voter – and they are two distinct groups – have never liked Mitt.

These voters are now the heart of the GOP.

They are coalescing behind Newt Gingrich - for now.

Cain’s remaining voters will now go to Newt as the best vehicle to rebel against the GOP Establishment.

So here is the chronology:

• Newt Gingrich will solidify in the polls over the next month as the Anti-Romney/anti-GOP Establishment vessel– even as he says things filled with hubris and arrogance that make people begin to wonder if he is really the right man to be the GOP nominee.
• The New Hampshire Union Leader will – as they did four years ago when they tore Romney apart after endorsing McCain – begin using their news pages to excoriate Romney’s record in government and business; his polls numbers in New Hampshire will thus continue to decline.
• Newt will win the Iowa caucuses on January 3rd; Romney might come in third or even fourth.
• Immediately thereafter the bottom will drop out of Romney’s remaining support in the Granite State as Newt surges there.
• A week later, Newt wins New Hampshire.
• The polls – which today have Newt crushing Mitt in both South Carolina and Florida – will reflect the end of Romney; Romney’s remaining national support will sink like a stone.

That is when Phase Two of the GOP race begins.

Voters and GOP office-holders and officials realize that Newt Gingrich is not the candidate to lead the Republicans in the general election.

His negatives will grow; to see a lot of Newt is to not like him.

Republican congressmen and senate candidates will be in an absolute state of panic over a November general election with Newt at the top of the ticket.

Talk will begin of an anti-Newt getting into the race – in March or April – to save the party.

That is for another column down the line.

Right now we are witnessing the grass-roots GOP primary voter rising up and rejecting Mitt Romney.

Newt Gingrich is misreading that phenomenon and believes these voters buy him; they don’t really know him - yet.

He is a vessel for angry, anti-establishment, outsider voters. Nothing more.

Ironically, these voters are embracing – temporarily – the candidate who encompasses everything they loathe: insider, money-making cronyism, lobbying, rigging the DC system to himself. Newt is the champion of this behavior – and yet these voters are championing him!

But Newt’s biggest problem – an unrestrained megalomania – will soon overtake him.

He will wear badly – and by the spring the voters will be crying for someone else.

So buckle your seatbelts for a wild few weeks to come!

Read more on Newsmax.com: Romney's Days Are Numbered in GOP Primary

http://www.newsmax.com/JohnLeBoutill...2/04/id/419875

Democratic Party Operatives “Swarm” Iowa to Attack Mitt Romney

A Boston Herald article outlines a concerted effort by Democratic Party operatives to disrupt Mitt Romney’s recent success in Iowa – with more to come as the Republican primary campaign continues to other states.

It would certainly appear it is Mitt Romney that the Obama re-election team is preparing to do battle with in 2012 – and perhaps the Republican candidate they most fear. Take this excerpt from a Boston Herald article published today: Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is fending off attacks from national Democrats who are traveling across the state today to blast him outside his own events on the eve of tomorrow’s GOP caucuses.…DNC chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz also planned a press conference in Florida focusing solely on Romney and his “attempts to rewrite history, distract voters from his out of touch positions and support for failed policies that won’t http://theulstermanreport.com/2012/0...k-mitt-romney/

Of course the democrats are attacking Romney. They know he can beat Nobama in the general election.

Mitt Romney: I would veto DREAM Act, end illegal immigration

Read more: http://www.thestatecolumn.com/articl...#ixzz1iKfvXGb0

"To sin by silence when they should protest makes cowards of men." Abraham Lincoln

In light of that saying and a song I learned when younger and playing rugby, it fits Romney:

Why were you born so beautiful,
Why were you born so tall,
You're no ****ing good to anyone
You're no ***ing good at all.

I am not a Romney man or a great fan, but just as the guys that used to sing the song, it shows how qualities can be turned back on someone and usually by those who, in my opinion, resent the talents, looks or wealth of others.

I am not beautiful, tall or wealthy. I admit that inside me is the same wretched trace of envy that exists in most of us. Do you remember how the women of America , many of them, turned against Palin?? Far beyond anything that was real and publishable. I never really understood it, but I believe ti to be envy. I believe many women said --"Hey, she is just an empty headed beauty queen". I will wager that if Jan Brewer of Arizona had been McCain's choice, the vitriol and envy would have been at a much lower level. The MSM could not have played all the smarmy tricks on Ms Brewer as they did on Palin. I suspect, also, that if Brewer had slips of the tongue as Palin did, the MSM would not be effectual, at all, at trying to paint her as an incompetent.

That said, when I look at Romney's accomplishments versus his perceived or real misdeeds, I do not see a bad person. I recognize the smallness of my character at dismissing him, originally, out of hand. I am not in his camp, but in fairness to him, to myself and to my conscience, I am trying to evaluate on a non human failing level(mine), to see if he is worthy.

I accept his business skills as a plus. I have seen some changes on some of the issues and I believe that we all have the right to see the error of our ways and to adapt, not toady to the voting public, but to adapt to the realities of life. I just wish he would say--"Hey, I screwed up with MassCare. It seemed the right and benevolent thing to do at the time to help people. I was wrong. Let's go on from here."

I know my candidate has not much of a chance. As a matter of fact, I believe his/her candidacy to be dead. I have not eliminated Romney from consideration. I believe him to be a bit of a RINO. but overall, he is a conservative and respects the Constitution and will support it. He has recently aligned his positoion o ilegal immigration, jobs and energy in keeping with conservative wishes.

I do not feel the same about all the candidates.

Romney is a far superior candidate than Obama.

Originally Posted by misterbill

"To sin by silence when they should protest makes cowards of men." Abraham Lincoln

In light of that saying and a song I learned when younger and playing rugby, it fits Romney:

Why were you born so beautiful,
Why were you born so tall,
You're no ****ing good to anyone
You're no ***ing good at all.

I am not a Romney man or a great fan, but just as the guys that used to sing the song, it shows how qualities can be turned back on someone and usually by those who, in my opinion, resent the talents, looks or wealth of others.

I am not beautiful, tall or wealthy. I admit that inside me is the same wretched trace of envy that exists in most of us. Do you remember how the women of America , many of them, turned against Palin?? Far beyond anything that was real and publishable. I never really understood it, but I believe ti to be envy. I believe many women said --"Hey, she is just an empty headed beauty queen". I will wager that if Jan Brewer of Arizona had been McCain's choice, the vitriol and envy would have been at a much lower level. The MSM could not have played all the smarmy tricks on Ms Brewer as they did on Palin. I suspect, also, that if Brewer had slips of the tongue as Palin did, the MSM would not be effectual, at all, at trying to paint her as an incompetent.

That said, when I look at Romney's accomplishments versus his perceived or real misdeeds, I do not see a bad person. I recognize the smallness of my character at dismissing him, originally, out of hand. I am not in his camp, but in fairness to him, to myself and to my conscience, I am trying to evaluate on a non human failing level(mine), to see if he is worthy.

I accept his business skills as a plus. I have seen some changes on some of the issues and I believe that we all have the right to see the error of our ways and to adapt, not toady to the voting public, but to adapt to the realities of life. I just wish he would say--"Hey, I screwed up with MassCare. It seemed the right and benevolent thing to do at the time to help people. I was wrong. Let's go on from here."

I know my candidate has not much of a chance. As a matter of fact, I believe his/her candidacy to be dead. I have not eliminated Romney from consideration. I believe him to be a bit of a RINO. but overall, he is a conservative and respects the Constitution and will support it. He has recently aligned his positoion o ilegal immigration, jobs and energy in keeping with conservative wishes.

I do not feel the same about all the candidates.

Romney is a far superior candidate than Obama.

Nice to hear a thought provoking post like this Romney was not my first choice,but If he wins the nomination like I think that he will, I will support him. TS

Originally Posted by topsecret10

Nice to hear a thought provoking post like this Romney was not my first choice,but If he wins the nomination like I think that he will, I will support him. TS

Me too! TS Me too!