Thread: Polls: Donald Trump Losing Support Among His Base, But Few Gains for Democrats

Polls: Donald Trump Losing Support Among His Base, But Few Gains for Democrats

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Evan Vucci/AP

by ADAM SHAW7 Nov 2017


Two polls released this week suggest that President Trump’s base, which formed the bedrock of his 2016 victory, is drifting away from him as some of his top campaign promises remain unfulfilled.

A Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll published Tuesday found that so-called “Trump counties” — battleground counties that helped swing the election his way — now are giving Trump disapproval ratings of around 50 percent.


According to the Journal:

The survey included 800 adults in counties where Mr. Trump either outperformed 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney by at least 20 percentage points or flipped a county that had favored Democrat Barack Obama in the prior election.

Meanwhile, a CNN poll released Monday shows that Trump has seen significant erosion among non-college educated white voters — a key part of his base. After 100 days in office, the poll gave him a 59 percent approval rating among those voters; now it is at just 46 percent. However, he has also seen a slight uptick in approval from college-educated white voters, where his approval has gone up from 38 percent to 42 percent.

The polling suggests that Trump’s “America First” base is getting increasingly frustrated with the inability of the White House, along with Republicans in Congress, to pass big-ticket campaign promises into law, such as a border wall, immigration restrictions, and the repeal of Obamacare.

The Journal suggests that the polling’s timing, taking place just after the indictment of three former Trump aides in FBI Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into alleged Russian interference in the 2016 election, may also play a role.


Trump is currently using much of his political capital to ram a controversial tax reform bill through Congress by year’s end. But the Journal/NBC poll finds that almost half of adults in those key counties have no opinion of the current bill — suggesting a hard-fought tax reform may do little to create an upswing in Trump’s political fortunes in 2017.


However, there is little sign that the tepidity from Trump’s base is translating into greater support for Democrats. In those countries, 48 percent say they want a Republican Congress, while only 39 percent want Democrats to take charge.


The CNN poll, meanwhile, finds that the Democratic Party is in a funk of its own, with just 37 percent of Americans having a favorable opinion of the party, down from 44 percent in March. The 54 percent unfavorability rating equals the party’s highest unfavorability rating from 1992, with low marks from key Democratic constituencies such as nonwhites (48 percent) and people under 35-years-old (33 percent.)


This round of polling comes after a Washington Post/ABC News poll found that if the 2016 election were held again today, even after the many controversies of his first days in office, Trump would still likely beat Democratic challenger Hillary Clinton.

This is similar to a piece that Newsweek is running now. How true these are I can't say---but we know that the media will take any cheap shot at Trump that it can.
All US national politics is simply coalitions put together, so for people to have a negative view of Trump to me shows that the country is having a hard time---and that could be the cumulative effect of previous policies. Interesting remark on the CNN poll---Dems are not doing so hot either. Sure Trump is not doing well, but any of the other serious contenders would be in a malaise, too, and probably worse.

It's not surprising. With the onslaught of fake news and negative blasting of this President for months, not only from DemoQuacks and the Corrupt Media but from conservatives, luke warm Republicans and hold your nose Trump Voters, it's going to have an impact on approval ratings. It's the "instant gratification" syndrome. You know, it's like the spoiled kid who tore up his bike and Dad promised him a new one on pay day, June 15, but couldn't deliver because the car broke down and the bike money had to be used fix the car, who goes "WAAAAA, WAAAAAA, BUT YOU PROMISED". And Dad looks at that spoiled mess and says, "well, gee, son, now you won't get your new bike until they go on sale after Christmas, because instead, I'm going to get your sister a new Barbie to replace the one your dog chewed up and your mom a new dress to replace the one you spilled your grape juice on."

Everyone needs to remember that Trump didn't tear up the bike, chew up the doll or spill the grape juice. He's just trying his best to fix as many of these problems as he can in the short amount of time he has to do it. And when he does, I'm sure there will be plenty who wail "WAAAA, WAAAA, BUT I WANTED THE SCHWINN, NOT THE WESTERN FLYER."

We have a new era of more direct contact of the citizens with their legislators. I don't think most people used to pay attention to what REALLY happened---the differences were resolved in backroom deals, so to speak, politics being the art of compromise and the domain of lobbyists. Now we have at least a few major issues that millions of people can weigh in on, due to the activist networks that have sprung up and the internet and email.

Voters in 'Trump counties' don't believe US is better off today than before Trump became president: Poll

[COLOR=#636C72 !important]by Melissa Quinn | Nov 7, 2017, 10:09 AM Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Email this article Share on LinkedIn Print this article

A new survey found that 32 percent of residents in "Trump counties," counties that flipped for or overwhelmingly supported Donald Trump, say the U.S. is better off today than before Trump became commander in chief. (AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki, File)
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Many Americans living in counties that flipped for or overwhelmingly supported Donald Trump during the 2016 election don’t believe the country is better off today under his leadership, according to a new poll from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.

The poll, released Tuesday, focused on residents of the 438 counties in 15 states that went from blue to red in 2016, or voted overwhelmingly for Trump compared to 2012 Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney.





Among those residents, 41 percent believe the country is worse off today than it was when Trump assumed the presidency. Additionally, 26 percent believe things in the country haven’t changed.

Thirty-two percent of residents in these “Trump counties” say the U.S. is better off today than before Trump became commander in chief.

The majority of residents, 53 percent, in counties that either flipped from Democrat to Republican in 2016 or saw a surge of support for Trump, don’t believe the president has a strong agenda for addressing the country’s top issues.

But the president enjoys a higher approval rating among residents of “Trump counties” than among the general voting population. Forty-eight percent of residents approve of the job Trump is doing as president, compared to 50 percent who disapprove.

Overall, 38 percent of voters said they are pleased with Trump’s job performance, compared to 58 percent who disapprove, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll published last month.

Residents of “Trump counties” are especially disappointed with how the president has improved America’s image worldwide, helped unite the country, boosted race relations, and improved the healthcare system.

Fifty-seven percent of voters in those counties are unhappy with how Trump has enhanced America’s image, and 60 percent are dissatisfied with how he has helped to unite the country. Additionally, just 37 percent of “Trump county” voters said they are satisfied with his efforts to improve race relations and improve the healthcare system.

“Trump counties” are located in Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll surveyed 800 residents in “Trump Counties” from Nov. 1 to Nov. 4. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.46 percent.

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/vo...rticle/2639850

Poll: Trump's performance lags behind even tepid public expectations


Dan Balz and Scott ClementWashington Post

A majority of Americans say President Donald Trump has not accomplished much during his first nine months in office and they have delivered a report card that is far harsher even than the tepid expectations they set for his tenure when he was sworn into office, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News survey.

Approaching the first anniversary of his victory over Hillary Clintonin the 2016 election, Trump has an approval rating demonstrably lower than any previous chief executive at this point in his presidency over seven decades of polling. Fewer than 4 in 10 Americans — 37 percent — say they approve of the way he is handling his job.

Trump's approval rating has changed little over the past four months, which have included tumultuous events, from hurricanes to legislative setbacks to indictments in special counsel Robert MuellerIII's investigation into the role Russia played in the 2016 campaign.

The president's disapproval rating has reached 59 percent, with 50 percent saying they strongly disapprove of the job he is doing. While little changed since the summer, both represent the worst marks of his presidency.

He is the only president dating back to Harry S. Truman whose approval rating at this point in his presidency is net negative - by 22 points. The next worst recorded in that time was Bill Clinton, who had a net positive of 11 points by this time in his presidency.

Trump began his presidency with only modest expectations on the part of a public that was divided coming out of last year's contentious election. Roughly 100 days into his presidency, 42 percent said he had accomplished a great deal or a good amount while in office. Today, that has declined to 35 percent.

Meanwhile, 65 percent say he has accomplished "not much" or "little or nothing." This is up from 56 percent last spring. Forty-three percent of all Americans give him the lowest possible rating, saying he has accomplished "little or nothing."

At the 100-day mark of Trump's presidency last spring, Americans were split almost evenly on the question of whether he was keeping most of his major campaign promises, with 44 percent saying he was and 41 percent disagreeing. Today the verdict is more severe, with a majority (55 percent) saying he is not keeping most of those promises.

The public sees Democrats acting mostly as an opposition party, rather than offering ideas of their own. Asked whether the Democratic Party is presenting alternatives to Trump's proposals or mainly criticizing the president, 61 percent said mainly criticizing, identical to the percentage who said this of Republican Party leaders one year after Obama's election. Only a plurality of Democrats (47 percent) say their leaders are offering alternatives to Trump's ideas.

Trump's actions and behavior have drawn sharp criticism from a few members of his own party, most recently from Sens. Bob Corker of Tennessee and Jeff Flake and John McCain of Arizona. Former president George W. Bush delivered a recent speech that, while never mentioning Trump by name, was seen as a rebuke of the way the president is conducting himself in office.

The Post-ABC News poll asked self-identified Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP whether they believed their party leaders should speak out when they disagree with the president. Overall, 71 percent said they should, with just 27 percent saying those leaders should avoid criticizing him, including 65 percent of Trump voters who say Republicans should air their disagreements.

On four key issues, Trump has not matched the early expectations for his presidency, and today, majorities - in some case strong majorities - give him negative reviews. Those issues are the economy, dealing with race relations, improving the health-care system and dealing with the threat of terrorism. (Part of this survey was conducted before the terrorist attack on Tuesday that left eight people dead in New York.)

The president has pointed to what he sees as significant accomplishments in the area of the economy, with the stock market at record levels, unemployment at 4.1 percent - a 17-year low - and growth in the two most recent quarters at 3 percent.

But the public gives him little credit for the state of the economy. Last January, 61 percent offered a positive assessment when asked how they thought he would handle the economy. Today, 44 percent give him positive marks, while 53 percent say he has not done well.

In January, a majority (56 percent) said they believed he would do an excellent or good job dealing with threats of terrorism. Today, 43 percent give him positive reviews.

Trump receives even lower ratings on race and health care. Fewer than 3 in 10 say he has done a good job dealing with race relations, which is 12 points below the 40 percent who said in January they thought he would handle race issues effectively. Half of all Americans say they believe Trump is biased against black people and slightly more (55 percent) say he is biased against women.

The racial assessment follows a backlash to Trump's comments about the white supremacist rally in August in Charlottesville, Virginia, where marchers chanted Nazi slogans and the ensuing violence left one woman dead and others injured. Two state police officers also died when their helicopter crashed after assisting in the unrest. Trump was slow to condemn the marchers and at one point said there were "very fine people" among the neo-Nazi demonstrators.

In January, 44 percent said they expected him to handle the issue of health care effectively, including 87 percent of Republicans. Optimism has faded sharply, with 26 percent of Americans and 59 percent of Republicans giving him positive marks today. The overall percentage offering a negative assessment has jumped from 51 percent in January to 70 percent today, including 47 percent who give him the lowest rating, "poor."

Political independents have soured the most considering Trump's pre-inaugural expectations and current ratings. The percentage of independents saying Trump is doing a good job on the economy, race relations and health care is more than 20 points lower than the percentage that expected him to perform well in January. On terrorism, today's ratings are 17 points below early expectations among independents.

Congressional Republicans were stymied in their efforts to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, despite years of promises to do so. The House, after first failing to pass a bill, eventually approved a measure and sent it to the Senate. Senate Republican leaders struggled to get a health bill to the floor for consideration. When they did, they fell short of the necessary majority needed to keep the process moving.

Throughout that process, Trump prodded the Republican leadership, principally Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., with demeaning tweets demanding action. Ever since the effort broke down, Trump has attempted to focus the ire of disappointed conservatives on those congressional Republicans, but the failed effort also appears to have taken a toll on him.

A solid majority (59 percent) also see Trump as trying to make the federal health law fail. Less than one-tenth of the public says they support those efforts to scuttle the law through executive actions, while overall, 50 percent of the public opposes what they see as Trump undermining the existing program.

As tensions mount over North Korea's pursuit of a nuclear weapon and delivery system capable of hitting the United States, the public has little trust in the president to handle the problem responsibly. A majority (51 percent) say they trust him "not at all" on this national security issue and 16 percent say they trust him "just some." Meanwhile, 32 percent say they trust him "a great deal" or "a good amount."

Other measures highlight the degree to which Trump is governing with the support of a minority of the population. Four in 10 say he is a strong leader. That's 13 points below the level in April. On this question, he has gone from a net positive of eight points to a net negative of 19 points. Roughly twice as many Americans say that under Trump, U.S. leadership in the world has gotten weaker rather than stronger, 53 to 26 percent.

Trump campaigned on his dealmaking ability, but the public doubts his ability to forge political agreements. Almost 6 in 10 say he is not good at making political deals while under 4 in 10 say he is good at making deals.

One-third say he is honest and trustworthy, down only marginally since April. On the question of whether he has the temperament and personality needed to serve as president, 31 percent say yes, while 66 percent say no. That is the lowest since August 2016, when candidate Trump was embroiled in a controversy with a Gold Star family.

A minority of 37 percent say he understands the problems "of people like you," unchanged since last spring, while 42 percent say he has brought needed change to Washington, marginally better than when last measured two months ago.

Of those Americans who say they voted in 2016, 46 percent say they supported Clinton, and 43 percent say they backed Trump. If an election were held today, with the same candidates, 40 percent of those 2016 voters say they would back Trump, and 40 percent say they would support Clinton.

Trump has succeeded in satisfying voters who elected him president but few others. Voters who supported Trump continue to be overwhelmingly supportive, with 91 percent approving of his performance, including 69 percent "strongly." A still larger 95 percent of Clinton voters disapprove of him, with 88 percent who feel that way strongly. Among those who supported neither candidate - or did not vote - 24 percent approve of Trump while 68 percent disapprove.

The Post-ABC poll was conducted Oct. 29 to Nov. 1 among a random national sample of 1,005 adults reached on cell and landline phones with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

The Washington Post's Emily Guskin contributed to this report.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/politics/ct-trump-approval-rating-poll-20171105-story.html

We need a link beneath the main article please.

And yes, we have known Trump is losing his own base mostly becaus of his betrayal on his most important issues involving immigration.

Trump campaigned promising to end Obama's DACA and DAPA programs on his first day.

He lied and now he continues protecting DACA illegal aliens while conspiring with Congress to make Obama's DACA Amnesty permanent through legislation!

How ridiculous it is to see this happening because if Trump had ever mentioned he would support making DACA illegal immigrants legal through legislation he would have been laughed out of the GOP primary because he has the same positions on immigration now as Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, John McCain,... etc..

Even Lindsey Graham talks all the time on Fox News about how happy he is with Trump on immigration.

Trump betrayed his base by pretending to be a man of the American people when in truth his actions show he is a pro amnesty illegal alien supporting globalist.

http://www.breitbart.com/big-governm...for-democrats/

Link