Suffolk/Boston Globe Poll: Trump Up By 10 Points on Rubio in NH

(Wire Services Photo)
By Cathy Burke | Friday, 05 Feb 2016 04:40 PM



Donald Trump has a 10-point lead among GOP presidential candidates, with Florida Sen. Marco Rubio closing in, a new poll of New Hampshire voters shows.

The Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll released Friday also finds one-third of GOP voters say they could still change their mind by Tuesday's first-in-the-nation primary.

Here's the GOP presidential candidates' breakdown:

  • Trump: 29 percent
  • Rubio: 19 percent
  • Ohio Gov. John Kasich: 13 percent
  • Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush: 10 percent
  • Sen. Ted Cruz: 7 percent
  • New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie: 5 percent
  • Retired pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson: 4 percent.


"What a difference a caucus makes," David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University, tells the Globe.

"By exceeding expectations in Iowa, Marco Rubio is converting likability to electability even more so than Ted Cruz, who, like many conservative Iowa winners of the past like Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, can’t seem to convert an Iowa win into a major showing in New Hampshire."

On the Democratic side, the poll finds former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton down to a single-digit lag behind the front-runner in the Granite State, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders:

Here's where the Democratic candidates stand:

  • Sanders: 50 percent
  • Hillary Clinton: 41 percent

According to the poll, 33 percent of Republicans said they could change their minds in the closing weekend; 13 percent of Democrats said the same.

But it also finds GOP voters feel quite differently about backing the current front-runner in the general election: only half of voters say they'd be "enthusiastic" or "satisfied" with Trump as the party's standard-bearer.

Among Democrats, 71 percent of Democrats said the same thing about Sanders, and 68 percent said that about Clinton.

The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.


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