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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Monday, April 16, 2018
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 51% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove.
The latest figures include 35% who Strongly Approve of the way the president is performing and 39% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -4. (see trends).
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...ez_track_apr16
The media has been crowing about Democrat gains in the US House, and maybe in the Senate. It's along ways to November though. And Trump has a summit coming up with North Korea; something Obama should have done years ago. And hopefully the Clinton's REAL Russian collusion will be exposed.
Oh yes and much more happening too, health care associations will be available to the public this summer through US Department of Labor, Secretary Acosta is working on this, according to Trump and Acosta at the Tax Cut Summit in Florida today. We may have a NAFTA REDO done in a couple of months or a decision to withdraw. And if the meeting goes well with North Korea, then US will sign the new South Korean Trade Agreement. Tariffs will have been in effect on China and other countries for steel and aluminum while negotiations with China to clean up their act will be down the road. We may also have a new trade deal with Japan as well very soon, we've already negotiated new deals with 6 other countries that were part of the TPP, Japan's leader will be with Trump tomorrow at Mar-a-Lago to discuss N. Korea and Trade. Troops are on the border, so we should see significant reductions on border crossings in a month or so and by summer all the agencies tasked with dealing with this Catch and Release will have their ideas for solutions alternative to changing the law since we of course can't count on Congress for any help through their "enumerated powers to write immigration law".
It's such an exciting time, I wish with all my heart more of my ALIPAC friends could see all the good being done essentially by one guy we put in the White House and is doing so against all odds imaginable. It's remarkable really, so at least glad to see his approval ratings rising in Rasmussen, one of the 3 polls to get it right on Trump in November of 2016.
Why is everyone believing the polls? Every poll seems to indicate the Democrats will take over the House. BS, I do not believe any of the polls. Looks to me like they were so wrong in the general election why should we believe any of them?
There's only 1 daily presidential tracking poll now and it's Rasmussen who was 1 of the 3 out of 20 or more during the election that got it right and showed Trump could/would win. The other 2 were Los Angeles Times/UCLA and an IBD poll. It was fun during the election to watch these 3 who would be either the same or within 1 to 2 points of each other and compare them to all the other rigged polls showing Hillary ahead by double-digits.
I have been on the Heritage Action Sentinel Nation call for about a half dozen times now. Some of the things they bring up I don't care that much about, but I keep hoping for a shot to get on it live during the call.
1. Medical costs---they probably won't get to chnaging anything in Obamacare this year. I would like to see something like a Brains Trust to address high medical costs---which are often the result of having the latest--and most expensive technology. Yet technology falls in cost as it is more widely adopted. Can we make this fall faster? As people live a lot longer they will have mnay more problems that would be addressed, so ---without monitoring the costs---this could be an increasing burden to Medicare. Perhaps there are other costs such a panel could address, but technology is one of the big ones. However with the deep divisions in our country the media hacks would probably scoff at this.
2. I believe we should strengthen Social Security---not privatize it or let it go broke. I always ask if Heritage will recommend to Congress that they go after the tax dodgers? $400-500 billion per year. And apparently there has been some improvement in that lately. Congress borrowed from Social Security----can't they pay it back as they reclaim waste, fraud and abuse and outright evasion?
I am skeptical about the polls but I hope this one is right. Personally, I do not see how any citizen would be for the Democrats. The media is so biased if you only watch CNN, MSNBC or any of the networks you would think Donald Trump and his entire administration are a raging maniacs.
"Health care associations"Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy
No one knows how that will work out or if it'll will even happen for sure. Trump says a lot of things that never seem to materialize or work out as planned.
"NAFTA REDO done in a couple months or decision to withdraw."
There is nothing to suggest anything will be done on NAFTA in the next couple of months. NAFTA is a campaign promise fail. We've been hearing the NAFTA promises since before Trump was elected. They've had like seven meetings on this and conversations seemed to have stalled until after Mexico's presidential election.
"Tariffs will have been in effect on China and other countries."
No tariffs have been applied to China or anyone else yet and no guarantee there will be.
"We may also have a new trade deal with Japan."
May have and having are two different things. Furthermore, a trade deal in itself isn't necessarily a guarantee that it will be a good plan.
"If the meeting goes well with North Korea, then US will sign the new South Korean Trade Agreement."
"IF"?
"We've already negotiated new deals with 6 other countries that were part of the TPP"
What 6 countries are those and what trade treaty has Trump signed with them?
"Troops are on the border, so we should see significant reductions on border crossings in a month or so and by summer."
I certainly hope so but any notable impact in reducing illegal immigration remains to be seen.
"agencies tasked with dealing with this Catch and Release will have their ideas for solutions alternative to changing the law"
Ideas are far from actual action and results.
There sure are a lot of if, may, and possibles in there. Instead of getting excited about what may be, think I'll wait until what actually is. That's the hard lesson I learned long ago when it comes to depending on anything where politics is involved.
Stay tuned and check back in on the situation in a couple of months like the posts says.
Whatever this or that poll may say, there is massive demoralization among Trump's base and we are not energized because of Trumps reversals on key issues such as amnesty for illegal aliens.
All of the energy is on the left and each day DACA continues and Congress keeps pushing for Amnesty conservatives recoil from the elections while Democrats make gains.
Isn't that because the law (passed by the Congress exercising its "enumerated powers to write immigration law") or the Courts require?
DATES POLLSTER GRADE SAMPLE WEIGHT APPROVE DISAPPROVE ADJUSTED • APR. 11-15 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research C+
1,500 LV 0.83
51% 48% 46% 48% • APR. 9-15 Gallup B-
1,500 A 1.03
39% 55% 40% 53% • APR. 8-12 Ipsos A-
1,541 A 2.12
40% 56% 40% 55% • APR. 8-11 ABC News/Washington Post A+
1,002 A 1.91
40% 56% 41% 55% • APR. 8-11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal A-
900 A 1.53
39% 57% 39% 57%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...roval-ratings/
The only one on the list that got that November 2016 election right was .... Rasmussen. That's why I watch it every day.
I just love it when MW promotes the left wing mantra against Trump, don't you?!!!
:)
That was an undeserved and unprovoked personal attack. All I did was post a list of polls to put things in perspective for folks. You cherry pick one poll and attempted to pass it off as if it is the only poll out there. I'm sorry the polling organization data I posted doesn't fit your agenda.Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy
The Rasmussen poll you used has the lowest grade of all polls provided. Interestingly, both Rasmussen and Gallup supposedly have a conservative tilt, yet their polls are very different. Gallup has Trump at a 39% approval rate for Trump whereas Rasmussen has Trump with a 51% approval rating.
Gallup poll finds Trump's approval rate declining
TRIBUNE-REVIEW | Friday, April 13, 2018, 2:39 p.m.
http://triblive.com/csp/mediapool/si...YPE=image/jpegDonald Trump appears at a campaign roundtable event in Manchester, N.H., October 28, 2016.
President Trump's public standing took a tumble this month as he intensified his Twitter attacks on special counsel Robert Mueller.
A new Gallup poll conducted April 2-11 found 38 percent of those queried had a favorable view of the president, while 59 percent viewed Trump unfavorably.
The poll came out as national news outlets vetted former FBI Director James Comey's assessment of Trump . In his new book “A Higher Loyalty,” Comey, who Trump fired last year, compared the president's management style to that of a mafia boss. Trump fired back Friday, calling Comey a “slime ball.”
The Gallup poll said Trump's favorability rating was at its highest — 46 percent — in February 2017, just weeks after he took office.
Late last year, Trump's favorability rating climbed to 41 percent.
While Trump's negative numbers outweigh his positives, Mueller, the former FBI director who is leading the special investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election, has a 36 percent positive rating compared to 28 percent negative. More than a third of those responding to the poll had no opinion on Mueller.
http://triblive.com/usworld/world/13...ding-declining
Sure have had it. I love it when you work so hard to be fair and balanced by quoting liberals who got the polls wrong in the November 2016 election. I'm just not sure who you think your audience is you're trying impress or influence, because if it's Trump Supporters, well .... that's a hard cause and quite peculiar as well.
It is not a personal attack. You post information from Nate Silver of 538 who predicted Hillary would win and he lost all credibility when she lost??!! His latest mantra is she only lost because of Jim Comey, and but for him, she would be Madame President. You want to wade into the quicksand of the DemoQuacks, have at it. It's your choice, just don't get fussy or sensitive when someone happens to know more about your source than you do.Quote:
Originally Posted by MW
:)
Judy wrote:Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy
Yes, it was a very personal and unprovoked attack. Furthermore, it's inaccurate because the Gallup poll also leans right just like Rasmussen. You're cherry picking the result you want, not the truth.Quote:
I just love it when MW promotes the left wing mantra against Trump, don't you?!!!
It was not an attack at all. It was a fact supported by your own post.Quote:
Originally Posted by MW
Gallup got it wrong like all the others except the LA Times/UCLA, IBD, and Rasmussen Polls. I'm following and posting the one that got it right!! LA Times doesn't do an approval poll, only active during elections. Same with IBD I guess, because I never see an approval poll from them. That leaves Rasmussen. That's why I follow and report their poll, they are the only ones whose methods got it right in 2016 that does Presidential approval polls and they do it daily, Mon through Friday.
I feel really sorry for you that our President doing well disturbs you. It comes across that you want DemoQuacks to win in November just to get even with Trump for winning the election. Very strange in my book, but have at it!!
:)
THIS is a "very personal and unprovoked attack":
MW wrote in reply:Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy View Post
That's what you do in a civil war, you murder your opponents until they surrender. In fact, that's what you do in every war I've ever heard about, you murder your opponents before they murder you and keep on keepin on until they surrender. I'm very pleased with how Russia has handled this situation. Last year we admitted 3,000 or so Syrian refugees and this year so far only 11. Whatever Russia is doing over there, just keep on keeping on and FINISH IT.
US, bring our troops home now.
https://www.alipac.us/f19/syrian-che...p-beer-357773/Quote:
I'm sorry, but only a disgusting and vile soul would suggest that it is okay to commit mass murder on innocent women and children. And then to say it is completely justifiable because it has been done in past wars is even more reprehensible! Murdering the innocent is never okay, nor is it justifiable. Bashar Assad and Putin are evil men.
Do you actually support the mass murder of innocent women and children? Is that what you were suggesting?
Who are you to say all other polls are wrong but the single one that give you the results you want is right? You're cherry picking and that is obvious to anyone paying attention. I'm just surprised nobody else has called you on it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy
This is what happens in war. How can you be a grown adult and not know that? Or think that someone educating you on the topic is some "disgusting vile soul"?Quote:
Originally Posted by MW
You can't educate me on anything involving war or the military ..... been there, done that.Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy
Wow, can't believe you're hijacking your own thread.
You apparently weren't in touch with what happened with the polls during the 2016 election. All Trump Supporters know why we follow the Rasmussen Poll over the others.Quote:
Originally Posted by MW
Like I said, cherry picking for a desired result. There is nothing special that sets the Rasmussen Poll above all others. However, like I said earlier Gallup and Rasmussen are conservative leaning polls.Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy
Gallup got it wrong in 2016 as bad as the others. Conservative-leaning doesn't have anything to do with the poll methods if they're representative of voters. When you stack your sample with Democrats, as they all did except the 3 I mentioned including Rasmussen, they all got the results wrong. I realize you hate Trump and want Republicans to lose in the mid-terms, but that's not going to have a good result for our country or cause, so it's quite a peculiar stance to take here, in my opinion.
Well, based on people I actually know who have "been there, done that" know that civilians die in war, which is why most civilians want to avoid wars. How that fact escaped you is well, quite peculiar to me. Just my opinion.Quote:
Originally Posted by MW
Every poll has its up and down years. And yes, the way a poll organization tilts does have something to do with their results. Those results can be skewed based on the way the questions are asked. Hmm, I thought everyone knew that.Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy
LOL!! Everyone does know that, which is why Trump Supporters rely on the Rasmussen poll. Lefties and Trump Haters like the other ones.Quote:
Originally Posted by MW
:)
Judy wrote (excerpt):
I'm sick and tired of you using this tactic of yours to discredit me by attempting to paint me as some lame liberal that wants to see our country and Republicans fail. This is the third or fourth time you've done this over the last two days and I request that you cease and desist. It's an old tactic that many of us are familiar with. "If you can't discredit the message, discredit the messenger."Quote:
I realize you hate Trump and want Republicans to lose in the mid-terms, but that's not going to have a good result for our country or cause, so it's quite a peculiar stance to take here, in my opinion.
I'm a registered Republican voter and have been for over 40 years. I voted for Trump and was extremely hopeful he would fulfill his campaign promises on illegal immigration and border security. I still support him in that effort. However, I do not support:
- His flip-flop on DACA which immediately put a nasty taste in many of his supporters mouth. Not a good start.
- His attempt to amnesty almost 2 million illegal aliens which would have been the largest illegal alien amnesty since 1986. Another broken campaign promise.
- His signing of the latest spending bill which provided zero funding for his wall or increased funding for more ICE agents and BP. Also failed to get funding for more detention beds. He should have vetoed and forced a Congress revision.
- His talk and potential reversal on TPP.
- His failure to end NAFTA (its been 15 months and no end in sight). During the campaign he led us to believe his action against NAFTA would be quick and decisive.
- The continuing of catch & release.
- The asylum system still being gamed just like it was under Obama.
- Increased H-2B visas by pushing the cap up 15,000 last year after his campaign promise to put Americans first.
- No attempt to individually deal with E-Verify or birthright citizenship.
- Didn't purse a Clinton indictment (a broken campaign promise).
- Trump didn't drain the swamp as promised, he flooded it with Goldman Sachs alumni and Bush-era officials, making his cabinet the richest in U.S. History.
- He failed to label China a currency manipulator (broken campaign promise).
There are others but that is the few I could come up with off the top of my head. I'm sure you'll come up with plenty of excuses in a an attempt to defend Trump. Some may be what you feel are legitimate but there is absolutely no defense for many of them.
I'll grant you that Trump is not without his successes. To date it has sort of been a mixed bag. What Trump hasn't been to date though is this huge fire in the sky negotiator and savior he passed himself off to be. I don't believe I would be amiss if I stated many of his supporters had hoped for more success at this point in his administration. I also don't think I'd me amiss to say many of us in his base of support are very disappointed in his broken promises!
I will continue to support Trump and the Republican party when I feel they are doing the right thing by the American people. However, what I refuse to do is give them a free pass when I question their motives, agenda or actions.
That's right out of the DemoQuack play-book, MW. I'm listening to DemoQuack Mark Warner right now telling Cavuto on Fox News how Trump hasn't drained the swamp, he's not delivered on his promises to the American People, blah, blah, blah, blah. When your complaints against our President are the same as what I hear every day from Democrats, there's no difference between you and a Democrat except how you might vote. That's not good for the goal of electing Republicans in the mid-terms because mid-terms in the first term of a President are a referendum on the President.
I'm not the one discrediting you, your posts do that, MW.
I don't agree! I see your posts as contradicting your claim to be a Republican. Geraldo Rivera is registered as a Republican. Other than supporting Trump, I see not one thing conservative in what he says.Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy
You can't dispute the things MW listed as failures by Trump, but you can only see his accomplishments. Yes, he has accomplished more in less time than just about any other president, but he has had many failures as well.
When you resort to attacking the messenger and not the message, you have lost the debate.Quote:
Originally Posted by Judy
When you can’t attack the message you always seem to attack the messenger. When your own ethics are so low and your hypocrisy so high, you assume nefarious intent from everyone. I've seen you use this tactic repeatedly. Perhaps if you used stronger material to back up your argument and had more confidence in your facts you wouldn't find it necessary to utilize such a weak tactic. Just saying ....
Oh I don't think so.Quote:
Originally Posted by MW
Nope, definitely not.
I've already disputed everything MW listed when the various items were mentioned or posted to begin with during the past 15 months.Quote:
Originally Posted by jtdc
Then I guess you were wrong! :DQuote:
Originally Posted by Judy
Oh no, I don't think so.
Nope, definitely not.