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01-23-2016, 06:42 PM #1
Trump Leads Cruz By 32 Points Nationwide In A New Zogby Poll
Jan 21, 2016 @ 03:00 PM 49,677 views
Trump Leads Cruz By 32 Points Nationwide In A New Zogby Poll
In a brand new Zogby Analytics poll of likely GOP caucus and primary voters, Donald Trump receives 45% of the total vote, with Ted Cruz in a distant second place at 13%, followed by Marco Rubio with 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina and John Kasich tied with 3%, and Rand Paul, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum all tied with 2%. Ten percent are undecided.
The new poll of 294 likely Republican voters nationwide was conducted on January 19 and 20 and has a margin of sampling error of +/-5.8 percentage points.
Trump polls over 40% among men (49%) and women (41%), as well as Republicans (47%) and independents (49%), conservatives (46%) and moderates (45%). Cruz scores double digits among men (10%), women (16%), Republicans (15%), independents (10%), and conservative (15%).
We tested a series of three-way races and found Trump trouncing all of his rivals: 53% to 20% for Cruz, and 11% for Mr. Rubio; 57% to 23% for Cruz, and 8% for Christie; 57% to 23% for Cruz and 7% for Kasich; 55% to 25% for Cruz, and 10% for Bush.
In a series of head-to head match-ups with individual challengers for the nomination, Trump led Cruz 59% to 29%, Rubio 64% to 27%, Bush 68% to 22%, Kasich 73% to 15% and Christie 69% to 19%.
National polls may mean less right now–and often do–before the winnowing process begins in Iowa and New Hampshire and voters actually cast ballots. But, at least for now, Donald Trump has captured the imaginations of Republican likely voters nationwide. And his support looks wide and deep. He has defied the conventional wisdom at every turn–including a bold prediction that he will win Iowa. Candidates normally try to dampen expectations in early state voting so as to appear to have done better than most thought.
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01-23-2016, 08:17 PM #2
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