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Here's a good run down of how things are looking just 100 days out from the November elections...



The Battle for Control of Congress In 2014 - Joe For America
House GOP have 198 safe seats. House Democrats have 162 …
joeforamerica.com

The Battle for Control of Congress In 2014

Posted by Pilgrim on Jul 27, 2014 in 2014 Mid-Term, Congress, Email, Politics



House GOP have 198 safe seats.
House Democrats have 162 safe seats.
House GOP have a 36 seat advantage over the Democrats in terms of safe seats.
There are 75 seats being contested and for the Democrats to become the majority again they need to win in 56 of these 75 seats. This means they need to win all 26 seats they have a small lead, plus all 17 seats they are tied, plus 13 of the 32 seats that the GOP have a small lead.
Senate GOP have 41 seats safe or not up for grabs.
Senate Democrats have 40 seats safe or not up for grabs.
Senate GOP have a 1 seat advantage over the Democrats in terms of safe seats.
There are 19 seats being contested and for the GOP to become the majority again they need to win in 10 of these 19 seats. This means they have to win all 5 seats they have a small lead plus 5 of the 8 seats they are tied.
For the Democrats to keep a majority they have to win all 6 seats they have a small lead plus 4 of the 8 seats they are tied.
It is obviously a lot closer for the battle to control the US Senate than it is for the battle to control the US House.

Below is a scenario for the GOP to win 5 of the 8 seats they are tied.


McConnell defeats Grimes in Kentucky



Perdue defeats Nunn in Georgia



Cotton defeats Pryor in Arkansas



Tillis defeats Hagan in North Carolina



Ernst defeats Braley in Iowa

Below is the scenario for the Democrats to win 4 of the 8 seats they are tied



Udall defeats Gardner in Colorado



Begich defeats T.B.D. in Alaska



Landrieu defeats T.BD. in Louisiana



Braley defeats Ernst in Iowa

We may not know the outcome after the general election on November 4, 2014 if Georgia and Louisiana contests are still in play. There is a Libertarian candidate in Georgia for US Senate who could receive enough votes to keep any candidate from receiving 50% of the votes plus 1. If this happens then a runoff is held for the top 2 vote getters on Tuesday January 6, 2015.
There are no party primaries in Louisiana. All candidates from all parties appear on the open primary ballot. If no candidate receives a majority (50% of the vote plus 1) on November 4, 2014, then a runoff is held between the top two vote getters on Saturday December 6, 2014.
There are 33 states electing 36 US Senators in 2014, and 19 of these states have closely contested elections with 100 days before the general election. The projections with respect to which seats are contested can change between now and then. Please get out and vote for the Republican candidate in these 33 states. Our country is never going to be able to get on the right track again if the majority of voters continue to elect Democrats to the US Senate. If you live in one of the 17 states that is not electing a US Senator in 2014, then consider adopting a Republican candidate to donate money and time to make calls to get out the vote. The future of this republic is on the line.

http://joeforamerica.com/2014/07/bat...congress-2014/