Thread: Latest polls likely to make the GOP establishment sweat

http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-s...lishment-sweat

Latest polls likely to make the GOP establishment sweat

10/05/15 08:00 AM—Updated 10/05/15 08:17 AM
By Steve Benen

In July, it was fairly common to hear the Republican establishment and much of the media see Donald Trump atop 2016 GOP polling and ask, “Sure he’s leading now, but can he sustain this advantage into August?” And then in August, they’d ask, “Sure he’s leading now, but can he sustain this advantage into September?” And then in September, they’d ask, “Sure he’s leading now, but can he sustain this advantage into October?”

It’s October. Here are the latest national results from the Pew Research Center.

1. Donald Trump: 25%
2. Ben Carson: 16%
3. Carly Fiorina: 8%
3. Marco Rubio: 8%
5. Ted Cruz: 6%
6. Jeb Bush: 4%
7. Mike Huckabee: 2%
7. Rand Paul: 2%

The remaining candidates are at 1% or below in the Pew findings. (Note, this is the first survey of the cycle from the Pew Research Center, so I didn’t include figures as to whether the candidates’ support was increasing or decreasing.)

In addition to Trump’s role as the frontrunner – a role he hasn’t relinquished since surging to the top in the early summer – pay particular attention to Jeb Bush’s surprisingly poor showing. It may be an outlier, but if the Florida Republican’s national backing has dropped to just 4% – a number, ironically, Bush has placed great significance in – it suggests his standing may be reaching the point of no return.

Indeed, though John McCain and Mitt Romney hit rough patches before securing their party’s nomination in 2008 and 2012, respectively, neither one ever came close to a 4% floor.

And while national results like these will give much of the GOP establishment heart palpitations, the news is no better at the state level.

Here, for example, are the results of the new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll of Iowa Republicans:

1. Donald Trump: 24% (down five points from September)
2. Ben Carson: 19% (down three points)
3. Carly Fiorina: 8% (up three points)
4. Jeb Bush: 7% (up one point)
5. Ted Cruz: 6% (up two points)
5. Marco Rubio: 6% (up two points)
5. Bobby Jindal: 6% (up two points)
8. Mike Huckabee: 5% (up two points)
9. Rand Paul: 4% (down one point)
9. Chris Christie: 4% (up two points)
11. John Kasich: 3% (up one point)

Jindal, oddly enough, is now faring better in Iowa than he is in his home state of Louisiana – though I suppose that’s not saying much.

Meanwhile, NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist also polled New Hampshire Republicans:

1. Donald Trump: 21% (down seven points from September)
2. Carly Fiorina: 16% (up 10 points)
3. Jeb Bush: 11% (up three points)
4. Marco Rubio: 10% (up seven points)
4. Ben Carson: 10% (down one point)
6. Chris Christie: 7% (up two points)
7. Ted Cruz: 6% (up one point)
7. John Kasich: 6% (down six points)
9. Rand Paul: 5% (no change)

Kasich, in particular, has focused heavily on the Granite State, though if this poll is accurate, his support has faltered of late, slipping from double-digit backing a month ago.

As for the top slot, it appears Trump has gone from dominating the race for the GOP nomination to merely leading it. No candidate is ever pleased when his or her support slips, but the New York developer and his followers can’t complain too much about results like these.

The Republican establishment figures who’ve been anxiously awaiting Trump’s seemingly inevitable collapse will have to wait a bit longer.

Wow. Thank you MSNBC. And you're exactly right. Trump is still leading. Sure, it's tightened up a little, so what?!

GO TRUMP!!

Wait until American Workers start supporting Trump, and push endorsements by their unions. It's been so long since Republicans had union endorsements. Richard Nixon was the last one in 1972.

LETS GO AMERICAN WORKERS. THIS ELECTION IS FOR YOU!

You want to stop competing with illegal aliens and visa immigrants for jobs? VOTE TRUMP

You want to stop holding your breath for a plant closing and a layoff because your employer is moving your plant overseas? VOTE TRUMP

You want to stop hearing about wage, hours and benefit "cuts" in labor negotiations? VOTE TRUMP

Listen UP! Unbeknownst to most of you, millions of Americans have been fighting for you, fighting for your jobs, your wages, your benefits, your freedom, your employers. That's right! That's Americans like the 50,000 here at ALIPAC, that's Americans like the 2,000,000 at NumbersUSA, that's right, that's millions of people at Americans for Fair Taxation who created and introduced the FAIRTAX into the Congress 16 years ago and still introduce it every session of Congress since because it removes the income tax poison that sucks illegal aliens in for tax credit welfare and pushes our industries and capital investment out to avoid it, that's right. We don't get paid, we don't get recognized, no one even knows our names, yet we work, and call, and lobby, and donate, and work hours a day fighting for you for years.

HELP US OUT and help US elect Donald J Trump, President of the United States because he wants to stop illegal immigration, deport illegal aliens, stop/reduce legal immigration and end the Free Trade Treason nonsense that is killing the American Worker.

FIGHT WITH US to stop this madness, to end this insanity.

Besides, TRUMP packs heat, can throw a fast ball, and balance the federal budget in his head.

There won't ever be a better candidate for President of the United States.

This is it. Trump is The Only One.

Help US make it happen.

Republican establishment's faces look like this:

wtg trump
good luck kick ass

judy wrote:

Wait until American Workers start supporting Trump, and push endorsements by their unions. It's been so long since Republicans had union endorsements. Richard Nixon was the last one in 1972.

That would be nice but I certainly wouldn't start counting my chickens before they hatched with such speculation.

Illinois GOP officials say Trump may not make ballot

Does he have a campaign site yet? I looked....

Why worry??

Originally Posted by Captainron

Does he have a campaign site yet? I looked....

You mean a campaign website or a campaign headquarters?

He's had a campaign website for a long time, that's where he posts his proposals and other information. It's Trump for President:

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/

Tel: 646-736-1779

His campaign headquarters is in Trump Towers, New York City.