Thread: JUST IN: DREAM Act Offers Amnesty to 2.1 Million +

Just released by CIS. Please use in your calls!

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DREAM Act Offers Amnesty to 2.1 Million

New Estimate Shows Another 1.4 Million Family Members Could
Also Stay

WASHINGTON (October 23, 2007) The Senate is currently considering
the DREAM Act (S.2205). Some have argued that only 60,000 illegal immigrants would be granted amnesty annually under the Act, but a new analysis by the Center for Immigration Studies of 2007 Census Bureau data shows millions of potential beneficiaries.

An estimated 800,000 illegal immigrants under age 17 have been here long enough to qualify for legalization under the DREAM Act. There are a total of 1.7 million illegal aliens estimated to be under age 17.

There are an estimated 900,000 parents of illegal aliens under age 17 who qualify. It is unclear whether the government would deport these parents.

The DREAM Act is also unclear as to what will happen to the siblings of
legalized illegals who are themselves illegal, but do not meet the
requirements. There are an estimated 500,000 of these siblings.

The DREAM Act also allows illegal aliens ages 18 to 29 to legalize if they
claim to have arrived prior to age 16. We estimate 1.3 million meet this
requirement. There are a total of 4.4 million illegal aliens in this age group.

Thus the total number of potential amnesty beneficiaries is 2.1 million
(assuming no fraud). This does not include 1.4 million siblings and parents of qualifying illegals who may end up receiving a de facto amnesty.

Prior legalization programs have been plagued by fraud. One-fourth (700,000) of those legalized in the 1986 amnesty are estimated to have done so fraudulently.

Given the difficultly in determining whether an applicant meets the DREAM Act amnesty requirements, coupled with the overworked nature of the immigration bureaucracy, fraud could be a significant problem.

Methodology: These estimates are based on a Center for Immigration Studies analysis of the March 2007 Current Population Survey (CPS) collected by the Census Bureau. No estimate is definitive, of course, but the Urban Institute, the Pew Hispanic Center, and the INS have all used the March CPS to estimate the size of the illegal population. We estimated that the survey included more than 11 million illegals in 2007. This is entirely consistent with prior research.

The above numbers do NOT include those illegal aliens missed by the Census Bureau survey. The Department of Homeland Security and other researchers have estimated that 10 percent of illegals are likely missed in Census Bureau surveys of this kind. Thus, the actual number of potential beneficiaries is almost certainly higher than the numbers discussed above.

We use the demographic characteristics of respondents to distinguish legal and illegal immigrants in the survey. We combine this with the estimated number of legal immigrants in the country. This method is based on some very well-established facts about the characteristics of the legal and illegal population and is consistent with other research that employs the same approach to estimate the illegal population.

Contact: Steven Camarota

www.cis.org

And, the general rule of thumb pertaining to immigration amnesties is:

Take projected number of qualified recipients (denoted here as 'R'), multiply by fraud factor (approx. 4; using the 1986 as the 'classic' reference case) to estimate ACTUAL number of future recipients.

R x f = R'
2.1 million x 4 = 8.4 million folks.

Sent fax to Senator Reid and 2 NJ pro-illegal senators. Have been protesting for 5 years the giveaway of this nation to illegal aliens including work visa overstayers. Sent email last week to NY gov Spitzer asking that he resign over his dictatorial order to give driver licenses to illegals. This guy was a prosecutor but has gone over to the side of lawbreakers. Have also posted license opposition comments on NY newspapers.

That takes care of the first year..........at that rate, it won't take long for all the ILLEGALS.

Reid reviving 'amnesty' for illegals
'DREAM' grant of legality to millions on fast track for vote tomorrow

Posted: October 23, 2007
1:30 p.m. Eastern

http://worldnetdaily.com/news/article.a ... E_ID=58290

© 2007 WorldNetDaily.com

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., is reviving and fast-tracking plans to grant amnesty to millions of illegal aliens already within U.S. boundaries, and a vote is expected as early as tomorrow, according to opponents.


Sen. Dick Durbin

Just a few months after intense pressure from U.S. citizens triggered the rejection of President Bush's comprehensive immigration plan, a compromise supported by Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Mass. – the DREAM Act proposal by Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill. – is being rushed through the Senate.

Durbin's office refused to return a WND call requesting comment.

"In many ways this bill is worse than Bush-Kennedy because this is blatant deception on the part of the Senate to get a massive amnesty passed," asserted Steve Elliott, president of Grassfire.org.

Some of the provisions of the plan, called DREAM for Development, Relief and Education for Alien Minors, include:


Conditional legal status for any illegal alien who claims to have arrived in the U.S. prior to age 16.

Any illegal alien can apply for the program.

Those who gain legal status then can sponsor any family members, allowing additional millions to access the program.

There would be a ban on deportation for anyone who applies.

Illegals would be granted taxpayer-funded in-state tuition rates for college.
Elliott's organization and others, including Numbers USA, have launched telephone, online and fax petitions for voters to contact their senators and let them know their opinions on the plan.

"This is not a drill. This is the real thing," Numbers USA warned in an alert to constituents. "Our Capitol Hill Team just contacted me and reported that Senate Majority Leader Reid has just filed for 'cloture' on S. 2205 (the DREAM ACT amnesty.)"

"Reid is hell-bent on getting this amnesty through the Senate as fast as possible and before we can fully mobilize the country as happened when we defeated his Comprehensive Amnesty bill in June," the group said. "He is using the Rule 14 ? to avoid any committee debate, hearings or deliberations. Filing for cloture means that he can bring the amnesty up on Wednesday."

An estimated 12-20 million illegal aliens are already in the U.S., but Numbers USA warned the legislation would "entice millions more people to become illegal aliens here."

Further, the plan includes "no extra enforcement" to provide any stability or security to national borders, the group said.

In a commentary, Eagle Forum founder Phyllis Schlafly said it creates the circumstances where the violation of U.S. immigration law is rewarded.

"The illegal immigrant who applies for the DREAM Act can count his years under conditional green card status toward the five years needed to attain citizenship. That's a fast track to citizenship that is not available to aliens who are lawfully present in the United States," she said. "Giving in-state college tuition to illegal immigrants is so unpopular with many Americans that the only way a congressman could support this bill is by hoping it passes before the public discovers how bad it is. Arizona's Proposition 300, which specifically bars Arizona universities from giving in-state tuition rates to illegal immigrants, passed in 2006 with a majority of 71.4 percent."

As WND reported, Durbin brought up the DREAM Act after Bush's comprehensive plan died in June.

bttt

http://www.prnewswire.com


New Estimate Shows Another 1.4 Million Family Members Could Also Stay

WASHINGTON, Oct. 23 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- The Senate is currently
considering the DREAM Act (S.2205). Some have argued that only 60,000
illegal immigrants would be granted amnesty annually under the Act, but a
new analysis by the Center for Immigration Studies of 2007 Census Bureau
data shows millions of potential beneficiaries.

-- An estimated 800,000 illegal immigrants under age 17 have been
here long enough to qualify for legalization under the DREAM
Act. There are a total of 1.7 million illegal aliens estimated
to be under age 17.

-- There are an estimated 900,000 parents of illegal aliens under
age 17 who qualify. It is unclear whether the government would
deport these parents.

-- The DREAM Act is also unclear as to what will happen to the
siblings of legalized illegals who are themselves illegal,
but do not meet the Act's requirements. There are an estimated
500,000 of these siblings.

-- The DREAM Act also allows illegal aliens ages 18 to 29 to legalize
if they claim to have arrived prior to age 16. We estimate 1.3 million
meet this requirement. There are a total of 4.4 million illegal
aliens in this age group.

-- Thus the total number of potential amnesty beneficiaries is 2.1 million
(assuming no fraud). This does not include 1.4 million siblings and
parents of qualifying illegals who may end up receiving a de facto
amnesty.

-- Prior legalization programs have been plagued by fraud. One-fourth
(700,000) of those legalized in the 1986 amnesty are estimated to
have done so fraudulently.

-- Given the difficultly in determining whether an applicant meets the
DREAM Act's amnesty requirements, coupled with the overworked nature
of the immigration bureaucracy, fraud could be a significant problem.

Methodology: These estimates are based on a Center for Immigration
Studies analysis of the March 2007 Current Population Survey (CPS)
collected by the Census Bureau. No estimate is definitive, of course, but
the Urban Institute, the Pew Hispanic Center, and the INS have all used the
March CPS to estimate the size of the illegal population. We estimated that
the survey included more than 11 million illegals in 2007. This is entirely
consistent with prior research. The above numbers do NOT include those
illegal aliens missed by the Census Bureau's survey. The Department of
Homeland Security and other researchers have estimated that 10 percent of
illegals are likely missed in Census Bureau surveys of this kind. Thus, the
actual number of potential beneficiaries is almost certainly higher than
the numbers discussed above.

We use the demographic characteristics of respondents to distinguish
legal and illegal immigrants in the survey. We combine this with the
estimated number of legal immigrants in the country. This method is based
on some very well-established facts about the characteristics of the legal
and illegal population and is consistent with other research that employs
the same approach to estimate the illegal population.

The Center for Immigration Studies is an independent research institute
which examines the impact of immigration on the United States.