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  1. #1
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    The Next Fifty Years:READING THE RUNES

    http://www.hackwriters.com/Readingrunes.htm
    THE NEXT FIFTY YEARS: READING THE RUNES
    A glance back from the future - Sam North



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    The abiding theme of the 21st century has been pressure. Pressure on natural resources, fresh water, wildlife, world forests, minerals, energy in all forms and the very health of the human race. Population estimates at the turn of the century by World Population Data Sheet estimated that USA and Canada would have 470 millions - and the world as a whole a probable 11 billion - discounting major catastrophes such as a SARS '6' plague or world war.

    The present total of ‘only’ eight billion has not been achieved through careful and judicious choices, but a series of accidents and catastrophes. Our world in 2050 has more than 20 cities with populations of more than 40 million, yet cannot supply fresh water or dispose of the sewage, for even a tenth of that number. This is a world of scarce resources, unequal distribution, not helped by political extremes and world pandemics- the second Sars pandemic was a real wake-up call following a winter of severe power blackouts across Europe and the USA and China. As hospitals closed triage was enforced and virtual military rule existed for almost eighteen months.

    The election of the second Latino President, Nino Chavez, is a strong indicator of how much the ‘Norte Americano’ landscape has changed in 2050. The demographic trends were all there for all to see fifty years ago, and even though it was an uncomfortable idea for many, Canada and the United States needed all the young blood it could get, as the population was aging rapidly.

    According to figures compiled by the UN population monitoring system in 2000, the incoming illegal immigration from Mexico amounted to 1,500 per day for the best part of 20 years, despite border patrols, fences and mass deportations. During the period from 1970 to 2000, between 365,000 and 468,000 Mexicans per year crossed the border to work and live in America. Surprisingly few of these were ever caught (or if caught, came right back) and actually most found employment. In addition women found husbands, men found wives and they had many children, as is the custom in Catholic families.

    A population survey of California in 1970 showed an eighty percent white majority in that State. By 2000 it had already fallen to sixty percent. Projections at that time showed the Hispanic population overtaking the white population of California and Texas, Florida and other southern states by 2010. (Keens-Soper 1996)
    Estimates of the Latino population in 2050 are 125 million in the US alone: one quarter of the total population. The future of much of America would be Spanish, with all that that entailed.

    *The birth rate of Latino child bearing women continues at 2.5 whereas for white females it is at the non-replacing rate of 1.60 (already the North European average at the turn of the century)
    The transformation of the genetic make-up of the USA and Canada could alter political and social mores and risk the break-up of the Federation. Along the West Coast, the influx of Chinese and Korean immigrants has placed pressure on the Judeo-Christian white domination of culture and business. (No longer could a white society pass a law, as they did in California 1860, demanding that no Chinese women be allowed on US soil and that all Chinese dead must be buried in China).

    From Vancouver B.C., where the Chinese immigration was at its strongest, it was not a case of the Chinese supplanting the white population but of the white population being squeezed by the growth of the Indian and Pakistani immigrant population. It was the rivalry between the Chinese, Indian and Pakistani cultures in the metropolitan areas that led to many clashes and a call for the city to be divided into ethnic areas in 2025. Religion and ethic origin proved to be volatile mixes and led to many idealogical clashes at critical flashpoints all along the west coast. White flight to the interior had begun long before this.

    Molecular electronics and nanotechnology as well as key developments in artificial intelligence (robotics) have transformed the way we work and live in the West. New technology reduced the need for manpower in consumer and industrial production, but increasingly the 30 hour working week and problems it produced in advanced economies caused new tensions, reminiscent of 19th century labour strife. Who would pay for the increased leisure time? The most advanced technology was increasingly unaffordable or disadvantaged the worlds’ poorer countries.

    The world found it could try to extend food production to support the growing numbers to a life-sustaining level, but as energy costs rose in line with diminishing supplies, social strife caused by mass migrations to cities caused real problems. In addition, crop yields began to drop as the price of fertilisers rose. Soil depletion (particularly in the Loess plateau of China) meant that although the world population was rising by one billion every decade, food production was actually falling as a percentage, thus exacerbating regional conflicts. Finding enough clean drinking water, irrigation for crops and water for manufacturing became a regular cause of conflict throughout the globe.

    *The introduction of GM crops in the Third World reduced dependence upon fertilisers but concerns about long term effects on wildlife and human health meant take -up was slow.

    With China now containing 1,590 billions, the cost of feeding them and moving them and manufacturing and distribution to all regions caused political strains. China began to revert to old traditions with localised power bases, Warlords and regional conflicts between urban dwellers and the agrarian populations. The economic powerhouses around the coastal areas began to detach from the more backward interiors. The general sense of increasing internalisation, the rejection of ‘global politics’ became the reverse of the 20th Century and is gathering speed as problems expand.

    The North American continent, rich in raw materials, land space and a highly organised social system, was best placed to survive the growing population strains. Yet even by 2010, the West Coast was looking to carve its own path. It was obvious that North America was not one country any more, but diverse regions, with several languages and different needs. Yet it held together at the Federal Level despite the early years when 'Arnie' ruled California. By 2030, when the first native-born Latino president was elected, the trend was seen as unstoppable. Catholicism had supplanted Protestant values in all key areas and meant that a drift to conservative right isolationism was the result. By 2030, most of the South, Florida, California and New York State were firmly Catholic, run by Spanish-speaking politicians who were predominantly anti-liberal, anti-abortion, intolerant of ‘lifestyle sex’ choices and freedom of speech. The Gay Revolution died on the stake of ‘family values’. In the wake of the European and African pandemics, sexual freedom became the ‘sin’ it always had been. America was purposefully striding back to the Puritan values of it’s forebears and although it is ironic to observe this, the modern Catholic state in 2050 has much in common with the original settlers’ beliefs and mores.

    As the burgeoning population of the North American continent rose in the urbanised regions, it placed a strain on energy and food resources. Violent crime by citizens unused to having to pay more for fuel, water and food was matched by state counter-violence. Some cities - disadvantaged by weather, unemployment and racial tensions - become battle zones, not improved by localised corruption by officials. Increasingly there is a political momentum to exclude outsiders on one hand and to go back to the agrarian self contained ‘Amish’ past on the other.

    The retreat to re-inhabit America’s past has not ended there. As white people began to be marginalised, unable to cope with becoming a minority without political or financial influence, they sold up and began to trek inland, mirroring the Afrikaners of 1890 in Africa, fleeing British rule. In Canada, Alberta and Saskatchewan have become virtual White Protestant enclaves. Quebec, singularly isolated by it’s Francophone allegiances, has seceded, causing serious financial problems for the remaining territories in Canada. Below Canada’s white enclaves there grows a white spine on the back of the continent, electing extreme right-wing politicians, arming themselves with defensive weapons and state laws to protect their viability. The landlocked homogeneous white states of this middle region are only restrained by their restricted trading access to the sea. (Oregon and Washington States, being Asian/White predominantely are not always predisposed to the harsh regimes of the centre.)

    This white middle American ethnocentric powerbloc is likely laying the foundation for a future war with the East and West Coasts in the future beyond 2050.
    *The now much regretted boycott of the 2030 election by several of these states led to the landslide victory of President Hernandez and defeat of the white candidate Chelsea Clinton-Kennedy.

    In the East, even though the Spanish have a keen grip on the Southern States and half of New York State, the position of the Black nation is as yet unclear. Their history of population growth has traditionally and increasingly been marred by an extremely high mortality rate amongst young black males that continued throughout the century. The projected figure of 60 million black people failed to materialise and they remain a nation of people increasingly marginalised by the population growth and economic success of the Hispanic and Asian ethnic societies.

    To the extreme North from Massachusetts to Nova Scotia, a highly developed (predominantly Caucasian) and politicised group assumes a numerical strength, fed by the powerhouse of Boston. Extreme political views are tempered by progress in education and technology that continue to sustain this region.

    Water shortages in the Southwest States where the population was growing the fastest , created a great demand for fresh water and energy. (Phoenix in particular was a city grown beyond it’s sustainable limits) In the Northern states, (Washington State and British Columbia in particular), water is considered to be an exportable ‘crop’. During the hot summer of 2026 , when British Columbia itself experienced shortages, it raised the price of water to a level two times greater per litre than oil , rather than ‘deny’ the south its pipeline supplies. When the South attacked the pipelines, the water flow stopped completely and the first Water War began between North and South. Trade and food exports to the North were temporarily halted. The disputes and distrust are still simmering .

    *Old energy companies such as BP and Shell still survive. The oil companies sustained by a long period of rising energy prices in the first part of the 21st century were able to gain control of most key fresh water sources, electricity generation and delivery - a key component for the production of hydrogen, the present fuel of choice for road vehicles.
    **These same oil companies were later embarassed when it was discovered that the exhausted oil wells were begininng to refill under pressure from new oil under -neath. What was a shortage, has turned into a glut this mid-century.

    Small is Beautiful
    It is discovered that in the modern developed society, where nano-electronic servants that handle much of the work in factory and food production, small is ideal. (This is the model for the success of Finland, Sweden and micro- states such as Singapore, with its newly reinstated one child per family policy and state controlled gender selection). These economies that are not on a ‘replacement population’ model are usually highly sophisticated economies utilising robotics to do much of the manual and dangerous work. Through life-extension medical breakthroughs, it is now normal to retire aged 80. A limited number of migrants are allowed into these regions to boost populations. Gerontology studies are most advanced in these regions. (Japan is closely following this pattern, using tax stimulants and generous cash bonuses to encourage births.)

    The US Retreat from the World
    The changes in North America’s political and economic stance came with a new attitude in world governance. The Hispanic majority in Congress and Senate no longer desired to be the world’s policeman. The decision to withdraw US Military bases from the Far East and Europe was widely support by the Latino populations, reinforced by the devastating consequences of the ‘flu and TB pandemic of 2008 -09. It arrived with a vengeance in China and Europe cutting a swathe through populations unprepared for a virulent strain of chicken ‘flu. The scaling down of US funding for the United Nations’ World Health projects exacerbated a bad situation.

    Hospitals already weakened by MRSA (a bacteria highly resistant to all known antibiotics) were now filled with illegal immigrants and local populations with TB. Waves of illegal immigrants from the East to Germany and from Africa to the South of France and Spain, brought social and disease problems that completely overwhelmed the health systems. More than a third of the European population was severely affected. Russian figures, never reliable at best, put the figure at half the urban population.
    *The viral nature of the disease that originated in the southern regions of China came from huge populations living in close contact with poultry and other animals. That it coincided with the collapse of the effectiveness of 20th Century antibiotics developed to their limits, meant that the old diseases of TB, measles, chicken pox had firmly reasserted themselves as leading killers. to a vulnerable western population, with little or no resistance to these diseases.

    Following these events, America’s withdrawal from foreign bases was logical, but was in any case inevitable, given the lack of political will to ‘interfere’ in foreign lands. Isolationist inclinations went hand in hand with puritanical ideals. The withdrawal of the 38,000 US troops from Japan in 2008 led to the remilitarisation of Japan. Tension that began to grow between China and Japan was key to the region’s instability and sudden decline in GDP, as industrial expansionist investments in the economies were diverted to defence build-ups between the two nations. Nuclear weapons posturing grew more prevalent and the likelihood of limited nuclear engagement between the nations remains in the headlines to the present day. Japan, completely dependent upon imported oil and food feels itself particularly vulnerable to China.

    *America’s withdrawal from Europe was expedited by the loss of many American soldiers to the ravages of ‘flu and TB. It left a bitter taste in the USA as soldiers were prevented from returning to US soil whilst under quarantine.

    The consequential financial crash of 2009-2012 as Europe faced up to the fact that high energy prices, disease, illegal immigration, civil disobedience and rioting in most urban areas, coupled with terrorism from various religious ‘doomsday’ groups and Muslim or general separatist groups made safe travel impossible. Whole areas in Greece, Italy, France and Spain became economically devastated and as a result property values plummeted. Mass tourism was over.

    Indeed, one of the effects of the ‘flu and TB pandemic was to reduce property prices right across Europe, as many of the fifty and over population groups died. Although this created long term buying opportunities, and pension surpluses, prices continued to fall for thirty years as the supply of dwellings outstrips demand.

    The new European Federation Defence Tax was universally unpopular, but the American soldiering gap had to be filled. Everywhere America abandoned, a power vacuum was filled by aggressive minor nations, looking to take advantage of older European nations that had not invested in their armed forces.

    The Oil gkut of 2045 sees some producers burning oil to create shortages?

    In the aftermath of the 2009 pandemics, immigration to the USA from the rest of the world was finally and brutally brought to a halt. The US Army and Navy patrols of the extensive waters opted for a shoot-to-kill policy and the Mexican Border Wall was the greatest construction project since the building of the Panama Canal.

    * Even so immigrants continued to enter the USA in significant numbers aided and abetted by criminal organisations.

    By 2029 it was noted in webitorials everywhere that the world’s diverse animal and plant species had halved since the turn of the century; that there was only twenty years of commercially exploitable oil left; that Africa (after Aids) had just one third of the population it had at the beginning of the century and that global warming was being exacerbated by the headlong rush to hydrogen powered vehicles which churned out so much hot water vapor the rainfall levels in the world were rising to unsustainable levels.

    In the USA itself, the powerful alliance with the powers in South America created a ‘Fortress Americas’ effect (which included Canada, Chile, Argentina and Brazil). Together they acted against the Central American problem (cocaine) and it was finally neutralised with extreme force in 2031. It was considered that the Spanish conquest of the Americas was complete.

    *In 2033, when Greater Miami, was flooded for a month it was obvious that Global Warming was a reality. In South America the last vestiges of the Amazonian forest disappeared. Ironically the newly cleared lands were quickly abandoned as unsuitable for crops and no gain was made either environmentally or in overall food production. Indeed the loss of the world’s largest rain forest increased the desertification of the region as a whole and may lead to climate changes elsewhere on the planet, not yet fully realised.

    Was it worth it?
    In 2001 it was thought that after 600 years since the Portugese began to roam the oceans- new technology, advances in health programmes and science as well as the ubiqity of the web, creating English as a world language, it would lead to a kind of global pax Romana. But the reality of 2050, is that the world is divided into four unstable power zones, Oceania-Sino-Japan, North and South America, Eurozone and the Middle-East collective. Each are gazing at their own navels, strained by ever growing numbers, unable to focus on anything other than self-preservation. In effect, the world is in retreat from the age of discovery and the sound we can hear is of minds closing everywhere.

    ---- Title Edited by Husker ----
    FAR BEYOND DRIVEN

  2. #2

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    The next fifty years

    Hey Sixx, this prognostication is probably overly-optimistic. If things keep going the way they are, and I have no reason to believe otherwise, our grandchildren will be living in a third world country thanks to the axis of evil - slimy politicians, latino interest groups, and criminal corporations which use illegal labor.
    When we gonna wake up?

  3. #3
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    Thanks to GW, that will probably be us and our children living in the third world very shortly.

    W
    Join our efforts to Secure America's Borders and End Illegal Immigration by Joining ALIPAC's E-Mail Alerts network (CLICK HERE)

  4. #4

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    God help us. The way things are going, we could end up with a full scale revolution in a matter of a few years. People are getting fed up to the gills.

    The lady on Fox and Friends the other morning said something to the effect of: "Hey, politicians. If you want to know how people feel about illegal immigration, I can tell you our email box is filled with thousands of emails demanding action."

    A few of the politicians like Sensenbrenner and Tancredo are listening, but I am afraid too many, like our good Senator Dole, have their heads firmly planted in the....sand. I started to say something else.

    We must demand that the government....
    When we gonna wake up?

  5. #5
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    We know where her head is...... and it isn't in the sand.
    http://www.alipac.us Enforce immigration laws!

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