http://www.ocregister.com/ocregister/ne ... 590488.php

Sunday, February 25, 2007
Readers weighing in on immigration reform
DENA BUNIS
Washington Bureau Chief
The Orange County Register
dbunis@ocregister.com

The fact that more than 50 people would comment on last weekend's story outlining the new Democratic majority's plans for immigration reform didn't surprise me.

But up until now almost all the feedback I've gotten over the years on immigration has been from readers who are concerned that the federal government has given up on enforcing our borders. Most has come from those speaking out against illegal immigration and opposing any move by Congress to allow undocumented workers to get any government benefit.

This time, in the e-mails, telephone messages and comments posted on our Web site, there's been a wider cross-section of opinion on both sides of the question.

This was by no means a scientific survey and I didn't log all the calls. But of the 40 comments on the Web site, 16 favored the kind of comprehensive bill that Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Mass., and Rep. Zoe Lofgren, D-San Jose, talked about in the question and answer piece that ran in last Sunday's paper. That's still posted on the Nation/World page at ocregister.com.

Kennedy and Lofgren are chairing the subcommittees on immigration in the House and Senate and will be prime movers in whatever – if anything – happens legislatively.

Twenty-four of the statements posted opposed anything that would give benefits to illegal immigrants. One caller who opposes what Kennedy and Lofgren want to do upbraided me for not including a Republican in last Sunday's story. Since he didn't leave a number, I couldn't call him back to explain that almost exactly two years ago I did a similar piece where I presented the views of Sen. John Cornyn, the Texas Republican who headed the immigration subcommittee in the 109th Congress, and Rep. James Sensenbrenner, the Wisconsin Republican who was then House Judiciary Committee chairman.

"I support the immigration reform. It's time for people to come out of the shadow," wrote Alex, who, like most of the posters, didn't give his full name.

On the other side, "rwr" wrote:

"There's only one solution for this problem – deport every Mexican national thug in our country's borders. I've had it with illegals."

When Congress returns from recess this week, Judiciary Committee Chairman Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., will hold a hearing on comprehensive immigration reform. Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff and Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez are the scheduled witnesses.

This will be the first public manifestation of the political strategizing on this issue that has been going on behind the scenes for months. Senate supporters of this bill want to get the largest possible bipartisan vote. The larger the Senate vote, the more momentum the legislation would have in the House.

The House never debated the broad issue last year. Republican leaders – and Orange County's five GOP members – believed that the first order of business when it comes to immigration should be to fortify the border and stop any new illegal immigration.

Some said once the border were secure, they'd entertain a new guest-worker program and even a plan to deal with the estimated 12 million illegal immigrants here. Others said they would never support such items. But we were never sure how many Republicans felt that way and how many would, in fact, support President Bush's comprehensive view and vote for a broad immigration fix.

Lofgren hopes to give that debate a shot this year.

But House Democrats have a dicey road ahead. Some House Democrats – particularly freshman members elected from the heartland – don't seem sold on the kind of overhaul Kennedy and Lofgren are pushing.

So things are likely to move slowly but deliberately.

Look for the Judiciary Committee to send a bill to the floor before the April recess. Then, if all goes according to plan in the committee, a measure would go to the Senate floor after that break.

If something passed in the Senate, the House would start working its will.

Orange County's GOP representatives have vowed to do all they can to stop a House bill. But if House leaders can get enough votes to pass something within striking distance of whatever the Senate does, advocates of this approach hope they can be sitting in on conference meetings between the House and Senate sometime this fall.

It's a long way from here to there and what I've just outlined is the best- or worst-case scenario, depending on your point of view.

One thing seems clear, though, from having been in this town for a decade now. Lawmakers are more likely to tackle a tough issue like immigration if they believe their constituents want them to. They judge that by the communications they get from those they represent and, frankly, from how much space and time these issues get in the media.

So keep those comments coming.