Thread: Poll: It’s Neck and Neck in New Hampshire

Poll: It’s Neck and Neck in New Hampshire
1/6/2008

Two days before voters go to the polls in the New Hampshire Primaries, Democrats Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are in a statistical tie, according to a 7NEWS/Suffolk University tracking poll released this morning. Meanwhile, Mitt Romney and John McCain are deadlocked in the Republican Primary.

In the Democratic Primary, Clinton (35 percent) leads Obama (33 percent), John Edwards (14 percent), Bill Richardson (5 percent), Dennis Kucinich (1 percent) and Mike Gravel (1 percent). Eleven percent were undecided.

Steady gain for Obama
“Barack Obama has cut a seventeen-point deficit to just two points today,â€

Election 2008: New Hampshire Republican Primary
New Hampshire: McCain 32% Romney 30%
Sunday, January 06, 2008

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New Hampshire shows John McCain earning 32% of the vote while Mitt Romney attracts 30%.

The survey was conducted on Friday night and Saturday afternoon. All interviews were conducted after the Iowa caucuses and before last night’s debate.

Rasmussen Reports will continue to poll in New Hampshire each day until the Primary and report results on a two-day rolling average basis.

The current poll shows Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul each earning 11% of the vote with Rudy Giuliani close behind at 9%. Fred Thompson earns 4%, some other candidate attracts 2%, and 3% are not sure.

Romney has a slight edge over McCain among conservative voters, 34% to 28%. McCain holds more than a two-to-one advantage over Romney among moderates.

Nationally, in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Rasmussen Markets data, there is no clear frontrunner for the Republican nomination. In New Hampshire’s Democratic race, Barack Obama has a solid lead over Hillary Clinton.

McCain appeals to more Primary Voters as a general election candidate than any other candidate in the field. Eighty-four percent (84%) of Likely Primary Voters say they’d be at least somewhat likely to vote for McCain in November. Seventy-five percent (75%) say the same about Romney, and 74% would consider voting for Giuliani. Just 65% say they would be at least somewhat likely to vote for Huckabee if he is nominated while 62% say the same about Thompson. Just 52% would consider voting for Ron Paul if he is nominated.

Among just Republicans likely to participate in the Primary, 87% say they would be at least somewhat likely to vote for McCain. That too is the highest total for any candidate.

As noted yesterday, McCain is also seen as the most electable Republican. Seventy-six percent (76%) of GOP voters say the Arizona Senator is at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Sixty-eight percent (68%) have that confidence in Romney and 60% say the same of Rudy Giuliani. Yesterday’s report also noted that just three Republican candidates are currently viewed favorably by even a plurality of Likely Primary Voters.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that John McCain has an 85.1 % (current numbers: McCain Romney. The numbers referenced in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. RasmussenMarkets.com is a “futures marketâ€