Arizona for McCain

By The Scribe
July 15, 2010 7:48 AM
12 Comments

McCain will win by a landslide if the latest poll is a true indicator of the Senate race in Arizona.

According to the Rocky Mountain poll released this morning: http://www.brcpolls.com/10/RMP%202010-III-01.pdf

Senator McCain now has 64 percent of the test vote compared to only 19 percent for J.D. Hayworth, five percent for Jim Deakin and just 12 percent undecided. Since April, Hayworth's appeal to Republicans, which appears never to have been widespread, shrank from 28 percent to only 19 percenttoday. Independents who plan to vote in the GOP primary (roughly 28 percent of their numbers) favor McCain by an even greater percent (71%) than do registered Republicans (62%).

But, can McCain carry the general election in the fall?

...as McCain cruises toward the nomination the question remains as to whether the Democrat candidate in the general election will be able to attract sufficient cross-over votes from disaffected Republicans and Independents to become competitive. At this moment, unfortunately, this remains impossible to tell because nearly seven in ten Democrats are undecided on how they plan to vote in the Democrat primary.

There is support for the Rocky Mountain poll in that the last Ramussen poll, released late in June showed McCain with an 11 point lead over Hayworth. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... for_senate

... shows McCain picking up 47% support, while challenger J.D.Hayworth earns the vote from 36%. Navy veteran and Tea Party activist Jim Deakin picks up seven percent (7%) support. One percent (1%) like another candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

For whatever reason J.D. Hayworth is not an attractive candidate to Arizona's Republican voters. Unless there is a drastic change it appears that voters around the country will be unhappy with Arizona Republican's Senate choice once again.

http://www.gopusa.com/fresh-ink/2010/07 ... mccain.php