Thread: US Must Create 245,500 Jobs A Month To Return To Dec 2007

US Must Create 245,500 Jobs A Month To Return To December 2007 Employment Rate By End Of Obama Second Term

by Tyler Durden
04/01/2011 09:32 -0400
66 comments

Looking at today's NFP report which beat consensus by 26K jobs, it is easy to lose perspective of the big picture. Whch is as follows: in order to regain the millions of jobs lost since the start of the Depression in December 2007, and return to the same unemployment rate when factoring in the natural growth rate of the labor force of 90,000 per month (not our estimate: CBO's), the economy will need to create 245,500 jobs each and every month by the end of Obama's tentative second term in November 2016.



http://www.zerohedge.com/article/us-mus ... econd-term

Labor Force Participation Rate Remains At 25 Year Low 64.2%, Birth/Death Adjustment: +117,000

by Tyler Durden
04/01/2011 08:42 -0400
99 comments

March update: civilian noninstitutional population: 239.0 million; Civillian labor force: 153,406, Employed 139,864, Unemployet 13,542. Americans not in Labor Force: 85,594. Which means that the Labor Force Participation rate continues to be at a 25 year low of 64.2%. And Birth Death adds another 117,000. http://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesbd.htm



http://www.zerohedge.com/article/labor- ... ar-low-642

NFP +216,000, Unemployment Rate At 8.8%, U-6 At 15.7%

by Tyler Durden
04/01/2011 08:30 -0400
128 comments

NFP reports March NFP at 216,000, above expectations of 190,000, and higher from an upward revised February 194K. Private payrolls at 230K on expectations of 30K. The unemployment rate at 8.8% is the lowest since March 2009. Underemployment (U-6) came at 15.7%. Average hourly earnings unchanged (0.0%), below expectations at 0.2%. Manufacturing payrolls below expectations at +17K on expectations of 30K, previous revised lower to 32K. But the kicker, as usual, continues to be the Labor Force Participation rate, which continues to be at a 25 year low of 64.2%. The average workweek was at 34.3 hours, unchanged from before, and confirming that from the Fed's perspective there continues to be a lot of slack in the economy.

From the release:

Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 216,000 in March, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 8.8 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, health care, leisure and hospitality, and mining. Employment in manufacturing continued to trend up.

The number of unemployed persons (13.5 million) and the unemployment rate (8.8 percent) changed little in March. The labor force also was little changed over the month. Since November 2010, the jobless rate has declined by 1.0 percentage point. (See table A-1.)

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (8.6 percent), adult women (7.7 percent), teenagers (24.5 percent), whites (7.9 percent), blacks (15.5 percent), and Hispanics (11.3 percent) showed little change in March. The
jobless rate for Asians was 7.1 percent, not seasonally adjusted. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

The number of job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs, at 8.2 million, was little changed in March but has fallen by 1.3 million since November 2010. The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) was 6.1 million in March; their share of the unemployed increased from 43.9 to 45.5 percent over the month. (See tables A-11 and A-12.)

In March, the civilian labor force participation rate held at 64.2 percent, and the employment-population ratio, at 58.5 percent, changed little. (See table A-1.)

The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) was little changed in March, at 8.4 million. These individuals were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job. (See table A-8.)

In March, 2.4 million persons were marginally attached to the labor force, up slightly from a year earlier. (These data are not seasonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. (See table A-16.)

Among the marginally attached, there were 921,000 discouraged workers in March, little changed from a year earlier. (These data are not seasonally adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them. The remaining 1.5 million persons marginally attached to the labor force in March had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey for reasons such as school attendance or family responsibilities. (See table A-16.)

Establishment Survey Data

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 216,000 in March. Job gains occurred in several service-providing industries and in mining, and manufacturing employment continued to trend up. Since a recent low in February 2010, total payroll employment has grown by 1.5 million. (See table B-1.)

In March, employment in the service-providing sector continued to expand, led by a gain of 78,000 in professional and business services. Most of the gain occurred in temporary help services (+29,000) and in professional and technical services (+35,000).

Health care employment continued to increase in March (+37,000). Over the last 12 months, health care has added 283,000 jobs, or an average of 24,000 jobs per month.

Employment in leisure and hospitality rose by 37,000 over the month, with more thantwo-thirds of the increase in food services and drinking places (+27,000).

Manufacturing employment continued to trend up in March (+17,000). Job gains were concentrated in two durable goods industries--fabricated metal products (+8,000) and machinery (+5,000). Employment in durable goods manufacturing has risen by 243,000 since its most recent low in December 2009.

In March, employment in mining increased by 14,000, with much of the gain occurring in support activities for mining (+9,000).

Employment in local government continued to trend down over the month. Local government has lost 416,000 jobs since an employment peak in September 2008.

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls was unchanged at 34.3 hours in March. The manufacturing workweek for all employees edged down by 0.1 hour to 40.5 hours, while factory overtime was unchanged at 3.3 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 0.1 hour to 33.6 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.)

In March, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls were unchanged at $22.87. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased by 1.7 percent. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisoryemployees edged down by 2 cents over the month to $19.30. (See tables B-3 and B-8.)

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for January was revised from +63,000 to +68,000, and the change for February was revised from +192,000 to +194,000.

Full release http://bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/nfp-21 ... nt-rate-88

245,500 jobs each and every month by the end of Obama's tentative second term in November 2016.

To make this clear... thats 71 Months X 245,500 = Your In Deep Shit America and this Crack Head wants to give AMNESTY to between 32 - 48 Million Illegal Aliens so that they can legally compete for every Single Job Out There

If you let them get away with it .. well then you deserve all of the PAIN that's coming your way