Thread: Gold & Mount St. Helens By: Jim Willie CB

Gold & Mount St. Helens

By: Jim Willie CB, GoldenJackass.com
Tuesday, 24 November 2009

Not in the last few years have conditions been aligned for a truly explosive upward move in the gold & silver prices. A confluence of factors simply could not be more bullish, promising, and powerful. The psychology has also been raised in awareness on a global basis, as financial centers, media networks, and common folks have coordinated their recognition of the gold bull. They comprehend perhaps two or three of the main factors why gold is rising, out my stated list in a recent article "13 Reasons For a Major Gold Breakout" in September (CLICK HERE). http://news.goldseek.com/GoldenJackass/1252612800.php The trio of fundamentals, psychology, and technical chart constitute the trifecta that will push gold & silver to extreme heights, and crush the silly shorts with their myopic half-baked tactics that are certain to make them roadkill, then someone else's lunch. The factors overlooked by most for the precious metals breakout run pertain to the broken monetary system, the Paradigm Shift away from the USDollar on both financial reserves management and commercial trade settlement, failure of the central bank franchise system, recognition of a criminal syndicate in charge of USGovt financial operations, the Black Hole of severe endless losses by firms taken under the USGovt aegis (AIG, Fannie Mae, and Wall Street firms), the hemorrhage of USGovt deficits, and lastly the dishonor of financial contract law, chronic lapses in financial market integrity, and constant intervention in those financial markets.

FALLACY IN THE DOW STOCK RALLY

The investment community rejoices when the USDollar slides further, since they have learned like a shallow minded Pavlov Dog that stocks gain. One anchor asked on Monday a basic question, "Gee, what happens if the USDollar heads toward zero, but the Dow charges ahead toward 30,000? Where does that leave us?" What a good question! The financial news networks have begun to openly wonder about the Dollar-Stock relationship and its endurance, but not yet what it means. They overlook how the S&P500 has fallen by 80% in the last several years in terms of its gold value. This is a stock bear market fully disguised, made hard to notice since the value of US money is falling fast. The stock market is rising from very easy money. One usage of the free money offered is investment in the US stock indexes. Others are Gold, Crude Oil, German Govt bonds, and commodity funds. in the Dollar Carry Trade, identified by borrowing free money and buying rising assets.

Like Wiley Coyote, a realization will soon come of a position over the canyon without footing for the stock investors. They are not prepared for a Double Dip recession, nor recognition of a recession that never ended. The common consensus belief is that the sharply lower USDollar will revitalize the USEconomy, will give a huge boost to export trade, will prevent the ravages of price deflation, will encourage foreign investment, will revive the labor market, and more baseless analytic rubbish best described as propaganda. Chalk it up to creative rationalizations and fantasy entries to the latest chapter of American Economic Mythology, and endless series of wrongful notions that has gutted the nation, enabled by the big banker parasites. Credit to Darryl Schoon for the fine image of blood sucking and targets, consistent with the Matt Taibbi comparison of Goldman Sachs to a vampire squid that extends its blood funnel into anything smelling like money across the entire planet. Their reputation is finally seeing a spot of smear. Their plants like Geithner at Treasury Secy as finally suffering some disrespect as anger is shown.

Actually, this misguided belief of perking the USEconomy from a cheaper USDollar is not only horrendously incorrect, but it is backwards. The lower value of the USDollar has numerous extremely damaging effects, will cripple the United States further, and will eventually lead the nation to a place that is best described as a Third World nation. Let's examine each claim, each plank from the positive spin, then dismiss them all.

#1. A cheaper USDollar will give a huge boost to export trade. In normal times, the effect is direct and immediate, provided the USEconomy has a critical mass of an industrial base. The 1980 and 1990 decade sent almost the entire technology manufacturing factory base to Japan and the Pacific Rim. In the years 2000 to 2004, the US corporations invested heavily in China. Recall the 'Low Cost Solutions' that resulted in lost American jobs, burgeoning Chinese trade surpluses, and a climax in tension from a broadening trade war. The trade war was forecasted three years ago here. The USEconomy surely has some export businesses, but nothing to claim as broad. Moreover, the restrictions on computer and telecommunications export remain. The Chinese cannot purchase them, so they steal their designs left unprotected on the internet websites (see Sandia Labs). The above claim (#1) has no basis, as the gain in export business will show good growth, but its base will be too small to provide much significance. From an export trade standpoint, the common consensus belief is that the sharply lower USDollar will revitalize the USEconomy is nonsense.

#2. A cheaper USDollar will prevent the ravages of price deflation. Such a belief requires a shallow broad view with no distinction of various markets at all from a price perspective. The effect so far from the lower US$ has been higher crude oil price, higher industrial metal price, higher sugar price, and high prices for many other commodities. The effect shows up as a higher entire cost structure, enough to cause great strain. The scourge of the USDollar powerful relentless ongoing decline is the effect of commodity costs, something the investment community and bank leadership prefers to avoid in discussions. The above claim (#2) has no basis, as the entire cost structure of the USEconomy is in the process of rising. Notice higher costs with lower wages and shrinking corporate profit margins. These are hallmarks of an inflationary recession, hardly a positive development, and surely not a recovery. From prevented price deflation standpoint, the common consensus belief is that the sharply lower USDollar will revitalize the USEconomy is nonsense.

#3. A cheaper USDollar will encourage foreign investment. In normal times, the effect is direct and immediate, provided the USGovt and state governments create the right environment, and provided foreign corporations trust the skill level of American workers. Neither condition exists. Business regulations and taxes prohibit foreign firms from even considering much investment and expansion onto US shores. The United States continually ranks near the bottom in attractive for business environment in which to invest. As for their observation on American workers, they regard them as hard working but not blessed with sufficient skills or education. Asians have a big advantage on math and science skills. Increasingly, Americans are finding themselves unemployable, or else skilled in areas that serve as extensions to bubble economy businesses like home construction and mortgage finance. A nasty red herring exists on the foreign investment notion. The foreign corporate chieftains sense a looming risk of martial law, growing social chaos, and widening grassroot movements in opposition to the government and bankers. The above claim (#3) has no basis, as almost every single aspect gives off big warning signals or delivers roadblocks. From a foreign investment standpoint, the common consensus belief is that the sharply lower USDollar will revitalize the USEconomy is nonsense.

#4. A cheaper USDollar will revive the labor market. The USGovt and Wall Street each claim that interest rates must remain down since all the excess capacity in the system provides too much slack, thus a dampened price effect. Nowhere is that more clear that with wages, as workers continue to be shed in massive numbers. The ravages of price deflation has a continued effect on the labor market, keep wages down. Thus, the parade of continued home foreclosures. Furthermore, the shrinking profit margins inhibit expansion by US corporations. Just the opposite. They respond by reducing the workforce for the firms. The lack of incremental foreign investment, for reasons described above, also results in less revival of the US labor market. Please show me some big news items of foreign firms setting up shop in the Untied States, with a couple thousand new jobs that provide a nice shot in the arm for the labor market. The above claim (#4) has no basis, as the labor market will stick out as the grand contradiction to any claimed USEconomic recovery. The so-called Jobless Recovery is more like a Job-Loss Recovery. From a revived labor standpoint, the common consensus belief is that the sharply lower USDollar will revitalize the USEconomy is nonsense.

OFFICIAL RESPONSE: MORE DEFICITS, MORE MONETIZATION

The USGovt executive branch, the UDept Treasury ministry, and the USFed central bank are all desperate. The USEconomy has deteriorated to a great extent, and will degrade more. The incoming revenues to the USGovt are way down, another contradiction to recovery claims. Credit growth has gone into reverse. Foreign dependence for credit supply has turned acute. The federal debt limit is soon to be breached. The Obama Admin seems on a mission to force a USTreasury debt explosion and default. Integrity of the Wall Street capital market system had been extremely downgraded. Now comes the reports (none denied by ranking sources) of tungsten gold bars, the climax of national fraud by US bankers. The response on the official government and banker side has been more monetization. Also, no interest rate hike for as far as the eye can see. Today JPMorgan announced a new 162 Euro currency target, and stated its belief of no USFed rate hike until 2012. They should know, since they are the USFed, at least their administrative side for following through on market actions. They openly recognize the Dollar Carry Trade, a surprise even to my eyes.

The USTreasury auctions receive some of the least scrutiny and investigation in memory. The rapid move to Permanent Open Market Action that buys all the official bond dealer inventory renders the process to be indirect delayed monetization. The printing pre$$ payouts for foreign USAgency Mortgage Bonds enables foreign central banks to purchase USTreasurys at auction also renders the process to be indirect immediate monetization. Before long, the entire official auction process will be an exercise in direct recognized open monetization, deemed necessary due to abandonment by foreign creditors and disgust. That will be the turning point for a rapid shocking USDollar decline and the introduction to hyper-inflation within the US shores.

BREAKDOWNS LEAD TO GOLD PRICE ADVANCE

The most recent development is clearly the exposure of the tungsten gold bars. Some extremely naive analysts and editors alike will be the last to know what is happening, as they deny the story. One editor has a military intelligence background, which accounts for myopia. He also shows only disrespect for the Gold Anti-Trust Action committee (GATA). Their charges of USGovt conspiracy to fix and suppress the gold price have been admitted by Greenspan himself. Cannot the naysayers see the pattern of fraudulent money, fraudulent coins (ok, so pre-1964 silver was copper core -- my bad), fraudulent Fannie Mae bonds, fraudulent mortgage backed bonds, fraudulent municipal bonds, counterfeited USTreasury Bonds, naked shorting of bank stocks, flash trading (the Goldman Sachs front running of NYSE), and constant Plunge Protection Team interventions? The natural climax is tungsten bars given a gold plating. Leave following the trails to others, but one could guess they match the narco pathways.

Anyone who steps forward with actual data, evidence, documents, and hard facts worthy of investigation and high level prosecution is subject to being murdered. So the way this plays out is more likely to be a cratering, a dismantling, a breakdown in the gold metals exchange. The weak link, as claimed by both GATA and hard charging analysts like Jim Sinclair with Dan Norcini, is the lack of physical gold. The metals exchanges have been running a criminal shell game for years. They do not require collateral properly placed, like 80% on short sales. In London they are digging from the 50 and 60 year old barrels to produce gold bars for delivery. In London they are hastily seeking gold bars from the Bank of England and European Union central banks in order to avert delivery defaults. The strain was evident last spring when Deutsche Bank was caught without sufficient gold, rescued by the Euro Central Bank in the nick of time. The strain was repeated in early October when London borrowed central bank gold bullion in the nick of time. Word has it that all delivery demands were met, and all were from Asia, predominantly from China. The strain will repeat by the end of this November month. The strain will again reach critical levels in March, and if the system holds together after the upcoming demands for gold delivery are handled, or not managed, whatever, we will see events reaching climax next March and the spring months heading into June.

Review some indirect evidence serving as confirmation of the tungsten gold bar story. This is inductive reasoning, at the basic level. The London and New York metals exchanges cannot complete delivery of any order over one metric tonne without fresh assay reports. Trust has been shattered. This was never required before, but is now. Why is that? Could it be that Hong Kong's revelation of 5600 tungsten bars tungsten bars (fake gold) was true, verified, and spread via a global alert? Yes, clearly! Assayers the world over are unavailable. They are all tied up as bullion bankers, sovereign wealth fund managers, lesser central banks, and individual billionaires are scrambling to verify their gold holdings. The assayers were entirely available two months ago, but not now. Why is that? Could it be that Hong Kong's revelation of 5600 tungsten bars tungsten bars (fake gold) were true, verified, and spread via a global alert? Yes, clearly!

The Canadian Mint has released information that admits to 17.5 thousand troy ounces of gold and other precious metals missing, whose estimated value is $15.3 million. No credible explanation has been offered for the missing inventory. These are not lamps, boxes of paper, crates of machine tools, floor tile, stereo sets, or power tools sitting in inventory. These are gold bars. Or were they tungsten bars? Permit the Jackass to surmise that the Canadian Mint were interrupted in their coin production process. They poured what they thought were gold bars into a cauldron, but since tungsten melts at 8000 degrees, and gold melts at 2200 degrees, the cauldron soup was lumpy with tungsten cheese. Instead of admitting they held and discovered 17.5 thousand ounces of tungsten, sure to rile the Wall Street boys, sure to turn the gold market upside down more than already, sure to invite severe scrutiny to many bankers who already face criticism (but not prosecution) over mortgage bond fraud, THEY JUST SAY IT IS MISSING !!! Just where did it go, Ottawa? Did some high level bankers (surely not Goldman Sachs) borrow it or steal it? Maybe it went to an industrial supplier that specializes in zinc, tin, copper, lead, and tungsten!!! See the National Post article (CLICK HERE). http://www.nationalpost.com/story.html?id=2253586&utm It seems the B.S. story of lost gold invites the least criticism, scrutiny, and follow through, amazingly. Theft and fraud is rampant, and the name of the game. Of course, incompetence, and clumsiness are more acceptable than corruption and collusion.

The end result of all the extra authentication processes, the absence of available assayers. the missing gold at mints, and the scattered reports of tungsten gold that have this week extended to at least on European bank location in addition to Hong Kong, is less actual verifiable gold bullion in the hands of people that trade it. In other words, THE GOLD SHORTAGE IS MORE REVEALED AND EXPOSED. Notice lastly, the no Hong Kong banker denied the story of discovering tungsten bars with gold plating. Instead, the story proliferated to a global examining of gold inventory. Notice also that no Depositor bullion bank invited investigators inside for a closer look at inventory, after doubt and lost confidence within the system occurred. These are all tell-tale coincident signs, indirect evidence in support of the tungsten salted bars and the entire story. One has to be with a military intelligence background not to see it.

GOLD EXPLOSION COMING

Gold continues to log new highs. The market forces are powerful. The corrupt cords are being severed. The bottom of the barrels are being scoured for physical gold. Investors and investment firms want some real assets instead of mountains of paper assets. Paper piles are burning. A gold price explosion is coming. They cannot stop the gold locomotive. Monday this week was gold futures options expiration. The expiry was met the previous Thursday and Friday last week with gold closing at the highs for the day, and on Monday with a 12-15 point upward thrust. Pain is being felt in a big way with the gold cartel from their suppression game that backfires. Those two days ending last week formed daily bullish hammers, very bullish signals, identified by a high open, intraday prices much lower, but with a strong high close. Hey London, Hey New York: Open vise, insert nether stones, squeeze, and invite the dogs to feed off the floor. The pressure is on. The lack of real gold is palpable. the price rises. Heads will soon roll.

Exchange officials of middle rank will be the first led away in handcuffs, not by the FBI, not by the CFTC, but by state authorities and perhaps federal marshalls. The federales are part of the syndicate (lack of) law enforcement. Why middle level guys? Because they will offer evidence and testimony against the targeted higher level officials. Many people like myself wish for a much broader exposure of criminal behavior, some prosecutions, some justice, and an end to the Age of Impunity in the Untied States that comes with the Fascist Business Model. We will find little satisfaction, except for the breakdown of the Gold-Dollar balance beam in progress. The gold & silver prices might be the main satisfaction felt. The USDollar decline might be another satisfaction. Look for strange and misleading inaccurate stories to come from the metals exchanges as they break down. Also look for something to pop up with all those guys from last August who appealed for asylum in Europe, bearing boxes of Wall Street fraud evidence. That is saved for the Hat Trick Letter reports.



Predicting the gold price at this point accurately is difficult. The Powerz are losing control. The price advances are actually occurring in a welcome manner to the Chinese. They are the primary parties in accumulation. They will push the price higher only when gold supply at the current price is no longer available, their new Modus Operandi. A gradual rise in gold price actually works the best to crush the nether stones of the corrupted metals exchanges. Few big corrections are likely to come. The price rise is being managed in much the same way as the suppression was managed. The risk is for an accident that releases control of the gold price. In that case we will see a repeat of the Mt St Helens. A 1300 price is the next target, but it is just a target. It could be easily passed. When it is passed, the next target will be something like 1500 or 2000. The shorts will be crushed, of all types, who get in the way. We are in global redesign and restructure that removes the US & UK players from the helm. They are only left with viruses to distribute after bond fraud and gold counterfeit. The USDollar is slowly suffering a death. Few in the Untied States can recognize it, since they reside inside the Dome of Perception.

http://news.goldseek.com/GoldenJackass/1259100000.php

13 Reasons For Major Gold BreakOut

By: Jim Willie CB, GoldenJackass.com

Before the Hat Trick Letter was launched, a little splash was made when a Jackass Nobody wrote “25 Reasons Why Gold Will Rise” in November 2002. It was so many years ago that the piece no longer appears in archives. The motive for the article was simple. Just too much pure nonsense and genuine rubbish had appeared in the financial press about why gold was rising. ‘THEY’ claimed the gold price was rising from MidEast tensions, from new global tensions due to a False Flag attack on New York City in broad daylight, and from other factors clearly irrelevant to gold. It was not disinformation so much as stark ignorance and stupidity, perhaps even compromised marketing from the fiat bowels on Wall Street. The crack analysts in financial circles overlooked the negative real interest rates offered by central banks, as the miniscule official rates were overwhelmed by price inflation, thus rendering gold a free pass profitable investment. Stupid inane mindless drivel continues to pour out today as to why gold has reached the $1000 level. In simple English, THEY HAVE ABSOLUTELY NO IDEA WHY GOLD IS RISING. The faceless ‘THEY’ had no idea in 2002 and ‘THEY’ have no idea now. The main fallback factor ‘THEY’ turn to is a hedge against price inflation, the basic kindergarten concept. The Wall Street machine still uses mental crayons, as nothing has changed. They are too busy building leveraged contraptions and forging collusions. Those who are aware in the Mainstream are dead silent as to why gold rises, since they realize their world is to vanish.

The original litany of reasons was examined two years later in “25 Reasons Why Gold Will Rise (revisited) + 2 more reasons added” from August 2004 (CLICK HERE). A couple mining factors had cropped up, worthy of inclusion. A quick swing to the present, after the insolvent US bank system died in September 2008, after the discredited USFed capitulated to offer near 0% rates, after colossal fraud spewed from Wall Street corner offices, after fraud was compounded by the Goldman Sachs creation of Congressional slush funds for self-dealing banker benefit, after the home mortgages continued to hurtle over the foreclosure cliff, after the USEconomy continued on a path of disintegration. Here we are again with oafish hack apologist morons trying to explain the rise in the gold price. To comprehend the golden factors requires them to leap forward well past their Wall Street marketing pay grade.

GLOBAL MONETARY SYSTEM BREAKDOWN

An acute lack of gold comprehension is evident almost on a global basis. The entire system is wedded to toxic paper. For the most part, so-called experts, industry analysts, and network anchors have absolutely no idea why gold has risen above the $1000 level. They are blind to the Paradigm Shift away from the USDollar and cannot admit the breakdown of the global monetary system. Their jobs might require them to turn a blind eye to such catastrophic events. At best they might have spent their entire careers inside the noxious US$ Greenhouse Dome, unable to see from an external vantage point, in no position to see the Dome from an outside perspective. It will be interesting to observe how long the ‘SYSTEM’ remains ignorant of the massive changes taking place, as the stages they sit upon and work upon are slowly vanishing. Their claims for golden reasons are vacant shallow factors. THEY miss the major factors. They do notice a staggering amount of fiat money being created without basis, which would fall generally under item#2. The actual reasons are many. The list is somewhat debatable, subject to interpretation. Some argument might even come from within the gold community.

Basically the reasons extend from the many tentacles and ramifications of the Grand Paradigm Shift in progress, the complete overturn of the USDollar global financial system. It is being turned upside down before it goes inside out, and finally fractures into a million pieces. This is an irreversible process that is already one year into the collapse process. Here are reasons according to my analysis and perceptions. They only number 13 this time:

1) PARADIGM SHIFT away from a USDollar centric world manifested as the global revolt against the USDollar in reserves management and transaction settlement, extended from bank structures
2) colossal irresponsibility of major central banks with expanded balance sheets, money creation, and credit growth, endorsing their government profligacy
3) failure of the central bank franchise model, exhibited by the ongoing credit crisis, insolvency of banks, and desperate attempt by the US Federal Reserve to serve as the global bank
4) ruined global monetary system from the complete debauchery of money itself
5) perversion of the USDollar from required USMilitary subsidy, from coerced USTreasury Bond support, and from tacit acceptance of Wall Street corruption (past bond fraud and debt rating agency collusion without prosecution)
6) proliferation of OTC derivatives over $1 quadrillion in value with no prospect of resolution, no hope of regulation, and deep corruption, but with deadly dependence
7) gradual recognition of a financial crime syndicate having taken control of the USGovt finance ministry, that involves official channels of slush funds, bond counterfeit, and narcotics money laundering
dishonor of financial contract law, chronic lapses in financial market integrity, and constant intervention in those financial markets
9) expectation of mammoth price inflation just over the approaching horizon, unless the central bank balance sheets inflate beyond measurement in Weimar style
10) anticipation of banking system meltdown in at least the United States and United Kingdom, likely to result in bank holidays, useful for a forced Bank Consolidation with dead banks capturing the system or for a climax Wall Street theft event
11) observation of gradual economic disintegration and the decline of global trade
12) trend toward commodity stockpiles, of which gold is the financial commodity core element and crude oil is the industrial commodity core element
13) specter of numerous pockets of armed conflict, military war, and possible nuclear events, as chaos spreads and nations desperately exploit the confusion, and react to lost sponsorship relations, if not parasite-host pacts.

MYOPIA & THE GOLDEN TIDE

This process would be almost amusing, observing cartels suffering at the hands of their own financial devices, if not so tragic by the hordes of bystanders and affected citizens. Some respected pundits will soon make fools of themselves as they awaken to explain events and their complicity. THEY do indeed comprehend item #2, but hardly anything more. Some shallow souls like Karl Denninger actually state that one cannot eat gold, and thus is has no structural value. What a truly moronic point of view by a fine forensic analyst. Stick to your knitting, Karl! Then again, he is half blind and a high school dropout from chemistry and physics (see his 911 Event drivel commentary). One cannot eat crude oil, cement slabs, steel beams, or human undergarments, and these surely have structural value to gird a foundation. Before 1971, few financial crises occurred during an era ruled by gold as the foundational scepter. As the tide turns, THEY will expound on the virtues of gold, without benefit of comprehension, in a laughable climb onto a fastmoving bandwagon. Every pundit wants to join a winning parade. Ron Insana of CNBC states he does not understand why gold is rising, in supercilious manner, as though gold is somehow impudent. He had no idea that structured financial assets would implode in 2006 when he left the monopoly CNBC network that acts like a Wall Street marketing platform. He must have expected housing prices to climb without end. He must not have received word that even Goldman Sachs was shorting mortgage bonds heavily. He is neither enlightened nor connected.

Such myopic vision is typical of bright people who have no insight into the current Paradigm Shift, a dismantle of the stage they stand upon. We are witnessing the demise of the US-UK empire, a era built upon banker monopoly, engineered inflation, Wall Street power, economic mythology, and military prowess. The US$-based structures are vanishing, a gradual process to date, but as times passes, more sudden shocks are sure to arrive as entire floors simply crumble beneath the feet of the wizards and their harlots. Some technical analysts, the eerie bunch who follow price patterns, volume trends, and cyclical measures, care little about reasons. They notice extremely positive patterns in the gold stock index and gold futures prices. Such analysts expect much higher prices ahead from power evident to perceive. See the Bloomberg article (CLICK HERE) from the mainstream press. They notice strength and energy building. They care not why! There is genius at times in such simplicity and designed distance from wretched rationalization.

Just a quick aside, for the benefit of half-blind Karl and others. The last command for Major General Albert Stubblebine was head of all Army Strategic Intelligence worldwide. Note his comments about the ridiculous story of an commercial aircraft hitting the Pentagon, a story he mocks openly. Stubblebine disputes by simply pointing out that the 5000-lb engines would have left a very very big mark on the Pentagon building facades, something that remarkably receives little discussion. No such aircraft impact happened, since a missile hit the Pentagon. Just try to imagine a jetplane that evaporated and incinerated without any debris, an utterly absurd tale. Imagine an advanced metal alloy fuselage incinerated and vaporized, even hundreds of seats turned to dust while strewn. Let’s all hail the first airline crash in modern hisotry without any debris! It is a miracle! The retired Stubblebine should be careful, but he must know the risks. This entire story is an insult to our intelligence. See the YouTube video clip (CLICK HERE). The tale told for the World Trade Center exploits the ignorance of Americans, who largely failed physics and chemistry in high school. See gravity (11 seconds for demolition freefall, not a pancake staged collapse). See chemistry (jet fuel burns 2000 degrees too low to melt structural steel). Next resort to Aesop Fables (third WTC building fell after saddened by the collapse of its two big brothers). It is difficult to insult the intelligence of a nation that has little. If a 2x4 lumber slab were slammed against half-blind Karl’s blockhead, my guess is that it too would leave no mark, just like at the Pentagon.

GOLD PRICE BREAKOUT BEGINS

The move to kiss $1000 gold was the foreplay, the first dance, the initial step to capture global attention and to preview the next much bigger move. Some important less visible factors are at work to push the gold price up, somewhat hidden from view. The Intl Monetary Fund and the London G-20 Meeting bear on the gold forces. The full breakout is imminent. It could be days, or a couple weeks, probably not more than a month. Ramadan ends in ten days, and Chinese anger is spilling over. Underlying structures are breaking with each passing week. Bank ripples are being felt. Insolvency is spreading like a disease, while corruption spreads like a cancer. Central bank money creation occurs like from a garden hose. Stories will be told about these days for decades. This is history in the making. They are accumulating gold bullion here. The fools are still selling gold, unaware of its 100% rise in price upcoming. Actually, what comes is a quasi-global 50% currency devaluation. China is cutting deals with the I.M.F. to secure central bank gold in huge blocks, much like geopolitical horse trading amidst grand power shifts for global control. If the West wishes to enjoy the benefits of Chinese credit supply, then China must be given much of what it demands. In short, the gold price will break out past 1100 and past 1200, toward a 1300 target, WHEN CHINA DECIDES TO GIVE THE ORDER.

This has come to a Financial War between China and the United States, waged in the USDollar and Gold marketplace. The war chest held by China was essentially given to it by the United States and other Western nations, with all the foundation from direct business investment in factories. The Great Economic Fools within the United States will be fodder for historians for many decades. The conflict will inevitably morph into a Big Trade War, and probably into a military hot war. Few believed my warnings made in 2005 and 2006 that China and the US will be locked in a Trade War within two to three years. Watch the tragedy of armed military conflict unfold, as the US makes one error after another, mixed with defiant disobedience of its credit master China. The Beijing leaders have giving the Obama Administration orders. The Wall Street (errrr, Obama) decision to reappoint USFed Chairman Bernanke to another term went in direct contradiction to Beijing orders. Is it any wonder that gold hit $1000 in just one month after White House meeting, and just two weeks after the Bernanke reappointment? Not here!

Sir Alan Greenspan, architect of the failed central bank franchise system, who offered monetary and political cover for the Rubin-Clinton pillage in the 1990 decade and for the Bush-Paulson pillage in the 2000 decade, has come to the stage to give two messages. He just will not go away! Greenspan seems to be one of his best historical critics, without recognition of his new role. He cannot help but offer criticism, a process that undermines his own legacy. Greenspan warns about inadequate bank capital. He should instead declare most big banks as insolvent, and even cadavers. He spoke via teleconference to the Antique India Markets Conference in Mumbai, an obscure forum.

Meanwhile, closer to home at a US-based economics conference, Greenspan admitted that the gold price gains are strictly a monetary phenomenon in his words, which should send shivers through central banker spines. He believes that rising prices of precious metals and other commodities represent an early move to shun paper currencies. He genuflected before the gold altar, when he said, “What is fascinating is the extent to which gold still holds reign over the financial system as the ultimate source of payment.” He always did love gold! Economists should spend less time at conferences and press interviews and more time learning and studying their own field, so as to develop some expertise.

CHINA DECLARES A SUBTLE FINANCIAL WAR

China made three major announcements in the first week of September, each highly disruptive, enough to add thrust to the Paradigm Shift, enough to usher in the nasty phase (see Trade War escalation). The timing of late August and early September for disruptions and onset of instability has not been a disappointment. Some are disappointed, and will remain disappointed, unless the sun does not rise at all. They will never be satisfied. China has shaken the global system in three key ways, resulting in a grand challenge to the power structure. China announced:
1) permission granted for state owned firms to selectively dishonor OTC derivative contracts by means of self-administered Stop-Losses in reneges
2) Hong Kong demands the return of its gold bullion held in custodial accounts held in London, to make its own airport vault facility (the Zurich Switzerland model)
3) Mongolian rare earth metals will no longer be exported to the West, an assault against hybrid cars, certain electronics, and military weapons (missiles).

Implications are enormous. The OTC abrogated contracts for crude oil and metal contracts, ripe with corruption and entirely unregulated, could wound deeply Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan. The demand for Hong Kong gold is more a symbolic threat, adding thrust to what already has begun. Germany, Switzerland, and the United Arab Emirates have demanded a return of their gold from US and UK storage locations, the corrupt centers where the gold was routinely leased illicitly. The trend puts considerable pressure on the COMEX, which could be deeply wounded from lack of underlying metal, as its corruption is exposed and shorting without collateral backfires. Neither the USGovt nor the USMilitary have accumulated stockpiles in rare earth metals, a clear lapse. The distraction of profits from bond fraud and narcotics trafficking must be too great. Rare earth metals are critical for weapons programs, and their absence could put further strain on the over-extended and generally strained USMilitary. See scandium (21), yttrium (39), and 15 elements from lanthanum (57) to lutetium (71), whose atomic numbers are cited in paranthesis. Skip over this part, Karl, as the elements up the scale are all just a blur to you. By the way, copper, silver, and gold are all in the same column for the periodic table of natural elements, a key point, since they share unique traits in their valence.

The Chinese actions border on extreme, but are part of a grand mosaic of change, if not rebellion amidst a Paradigm Shift. THE CHINESE ARE EXTREMELY ANGRY. They are angry about amplified USTreasury debt monetization. They are angry about outsized USGovt deficits. They are angry about USFed Chairman Bernanke being reappointed. They are angry about the battle waged by the USGovt against Swiss bankers. They are angry about Yuan currency manipulation charges. They are angry about being given second class seats at the global banker tables. They are angry about being set up as US debt bagholders. They are angry about the slow retreat of USMilitary presence in Asia. The entire foundation will undergo powerful changes from these three salvos, and more to come, likely even more defiant and elevated. The US-UK wizards who wrecked the banking system will soon be driven over the cliff, victims of their own devices, falling into a deep pit, weighed down by their own insolvency. That bank system insolvency grows worse by the month, as fresh credit portfolio losses still outpace USGovt ‘gifts’ and new capital infusions.

SAUDI BANKS READY TO TOPPLE

Saudi banks are beginning to topple, soon to cause deep ripples across the globe. Meanwhile, Saudi royals are under threat of assassination. The Saudi Arabian central bank announced it will not purchase the debts from two family businesses after a major default. The Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency will not cover the debt from Ahmad Hamad Algosaibi & Brothers and Maan al-Sanea’s Saad Group. The debt is owed to local banks. Units of the two groups have borrowed at least $15.7 billion from more than 80 regional and international banks. About $5 billion of that is owed to Saudi banks, Standard Chartered stated in an August 26th report. See the Bloomberg article (CLICK HERE). On August 30th, a suicide bomber injured Saudi Prince Mohammed bin Nayef, son of the interior minister and nephew of King Abdullah. The incident took place in Jeddah Saudi Arabia. Reports indicate the motive might be tied to Saudi involvement in the civil war in Yemen. A check reveals that Ramadan ends on September 19th. Expect all hell to break loose in the Persian Gulf after its end. Mayhem will be permitted at that time.

In a Jackass public article entitled “US Bank Enemies at the Gates” from late August (CLICK HERE), the risk of broad Arab bank failures was mentioned. “But the Persian Gulf bank failures represent the clear and present threat… A bank panic in the Persian Gulf could ensue very soon, a back door threat. It would clearly have origins in the United Arab Emirates, spread to the entire Persian Gulf like to Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and elsewhere. From this global toehold, the bank panic could then spread to London, New York, and points in Europe.” Perhaps the origin of Persian Gulf bank shocks will be both Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. The construction project bust in Dubai, rescued by the Abu Dhabi bankers, will deliver massive shock waves soon. They own a boatload of USTreasurys and US bank stocks. The ugly geopolitical secret is that the reign of the Saudi regime has days that are numbered. The Saudi Royals are already constructing their new enclaves in Southern Spain and Los Angeles. The Saudis have even hired the European Aeronautic Defense & Space Company (EADS) to complete a large MidEast security project, to construct a fence which will encircle Saudi Arabia at a cost of $3.5 billion. These are the same geniuses who created the Airbus flying tomb. Can you say Maginot Line? No students of history in that room!

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Use the above link to subscribe to the paid research reports, which include coverage of several smallcap companies positioned to rise during the ongoing panicky attempt to sustain an unsustainable system burdened by numerous imbalances aggravated by global village forces. An historically unprecedented mess has been created by compromised central bankers and inept economic advisors, whose interference has irreversibly altered and damaged the world financial system, urgently pushed after the removed anchor of money to gold. Analysis features Gold, Crude Oil, USDollar, Treasury bonds, and inter-market dynamics with the US Economy and US Federal Reserve monetary policy.


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How High Will The Gold Price Rise In The Short-Term?

By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch - GoldForecaster.com

Sunday, 29 November 2009

This is a snippet from a recent issue of the Gold Forecaster with Subscriber-only parts excluded. We will not disclose our forecasts on the gold price except to Subscribers.

It took a few days for the market to understand the impact of the Indian Reserve Bank’s purchase of 200 tonnes of the I.M.F.’s gold sale of 403.3 tonnes, but eventually the market did respond. Since then, one of several announcements has been made, concerning the balance of 200.3 tonnes still being sold. The I.M.F. has promised to inform us that they will tell us how much they were unable to sell and to sell that amount, if any, slowly in the ‘open market’ without disrupting the price. We will be surprised if there is any left. India has indicated it will buy more if given the chance. So keep your eye open for the next announcement too [Since this was published Sri Lanka has bought 10 tonnes].

Mauritius Buys 2 tonnes
Mauritius bought 2 tonnes, so the I.M.F. informed us. They will probably reap the benefits of this purchase as people rush to find out where the country is.

To help you in this, it is a sub-tropical Island to the North of Madagascar East of South Africa. Populated by fleeing French nobles during the French Revolution, who became sugar planters with a house by the sea and plantations inland, alongside African and subsequently Creole workers, the island was filled with people from the Indian sub-continent from Independence on. Originally a French colony it was handed to the British as a prize after a sea battle, leaving its neighbor Reunion still very French to this day [the writer prefers Reunion for its scenic beauty, black sand beaches and volcanoes – where he had his honeymoon]. A rich country that benefitted from the sanctions imposed on South Africa it is now a very popular holiday island for primarily South Africans who visit this hotel covered island to be pampered for a couple of weeks a year.

So their buying gold is not tainted by any political overtones or restrained by any. Perhaps the Indian influence that favors gold anyway and the Indian purchase of 200 tonnes prompted the buying. We believe it was bought for the same reasons as India bought - prudence in the face of a decaying $.


The influence on the Gold Price of Official Gold Buying
Subscribers only-

…... Indeed most forecasts will be wrong on the lower side. Why?

Because the signals being given on ‘Official’ fronts are that times are here where global cooperation on the monetary front will dissipate leaving tensions and pressure that will hurt exchange rates and currency values in unpredictable but crisis making ways. Gold will really become the safe-haven it has been in history again. China and U.S. currency tensions are but the start of this.

Repeat of last week’s commentary: - President Obama is about to go to China where he will face their leaders. What does he want and expect? He wants China to let its currency rise [this won’t happen]. He wants friendly cooperation between the nations. But very much to the point he then says that, “if we don't solve some of these problems, then I think both economically and politically it will put enormous strains on the relationship." They didn’t solve those that affect gold!

A look at the two very different national interests shows that there cannot be cooperation on these issues. Political pressure therefore has to rise in the days ahead. Bear in mind that the battlefields are not on land but in the banking and currency worlds, where all economic exchanges happen. So here is where the influences on the gold price will be most keenly felt.

Already the U.S. has seen a decimation of its manufacturing base, a feature that President Obama realizes. In recognizing this he has said, “It is particularly important for us when it comes to Asia as a whole to recognize that in the absence of a more robust export strategy it is going to be hard for us to rebuild our manufacturing base and employment base in this country,"

Take this to a global view, where last year the G-20 expressed a desire to find global cooperation of monetary and economic issues and what do we now see? Central banks and government intentions are now subsiding, and coordinated activity among member states is being replaced by more unilateral, nationalistic decision making by individual countries. As gold is now a ‘tacit’ currency, gold is benefitting as the prospects for collective action on currencies is included. Now, as we have expressed before, the overriding objective of nearly all members is to maintain some level of currency competitiveness all of which makes a weaker U.S. $ likely and benefits gold. With national interests becoming more selfish as the pressures grow, political tension between East and West must grow. In this way we are moving towards ‘extreme times’. This is when gold becomes money and the possessor of that gold is empowered.

Such tensions are as significant as the change from summer to winter. Investors who recognize this first will be the biggest beneficiaries.

More Announcements to come from the I.M.F.
After the buying by Mauritius, there remains 201.3 tonnes to go. China remains the favorite, but who else is anybody’s guess. So we wait and see.

One pertinent observation is that it is the emerging East that is most keen to buy gold. This is because in those cultures gold has been and always will be, money. The U.S. $ doesn’t strike a chord like gold does. Gold has no government, currencies do.

As each announcement is made, it rings another vote of confidence in the metal as a form of money. If the I.M.F. doesn’t want this to happen, it would do well to save the balance of the announcements until all the gold is sold and make one announcement and hope its effect will blow away quickly. Alternatively, as they should be maximizing the proceeds of the sales, they do well to stagger the announcements and sales to raise the price up?

Enjoy the ride!


Overall impact on the gold market and its price
For Subscribers only! We sent out a review of the gold market to Subscribers only, which reveals why the gold price is being held well above $1,000, where it will go next and how the gold market has changed shape due to the changes in overall central bank policies, from selling gold to buying gold.

Gold Forecaster regularly covers all fundamental and Technical aspects of the gold price in the weekly newsletter. To subscribe, please visit www.GoldForecaster.com

Legal Notice / Disclaimer
This document is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment. Gold Forecaster - Global Watch / Julian D. W. Phillips / Peter Spina, have based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Gold Forecaster - Global Watch / Julian D. W. Phillips / Peter Spina make no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. Expressions of opinion are those of Gold Forecaster - Global Watch / Julian D. W. Phillips / Peter Spina only and are subject to change without notice. Gold Forecaster - Global Watch / Julian D. W. Phillips / Peter Spina assume no warranty, liability or guarantee for the current relevance, correctness or completeness of any information provided within this Report and will not be held liable for the consequence of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein or any omission. Furthermore, we assume no liability for any direct or indirect loss or damage or, in particular, for lost profit, which you may incur as a result of the use and existence of the information, provided within this Report.

-- Posted Sunday, 29 November 2009


http://news.goldseek.com/GoldForecaster/1259546400.php

Unfortunately, every word of both of the above articles is true. How much physical gold is there, compared to the "gold" that is being sold? Gold keeps rising at the speed of light. Scare tactics are being used to encourage people to buy gold as a safety measure. And they "create" gold out of thin air to accomodate the fever. But the physical gold does not exist to cover it.

I have changed my mind about holding gold if you already have it. I see this as a game of musical chairs. Those that sell their gold holdings first will get the worth of their investment. Where those that TRY to sell later will be left, "without a chair to sit in." The reason is that there are not enough chairs to sit in. So your azz better be in a chair when the music stops, if you want a chair at all.

Related: http://www.alipac.us/f19/max-keiser-...ld-vid-265883/