Thread: McCaskill takes a hit in the polls after opposing Kavanaugh confirmation

McCaskill takes a hit in the polls after opposing Kavanaugh confirmation

potential backlash against Democrats may be building.

September 30, 2018
By Rick Moran

Incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill came out in opposition to confirming Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court 10 days ago. This move may have been ill advised as polls show she now trails her GOP opponent, Josh Hawley.

Previous polls in the last month have been tied. Hawley's slight surge after the senator announced her opposition to Kavanaugh may be an omen of things to come.
Breitbart:

A new poll released by The Missouri Scout on Saturday shows that Republican challenger Josh Hawley has taken a two point lead over Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) in the Missouri Senate race just days after she announced she will be voting against the confirmation of Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Hawley leads McCaskill by a margin of 48 percent to 46 percent in the poll conducted by Missouri Scout over two days, from Wednesday, September 26 to Thursday, September 27.
McCaskill announced her opposition to Kavanaugh on September 19. The second day of the poll was conducted on the same day Judge Kavanaugh and Dr. Christine Blasey Ford, who has accused him of attempting to sexually assault her 36 years ago at a time and place she cannot recall and with no corroborating witnesses or evidence, testified before the Senate Judiciary Committee.
Significantly, the poll found that 49 percent of likely voters said the Supreme Court confirmation process for Brett Kavanaugh has made them less likely to vote for McCaskill, while only 42 percent said it made them more likely to vote for her.
The overall seven point deficit for McCaskill on this important question helps explain why Hawley has jumped into a two point lead. Even though the results are barely within the 2.5 percent margin of error, they are different than three national polls conducted earlier in September, all of which showed the race tied.

At least in Missouri, Democratic tactics against Kavanaugh may be backfiring:

Among female respondents, 47 percent said the confirmation process made them less likely to vote for McCaskill, while 42 percent said it made them more likely.
Among male respondents, 50 percent said the confirmation process made them less likely to vote for McCaskill, while 41 percent said it made them more likely.
Among Non-Partisan respondents, 46 percent said the confirmation process made them less likely to vote for McCaskill, while 39 percent said it made them more likely.

I think you'll find this to be true in most Republican states. The process has been so tainted that voters could be in the mood to punish Democrats for their actions. How much of a difference it might make nationwide remains to be seen.
The bottom line is that McCaskill is going to need a significant number of GOP conservatives to get re-elected. Missouri has more Republicans in it than Democrats and McCaskill's opposition only makes it that much harder for her to overcome the GOP advantage in the state.
The significance of this race cannot be overstated. If the Republicans can flip just one or two Democratic senate seats, the chances of the Democrats taking control of the upper body are reduced to close to zero. Hawley is very well funded and has run a decent campaign so far, making it difficult for McCaskill to attack him as an "extremist" which has been the Democratic playbook elsewhere.

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https://www.americanthinker.com/blog...firmation.html

Trump Bump (big rally last week) and Kavanaugh Bump. It took both. Oh please, Missouri, elect Hawley to the US Senate, please, please, please!!

VOTE ALL RED IN NOVEMBER 2018!!!

Even the AP notices a lot of women are supporting Kavanaugh

So much for the leftist narrative out there that any Senator who believes Kavanaugh will cost his or her party the entire women's vote.

September 30, 2018
By Monica Showalter

Up until now, the Democrats and their media punditocracy have pushed the ‘narrative’ that female voters are all in for the sex-attack testimony of Christine Blasey Ford against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, despite the latter’s lifetime spotless record, and Republicans who believe Kavanaugh are likely to pay by losing the Senate at midterms, owing to all the angry female voters who will vote against them.
Well, not exactly.
Even the Associated Press has, rather astonishingly, noticed that a lot of women support Brett Kavanaugh, and these aren't the ones who actually know him, writing:

COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — As the Senate is divided on President Donald Trump’s Supreme Court pick, so too are women across the country.
Female voices have echoed throughout the U.S. Senate this week demanding male senators justify their support for Brett Kavanaugh’s U.S. Supreme Court nomination despite an allegation of high school sexual assault.
But other women have spent hours calling Senate offices in support of Kavanaugh, condemning what they saw as an anti-Republican ploy that’s damaged not only Kavanaugh’s reputation and livelihood but also his accuser’s.

Given that news agency’s recent record of leftist bias, a story like this, giving coverage to both points of view instead of just one, represents a seismic shift. AP found a YouGov poll that shows very marginal differences between women who believe Ford and women who believe Kavanaugh, and even found a group of women in South Carolina, who support Kavanaugh, complete with pro-Kavanaugh tshirts. Note how young those faces look in that crowd.

Channel1 America @channel1america


AP reports RT APSouthRegion: Meet the women who are drumming up support for Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh as he faces sexual assault allegations. http://apne.ws/FNvUHv5
3:23 AM - Sep 30, 2018




Many women line up in support of Kavanaugh

COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — As the Senate is divided on President Donald Trump's Supreme Court pick, so too are women across the country. Female voices have echoed through
apnews.com
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Other news agencies have picked up on it, too, and either spread the AP story around, or else done their own stories. It's getting out there. The New York Post, Yahoo! News, and even the New York Daily News all ran with the story.

View image on Twitter

KTLA 5 Morning News ✔ @KTLAMorningNews

As Some Women Rally Against Kavanaugh, Others Express Support for Supreme Court Nominee http://bit.ly/2OmSro9
8:02 AM - Sep 30, 2018

• 13
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FOX & friends ✔ @foxandfriends

Video at the tweet and page link

“There are women who are supportive of Judge Kavanaugh. …We need to stand up for this man who is being so maligned in the media.” -@jennybethm
12:10 PM - Sep 28, 2018

• 1,994
• 816 people are talking about this

Which goes to show that women at a minimum are as divided as men on the matter, and that could have implications for the midterms as wobbly Republicans decide among themselves whether kowtowing to every Democratic demand is going to help them at midterms or not. YouGov concludes that it’s not having much of an effect on how people plan to vote at all.
What it also shows is that if women are experience-oriented in their support for the Blasey Ford narrative, well, those same women are also using their experience as the basis of their support for the Kavanaugh defense. The press up until now says that the Blasey Ford testimony has potential to galvanize the female vote because so many women have experienced or known someone who has experienced a sex attack of the kind Blasey Ford described - which is where the Democrat-oriented 'Believe women' slogan comes from.
But there’s more than one experience operative here. Most women also know that most men are good men who wouldn’t dream of attacking a woman – and a heck of a lot of such guys are guys like Kavanaugh. What’s more, they also know of good men who have been falsely accused, and how every element of the law is stacked against them based on political correctness mania in universities and elsewhere. They also have fathers, brothers, and sons and potential sons and they do not want this sort of nightmare to ever happen to them. So there is a sympathy factor from that direction, too.
This comes even as many believe that Blasey Ford may be telling the truth about being attacked, but has the identity of the perpetrator in that hazy, faded memory of hers entirely wrong.
On the Kavanaugh side, there are likely women who believe both, all or in part, because they know that such things as witness mistakes, or even lying, happen - even if the accuser is female. Being female gives no get-out-of-jail pass for facts.
What it signals is that Republicans should recognize they’ve been rolled enough by Democrats and make no further concessions to their demands for additional delay, The facts from the weeklong FBI investigation will fall where they will, and the women’s vote as an emotional grounds driver of votes is not what the Democrat narrative says it is. Republicans are never going to get the votes of the hard left, whose main priority is abortion, so they need to stand up to the Democrat games-playing. This AP story shows that the much-feared women’s vote is not going to be as decisive as doing the right thing.

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NEW POLL: Josh Hawley Jumps to Lead Over Claire McCaskill After She Announces Opposition to Brett Kavanaugh

Americans are sick to death of listening to and watching this nonsense about sexual assault that wasn't, gang rapes that didn't occur, penis waving that didn't happen, we are fed up with nasty talk about nasty things that didn't happen. There are plenty of real sexual assaults, real gang rapes and real penis shows to investigate and take action on. There is no action to be taken on false claims of things that didn't happen. It's an insult to real victims to be showering all this attention on FAKE CLAIMS about stuff that didn't happen.

STOP IT. VOTE AND CONFIRM.