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Thread: Mid-Term Prediction: HUGE RED WAVE to Hit America After Disgusting Kavanaugh Attacks

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  1. #1
    Senior Member Airbornesapper07's Avatar
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    Aug 2018

    Mid-Term Prediction: HUGE RED WAVE to Hit America After Disgusting Kavanaugh Attacks

    Mid-Term Prediction: HUGE RED WAVE to Hit America After Disgusting Kavanaugh Attacks …(And We Were Right in 2016 Too!)

    by Jim Hoft October 2, 2018 447 Comments

    Guest post by Joe Hoft

    As the Presidential election of 2016 approached, we made a prediction on the election. We predicted a huge Trump victory. We were right. Today we are announcing our prediction on the 2018 mid-term election. We are confident with our prediction.

    Election 2016

    As November 8th, 2016 approached, we predicted a Trump victory. We based our prediction on analysis and observations and we were correct. We beat all of the #NeverTrump naysayers and liberal media hacks.
    We started our 2016 Presidential Election prediction with a reminder on our earlier predictions from the primaries. On April 2nd of 2016 we predicted that Ted Cruz would be mathematically eliminated from the Republican race for President on April 27th because on that day he would need more delegates than would be available. We also predicted that on April 27th Donald Trump would accumulate 943 delegates which would put him well on track to win the Republican nomination.

    April 27th came and Ted Cruz was eliminated and Trump had amassed 944 delegates (which later was updated to 950 delegates). We were 100% correct and our reporting made the headlines at the Drudge report!

    We based our prediction on the 2016 Presidential campaign on various analysis and observations.

    Trump won big in the 2016 primaries
    In 2016 Republicans crushed their previous record in the primaries for number of votes by 150% . Their old record was 20 million and this year 31 million voted in the primaries. The Democrats on the other hand had 7 million votes less than their record year in 2008 with 30 million compared to 37 million in 2008. Donald Trump also SHATTERED the GOP primary record by 1.4 million votes in a field of 17 candidates.

    Many of the 2016 polls were biased

    In late October 2016 a number of polls showed Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by various margins. One poll reported by NBC/WSJ showed Hillary ahead by 11. However, it was never pointed out that the poll was created by a Hillary Super PAC.
    Also, it’s also well known that the widely reported Monmouth University poll was run by a Hillary Huckster who was caught manipulating the poll and then lied about it. took an average of these distorted polls to come up with their analysis of the 2016 race. Their efforts were a great example of the phrase – ‘garbage in – garbage out’.

    Many if not all of the polls included samples that were heavily skewed towards Democrats or women. WikiLeaks released Clinton emails showing the Democrat Party efforts to work with pollsters to corrupt the polls and discourage Trump supporters.

    Rallies Showed Massive Excitement for Trump and None for Hillary
    We kept track of the number of participants at both Trump and Hillary rallies after the conventions in July 2016. Since August 1stTrump crushed Hillary in these events. Trump rallies accumulated more than 710,000 in August through October while Hillary’s only 60,000. These numbers were so huge they could not be ignored!

    Social Media

    Social media numbers for Trump heavily outpace Clinton.

    The Bernie Factor

    Ask any Democrat who supported Bernie Sanders whether they would vote for Hillary. The answer was ‘no’. A significant number of Bernie fans hated Hillary Clinton for the super delegates she was awarded to steal the election. Voters also questioned her for suspect primary wins and the WikiLeaks emails revealed how she slammed Bernie and cheated at every turn. The Bernie people knew that the media was biased.

    Lawn Signs

    Finally, we suggested that people look around. Everywhere you went you saw Trump signs. However, you could drive for miles and see no Hillary signs. The excitement for Hillary was just not there.
    WE NAILED IT! Candidate Donald J. Trump won the election in an electoral landslide.

    Election 2018

    Here is our prediction for the mid-terms: Republicans will pick up at least 5 and possibly 6 or 7 or more seats in the Senate and Republicans will maintain leadership in the House. Below is our support for this prediction.

    Social Media Data is No Longer Accurate or Transparent

    We can no longer use social media as an indication for who will win the mid-term election or any election going forward. Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and Google have all made significant efforts to curtail and eliminate conservative content and publishers. Posts and articles shared on social media are no longer going viral due to liberal bias by the tech giants.
    Last week — Jim Hoft, The Gateway Pundit Founder, spoke to Congress about the elimination of conservative content by Facebook.

    Hoft provided evidence that Facebook eliminated 93% of combined referral traffic to top conservative websites from January 2017 to May 2018.

    Because of this we now are forced to use other observations and data sources to support our prediction.

    Polls are Still Flawed

    As noted above, the 2016 polls were not accurate and this has not changed. Democrats continue to try and manipulate people through polls. They just don’t get it that Americans can now, thanks to President Trump, see through the liberal antics. The polls for this year’s election are local and are even more skewed due to smaller population sizes. We base very little credence on the polls except in cases when the Republicans are in the lead. In these cases it is highly likely that the Republican will win due to the polls already being skewed towards the left.

    Historical House Changes Skewed by Clinton and Obama

    The Mainstream Media (MSM) has been harping for months that there is going to be a “blue wave” this year because this is the pattern after a President and his Party win a national election and the House. However, this is not the total truth.
    According to one report, Republicans do much better than Democrats in the midterm elections in this scenario going back to WWII –
    On average, Democrat presidents lose 35.2 seats in the House. Republican presidents only lose 11.2 seats in the House in their first midterm on average. Again, this is every president since WWII, so this is a very extensive analysis.
    If this average holds true, the Republicans will hold the House. But we expect that the results of the midterms for the House will be much better based on the items below.
    Trump Rallies Show More Excitement than Ever Before!

    President Trump continues to hold rallies and they are bigger than ever! On Monday at his rally in Tennessee the crowd was massive. Thousands waited to get in the rally five and a half hours before the rally started.
    The turnout at Trump rallies is huge! There is more excitement at these rallies than even before the 2016 election! This is huge and relevant.

    Marc Sallinger @MarcWBIR

    Video at the tweet and the page link

    5.5 hours before President Trump is set to speak in Johnson City, the line to get in the auditorium is thousands of people long. Doors haven’t opened yet
    1:41 PM - Oct 1, 2018

    The Senate is a different story. Up to ten Democrat Senators up for election could very possibly be removed from office in this election. The net gain for Republicans in the Senate will be at least five Senators but more probably more due to so many of these races being in red states that President Trump won handily.

    Trump Keeping Promises

    The reason that the Trump rallies are so exciting and crowded is in part because President Donald J. Trump is keeping his promises. In early 2018 the Heritage Foundation rated President Trump’s first year better than President Reagan’s and we reported this and it was linked to by the Drudge Report.
    President Trump is simply doing what he promised. This is why the stock market is at all-time highs, American’s 401k’s are increasing by the day, the GDP is at an all-time high, the Debt to GDP ratio is declining, ISIS is wiped out of Syria and Iraq, North Korea is working on denuclearization, the US is out of the terrible climate deal, the US is out of the terrible Iran deal, and on and on.
    Yesterday, the President announced that he has replaced NAFTA with a new trade agreement with Mexico and Canada that will be good for the US and all involved. Another promise kept –

    Youtube Video

    The Media is Corrupt and Now Thanks to the President More Americans Understand this

    The media does not have a hold over the American people like it once did thanks to President Trump. More people are looking past, over and around the MSM and relying on other sources like The Gateway Pundit for accurate information. Despite the socials’ efforts to destroy the conservative message, Americans are finding their news elsewhere.
    The more the President speaks out about the “Fake News” media, the more the MSM digs in and promotes dishonest and unsubstantiated stories about the President while ignoring his successes, and the more Americans see the MSM for what it is. Americans simply refuse to believe the MSM’s negative news on President Trump. CNN, for example, is at abysmal low viewership due to its continuing promotion of “Fake News”. Ultimately, the MSM is digging its own grave.

    The Brett Kavanaugh Effect

    Can you imagine how great this country would be if we had two parties vying for power and competing for votes by promoting and implementing better and better ideas for the United States? This sadly is not the case.

    President Trump implements ideas and actions to make America better. Democrats do the opposite.

    The Democrats entire platform was to attack Trump and anyone near him and attempt to prevent any policy that the President has to help the American people. Democrats all voted against tax cuts for Americans. Democrats in the Senate nearly all voted against Supreme Court Judge Gorsuch. Only after it was clear that Gorsuch would win his nomination, did three Democrats vote for the Judge.
    Democrats complain, delay, obstruct and lie about what the President is doing to make America great again.

    But what the Democrats are doing to smear and bear false witness against Judge Brett Kavanaugh is possibly their worst attack to date.

    Every American should watch Judge Kavanaugh’s opening statement from his testimony last week in front of the Senate Judiciary Committee. In his speech he showed his disgust against Democrat smears. He wept for his family and his name while vowing never to give up.
    Senator Lindsey Graham from South Carolina made America proud when he stood up for the good Judge Kavanaugh whose integrity was being crucified by the Democrats and their MSM –

    Youtube Video

    When Judge Kavanaugh told the story about how his ten-year-old daughter had suggested that the family pray for his accusers, it was clear that the Kavanaughs are good people, the salt of the earth, Godly and good Americans.
    No one could walk away from that hearing and not know what a national treasure Judge Kavanaugh and his family are. The Judge was top in his class at Yale, a DC Circuit Court judge for a decade with a clean bill of health, and then suddenly the Democrats and the MSM promoted last minute smears of him being a “gang-rapist”, a drunk and sexual deviant related to unsubstantiated stories more than three decades ago.

    The accusations against Kavanaugh are as disgusting as they get.

    Meanwhile, the Democrats continue to praise the unconstitutional Mueller Special Counsel while promoting the many false targeting leaks from the Deep State against the candidate and then President.
    Americans have had enough. If the MSM and Democrats believe that Americans are on their side regarding the Kavanaugh “scam” and Mueller “witch hunt” they are gravely mistaken.

    Americans see right through these scandals, smears, lies and criminal acts.

    The mid-terms will not be a “blue wave”, not even close.

    Responsible conservatives will vote in more Republicans nationally. There is nothing more that the Democrats and their liberal media can send at the President that we won’t see through. Any efforts on their part, like the Judge Kavanaugh crucifixion, will be seen for what it is. Democrat voter fraud is always a concern but Americans are good and will side with the imperfect man and our great President, Donald J. Trump.

    Americans will not allow our great President to be taken down. Americans will vote for Republicans and support President Trump.

    Democrats overplayed their hate. November will be a Red Wave.
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  2. #2
    Senior Member Airbornesapper07's Avatar
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    Aug 2018
    Meanwhile, Trump's economy births huge manufacturing contract

    Billions of dollars and a bevy of shiny new jobs.

    October 2, 2018
    By Russ Vaughn

    Like the Energizer Bunny, the Trump economy just keeps marching ahead and pounding that drum. Last week, Boeing announced that it has been awarded a $9.2-billion contract from the DoD to produce the new T-X jet trainer and training program the USAF will use to train pilots for the foreseeable future. I confess that when I first heard during the Obama administration that Saab was involved with the Boeing proposal, my immediate suspicion was that the jobs and income from this lucrative contract might be going offshore, as both Italy and South Korea were also in the running. It was all too easy to imagine a new economically incompetent or, worse, corrupt Clinton administration handing this fat domestic plum to a foreign aircraft-fabricator to piously and foolishly signal their utopian assurances to the larger community of the world.

    But that was before Trump's election and his promised Make America Great Again economic renaissance made my concerns as obsolete as the fifty-year-old training aircraft in current use. Yes, Saab is partnered with Boeing and will share in the federal largesse, but this beautiful new aircraft will be 90% American-built, creating 17,000 lucrative aviation industry jobs in 34 states.

    Show me any governor, even Democrat, who wouldn't be salivating at the prospect of landing a few thousand, even a few hundred, of these high-paying jobs for his constituents. No doubt, deep-blue Democrats like Moonbeam and cuckoo Comrade Cuomo, whose coastal enclaves are now hemorrhaging high-paying jobs and had-enough citizens, will sniff sanctimoniously at being required to launder morally defiled defense dollars – all while furiously formulating new tactics for taxing the max away from these new golden geese. One certainty is that between now and the midterms, every Republican politician in every state should be touting this Trump retention of key manufacturing jobs, such skilled occupations as Obama had kissed off as long gone to the Third World, never to return to his America. They probably wouldn't have come back to his, a Democrat-controlled, America – which is a good reason why sensible, hardworking citizens should never again give power to the max-taxing, jobs-destroying Democrats.
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  3. #3
    Senior Member Airbornesapper07's Avatar
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    Aug 2018
    New Gallup poll reveals surge in voter enthusiasm

    Gallup has some bad news for Democrats counting on a "blue wave.

    October 1, 2018

    By Thomas Lifson

    Gallup has some bad news for Democrats counting on a "blue wave." We already know that Trump-haters are fired up, and predictions of a "blue wave" rest on the assumption that Democrats, more than Republicans, will be motivated to vote next month. But a poll from Gallup, conducted between September 17 and 23, four days before the polarizing testimony of Christine Blasey Ford, reveals that Republicans are just about as fired up as Democrats.

    Today's heightened enthusiasm is the result of high levels of enthusiasm among Republicans and Democrats – possibly reflecting both party groups' enhanced recognition of the importance of the election in light of the high-stakes Kavanaugh hearings.
    Sixty-one percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners and 58% of Republicans and Republican leaners say they are more enthusiastic about voting in November compared to prior elections. These levels roughly match Republicans' record-high enthusiasm in 2010, Barack Obama's first midterm, when the GOP won a whopping 63 seats. But this is the first time in Gallup's trend since 1994 that both parties have expressed high enthusiasm.

    There is a lot of news ahead for us in the five weeks until the midterm elections. Judge Kavanaugh is likely to get a vote on confirmation, and the claims against him will be vetted by the FBI. Declassification of the FISA warrants and text messages will likely result in public knowledge of the conspiracy against Trump.

    If GOP and Democrat voters were within the margin of error in their equal enthusiasm for voting, the prospects of a blue wave are receding. And always keep in mind that Democrat voters are concentrated in big cities, while GOP voters are ore spread out. Winning big-city congressional districts by even wider margins does not lead to more districts turning blue.

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  4. #4
    Moderator Beezer's Avatar
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    Apr 2016
    Blue Wave HITS Red Wall

    Get mad, see red, vote red!!!
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  5. #5
    Senior Member Airbornesapper07's Avatar
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    Aug 2018
    Trump at 36 percent approval among African-Americans, new poll finds

    William Cummings, USA TODAY Published 8:05 p.m. ET Aug. 16, 2018 | Updated 9:46 a.m. ET Aug. 17, 2018

    In an effort to stay relevant and save themselves from extinction, residents of a small Swiss village will be turning it into a seasonal hotel. Buzz60's Maria Mercedes Galuppo has more.Buzz60
    Even as cable news networks debate reports of the existence of a recording of President Donald Trump using a racial slur, a new poll from Rasmussen Reports says that the president's approval rating among African-Americans is at 36 percent, nearly double his support at this time last year.
    "Today's @realDonaldTrump approval ratings among black voters: 36%," Rasmussen said in a tweet. "This day last year: 19%."
    That is a staggeringly high number for a man who only won 8 percent of the African-American vote in 2016.
    It is even more unexpected given the president's rocky history on matters related to race, including his current nasty feud with former White House aide Omarosa Manigault Newman, who has alleged Trump said "n word" on the set of the reality-TV show "The Apprentice."
    Conservatives celebrated the poll as a sign of trouble for Democrats in upcoming elections.
    Charlie Kirk, the founder of the conservative campus group Turning Point USA, cited the poll as evidence that Trump "is breaking the Democrat party as we know it."

    View image on Twitter

    "Trump’s Black Approval is at 36%," Kirk tweeted. "If I was a Democrat I would be terrified. And it’s only going to get worse for them."
    A post on Fox News host Sean Hannity's blog cheered the apparent increase in support, which defies the "non-stop media attacks."
    "The stunning data spells disaster for Democrats just months away from the 2018 midterm election, with the party’s base beginning to fracture as the economy roars to life under President Trump and the GOP-controlled Congress," the post says.

    Charlie Kirk @charliekirk11
    .@realDonaldTrump is breaking the Democrat party as we know it

    Trump’s Black Approval is at 36%, Previous GOP Election Best Was 12% in 1996

    If I was a Democrat I would be terrified

    And it’s only going to get worse for them
    5:48 PM - Aug 16, 2018

    Trump frequently cites Rasmussen polls because they consistently show him with a higher approval rating than other polling organizations. For example, the Real Clear Politics average currently has Trump at 43 percent approval. But today's tracking poll from Rasmussen has the president at 49 percent. And while Trump has never topped 46 percent on the RCP average, Rasmussen has shown Trump with approval ratings as high as 59 percent.
    Fact check: The real scoop on Trump's poll numbers
    More: Here are 10 times President Trump's comments have been called racist
    But other polls have also shown an increase in support for Trump among African-Americans – albeit a more modest increase than Rasmussen found.
    An NAACP poll released on Aug. 7 found that Trump's approval rating was at 21 percent. And a survey conducted by the Pew Research Center in June found Trump's approval rating among blacks at 14 percent.
    Although a vast majority of African-Americans still disapprove of Trump's job as president, those numbers represent an improvement from his share of the vote in 2016. No Republican presidential candidate has done better than 12 percent among blacks since Bob Dole in 1996, according to Cornell University's Roper Center.
    Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump

    Thank you to Kanye West and the fact that he is willing to tell the TRUTH. One new and great FACT - African American unemployment is the lowest ever recorded in the history of our Country. So honored by this. Thank you Kanye for your support. It is making a big difference!
    6:58 PM - Aug 10, 2018

    Trump proudly and frequently cites the current low unemployment figures among African-Americans as a reason voters from that demographic should support him. On Friday, Trump cited those numbers in a tweet in which he also said he was "honored" to have the support of musician Kanye West.
    Fact check: Did Kanye West help Trump double his approval rating among blacks?
    In May, Trump boasted to a crowd at a National Rifle Association convention that West's endorsement had doubled his percentage of African-American supporters after a Reuters poll showed it went from 11 to 22 percent in one week.
    "Kanye West must have some power because you probably have saw I doubled my African-American poll numbers," Trump said. "Thank you, Kanye!"
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  6. #6
    MW is offline
    Senior Member MW's Avatar
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    Maybe this is true and I hope it is. However, I think it would be a serious mistake to underestimate the anger level of the liberal snowflakes. I except a large turnout among Democrat voters .... it's just my hope that the Republicans can somehow overcome a large liberal turnout with one of their own. My advice, don't feel comfortable and don't let up!
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