Thread: PA Sen Poll: 'Staggering' Specter Numbers

October 14th, 2009
PA Sen Poll: 'Staggering' Specter Numbers

A new Susquehanna poll finds that only 31% of Pennsylvania voters think Sen. Arlen Specter (D-Pa.) deserves to be re-elected, a "staggering" and "near fatal" number according to pollster Jim Lee (Oct. 7-12, 700 Rv, MoE +/- 3.7%).

That's down from 38 points in February, prior to Specter's switch from the Republican Party.

Among Democrats, 45% say it's time for someone else to represent the state in the Senate instead of the five-term senator

Specter still leads his Democratic primary challenger, Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Pa.), by 28 points, but is running even with his general election opponent, former Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Specter 44
Sestak 16
Und 22

Specter leads by 20.2 points in the RCP Average in the Democratic Primary

Specter 42
Toomey 41
Und 12

Specter leads by 0.2 of a point in the RCP Average for the General Election

In the gubernatorial election, in which term-limited Gov. Ed Rendell (D-Pa.) is barred from running, Attorney General Tom Corbett (R) leads Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-Pa.) by 36% to 13% margin in the GOP primary, with 50% undecided.

The Democratic primary was not tested.

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com ... r-numbers/

October 13th, 2009

Pennsylvania Polling Shows Specter Ahead;

Republicans lead gubernatorial race

A new poll for GrassrootsPA, performed by Dane and Associates, shows Democrat-turned-Republican-turned-Democrat Arlen Specter leading former Republican Congressman Pat Toomey by a slim 46%-43% margin.

Specter's primary challenger, Congressman Joe Sestak, leads Toomey by a somewhat stronger 43%-38% margin.

All is not bad news for Republicans (and holding a five-term incumbent to 46% is not all bad news).

Republican Attorney General Tom Corbett leads all four Democrats in the upcoming gubernatorial race, though there are many undecideds:

Corbett-Former Congressman Joe Hoeffel: 53%-37%
Corbett-Auditor General Jack Wagner: 41%-37%
Corbett-Philly Mayoral candidate Tom Knox: 44%-36%
Corbett-Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato: 44%-32%

Corbett's primary opponent, Congressman Jim Gerlach, was not tested.

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com ... rial-race/