November 19th, 2009

RGA Poll: 43% Would Re-elect Obama

CEDAR CREEK, Texas -- At its annual conference today, the Republican Governors Association released results of a poll finding that only 43 percent of voters nationally would re-elect President Obama if an election were held next month.

Slightly more -- 45 percent, say it's time for someone new in the White House, while 11 percent say it would depend on the GOP nominee.

In a subsample taken in 30 gubernatorial battleground states in 2010, 42 percent would re-elect Obama, a potentially ominous sign for Democrats looking to maintain majority control of the statehouses.

Among independent voters nationally, just 37 percent nationally would elect Obama, while 46 percent want a new president, and 17 percent say it depends on the Republican opponent.

The survey was conducted by Zogby International among 2,879 voters from November 10-12, and has a margin of error of +/- 1.9%.

A subsample of 1,471 voters who voted in last year's presidential election and plan to vote in the midterms was conducted in states that Cook Political Report deems to have a competitive gubernatorial races.

Though a potential warning sign for Obama's political health nationally, one should not necessarily read these numbers as a potential bellwether for 2010 without seeing state-by-state numbers.

Still, the RGA says the 42 percent figure mirrors results in Virginia and New Jersey, where Republicans won races earlier this month.

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com ... ect-obama/