Race42012
by Matt Coulter

Poll Watch: Florida Republican Primary (War Room Logistics)
War Room Logistics Florida Primary
http://race42012.com/2011/10/03/poll-wa ... logistics/

Romney – 28.2% (25.0)
Cain – 23.7% (4.9)
Gingrich – 9.8% (8.7)
Perry – 9.1% (24.7)
Bachmann – 3.4% (5.2)
Paul – 3.4% (7.5)
Huntsman – 1.8% (2.4)
Santorum – 0.5% (0.9)
Undecided – 20.1% (20.6)

General Election Matchups:

Obama – 47% (49)
Romney – 42% (40)

Obama – 53% (53)
Perry – 36% (36)

Survey of 1,331 likely voters was conducted September 30. Numbers from the WRL poll conducted on September 20 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Virginia General Election (Rasmussen)
http://race42012.com/2011/10/03/poll-wa ... rasmussen/

Rasmussen Reports Virginia General Election

Romney – 46%
Obama – 45%

Obama – 50%
Perry – 40%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 28.

South Carolina Primary: January 21
http://race42012.com/2011/10/03/south-c ... anuary-21/

We have another piece to the early state primary puzzle now: South Carolina GOP Chairman Chad Connelly will announce later this morning that the SC primary will be held on Saturday January 21, 2012.

This was earlier than anybody expected — the 24th or the 28th were the dates I kept hearing — and so it probably forces IA, NH, and NV at least a week earlier. New Hampshire will likely go on Tuesday January 10, putting Iowa in the first week of the year just like in 2008 — the very thing the RNC was trying to avoid with their new rules.

And so our updated calendar:

January 2 (?) – Iowa
January 10 (?) – New Hampshire
January 14 (?) – Nevada
January 21 – South Carolina
January 31 – Florida
February 7 – Colorado & Minnesota (non-binding)
February 28 – Arizona & Michigan