Thread: ALIPAC needs some help on some turnout numbers

Friends,

We need some help.

We need the number of people that voted in the Republican primaries for states that have already voted for Presidential race years of

2008, 2004, and 2000

We are trying to determine Republican voter participation levels this year compared to past Presidential election years.

Please help.

W

Can we just call or write requesting this from our state groups?
I would think they must keep some records. Or would the local town groups have that?

I wouldn't even know where to begin in acquiring this info. Any suggestions?

See if this helps. (2000, 2004)

http://elections.gmu.edu/Voter_Turnout_ ... maries.htm

It seems to break down turnout by state and party...in most cases.

Michigan:

"Moreover, the Republican turnout of 868,000 [in 2008] was far below the 1,324,000 who voted in the 2000 Michigan Republican primary."

Source link (Michael Barone is usually reliable):

http://www.usnews.com/blogs/barone/2008 ... ortem.html

WAY TO GO FLORGAL and POPULIST!!!

Some info on various states in this article but it includes the Democrat info too:

Super Turnout for Democrats

By Marie Horrigan, CQ Staff Wed Feb 6, 7:31 PM ET

Democratic voters' strong enthusiasm for their presidential contenders led to record-high numbers of primary and caucus participants for the party on Super Tuesday, while Republicans saw a spotty mix of increases and dropoffs for their own party's presidential nominating contests.


Overall yesterday, some 14.7 million voters cast Democratic ballots in the 15 states holding primary contests -- compared to just 7.1 million in the 2000 contests in the same states. Turnout for Republican contests in those same states was 8.9 million in both 2000 and this year.

While reliable turnout figures for the states that instead held caucus events Tuesday are harder to come by, anecdotal reports from Democratic Party officials strongly suggest a similar trend in those contests.

Kansas Democrats, for example, shattered turnout expectations for their caucuses Tuesday despite turbulent weather. "We couldn't be more pleased with the enthusiasm and commitment to [this] country we saw from Kansas voters this evening," state party Chairman Larry Gates said in a statement. "We are grateful to have the support of thousands of people who, despite long waits and crowded buildings, were committed to making their voices heard."

New Mexico Democratic Party Chairman Brian Colon issued a statement Tuesday assuring voters that everyone would get a chance to participate in the party's caucuses, including anyone who was in line at the caucus sites by the official closing time of 7 p.m. locally.

The primary turnout numbers, which provide for apples-to-apples comparison, are rife with examples of the Democratic surge compared to 2000, the last election year in which both parties staged competitive presidential nominating contests.

In California, slightly more voters in 2000 participated in the Super Tuesday Republican primary than in that day's Democratic contest. Yesterday's voting in the state provided a whopping contrast, with Democratic turnout in California exceeding Republican turnout by 3,994,305 to 2,248,461 (with 99 percent of precincts reporting).

In fact, Arizona Sen. John McCain won the California Republican primary yesterday with 42 percent of the vote -- but nearly the same number of raw votes that he got in 2000 when he lost the state's primary to George W. Bush with 35 percent of the vote. His vote total yesterday was more than 700,000 fewer than Illinois Sen. Barack Obama got while finishing a fairly distant second in the Democratic contest to New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Oklahoma Democrats reported slightly more than 400,000 voters turned out Tuesday to participate in the primary, up from 302,000 Democrats in the 2004 presidential primary. Republicans reported turnout of 320,000 for their contest on Tuesday.

Both parties crashed through earlier records in Alabama, Connecticut, Georgia and Utah on Super Tuesday, but even in some of those states, the Democratic gains were bigger. Despite the fact that Georgia has stood out as a state where Republicans have continued to gain even as their party has slumped nationally in recent years, Democratic turnout for yesterday's primary slightly exceeded Republican turnout, 1,046,453 to 954,442 (with 99 percent reporting).

This trend was established early on, as Democratic voters reported higher levels of interest and enthusiasm heading into the elections. A Gallup Poll released Jan. 22 found that more than half of all Democrats described themselves as either "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting for president while three out of five said they were more enthusiastic about voting than usual. These findings were exclusive to Democrats -- the survey found the highest ever partisan gap on enthusiasm. While 64 percent of Democrats said they were extremely or very enthusiastic about voting, only 52 percent of Republicans answered the same way.

Ronald Walters, director of the African American Leadership Center at the University of Maryland, said Obama drew new voters among the ranks of independents and young voters, but added that Democratic turnout was boosted across the board because of the compelling nature of the both of the party's front-running candidates. Each is seeking to make history, Obama as the first African-American president and Clinton as the first woman president. Obama embodies the call for change that Walters said clearly was made in the 2006 elections, and both he and Clinton have "very formidable pull on their constituency."

Democrats also have an expectation of victory heading in to the election, Walters said. Democrats "feel that they are on the ascendency, that they're in sync with the mood of the American people, that they have the more attractive candidates, and therefore it counts for them to turn out and to help make this decision about who the nominee is going to be."

The Obama phenomenon explains a significant amount of the increased turnout on the Democratic side, said James Thurber, director of the Center for Congressional and Presidential Studies at American University in Washington, D.C.

"When people get excited and it's competitive, they get emotionally connected with a candidate as they have with Obama, it mobilizes people and they turnout at higher levels," Thurber said.

There is no doubt that Obama's message of change has resonated with young voters and independents, driving them to the polls, he said. But once they were mobilized, competition from Clinton's camp further increased turnout across the board. Clinton, meanwhile, energized women voters and older voters and performed well among Hispanics, who turned out in record numbers Tuesday.

There were indications of the turnout trend to come by late last year, when respondents to Democratic presidential preference polls expressed greater satisfaction with and enthusiasm for their candidate choices than Republican respondents did concerning theirs. The turnout disparity was already evident in New Hampshire on Jan. 8, when Democrats drew 287,304 voters and Republicans drew 238,935.

Republicans saw uneven turnout Tuesday night, with boosted participation tied to specific interest groups. Sharp increases in turnout between 2000 and Super Tuesday 2008 in Alabama, Arkansas and Tennessee can be attributed to high turnout among social conservatives and evangelicals, who helped push former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee to wins in those three states, according to Thurber.

Likewise in Utah, increased interest in the Republican contest among Mormons was behind the three-fold increase in participation among Republican voters, Thurber said. GOP turnout jumped from 91,000 in 2000 to 285,000 on Super Tuesday in Utah, a state with a significant Mormon population that former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who is Mormon, won with an overwhelming 90 percent of the vote.

But states such as New York and Massachusetts, with strong and highly mobilized Democratic populations, saw drops in Republican turnout between 2000 and 2008, with a lackluster response from GOP voters to their less competitive races in those states, Thurber said. Romney was expected to win his home state, and McCain had been leading in the polls in New York for weeks, even before former New York City Rudy Giuliani dropped out of the race in late January.

When both parties held Super Tuesday primaries in New York in 2000, the Bush-McCain Republican contest outdrew the Democratic contest between Vice President Al Gore and former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley by more than 2 to 1 (nearly 2.2 million to just less than 975,000). Democratic turnout yesterday exceeded that in the GOP by nearly 3 to 1 (1.7 million to just more than 600,000). The 310,502 votes McCain had yesterday in winning New York with 51 percent was less than a third of the vote (937,655) he got in losing the state to Bush in 2000.

CQ Politics Editor Bob Benenson contributed to this report.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/cq/20080207/pl_ ... ics2666767

2000 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS

http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2000/2000presprim.htm#FL

Voter turnout for Republicans was very low compared to Dems, but we don't have Obama with the halo...

14 million Dems voted, Repubs ~ 8 million

Conservatives did not vote and McNasty knows it!!!

W, do you need this broken down by state?