Thread: Quinnipiac: Trump, Clinton Lead in Pennsylvania

Wednesday, April 6, 2016 07:09 AM
By: Sandy Fitzgerald

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are in the lead for Pennsylvania's April 26 primary, but state voters believe Ohio Gov. John Kasich, who trails far behind in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, is the only Republican who can defeat either Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders or Clinton in potential head-to-head matchups, a new Quinnipiac University poll finds.

According to the poll for the key swing state, which will hold its primary elections on April 26:

Republicans:

Trump, 39 percent;

Cruz, 30 percent;

Kasich, 24 percent.

Democrats:

Clinton: 50 percent;

Sanders, 44 percent.

In the head-to-head general election matchups:

Kasich over Clinton 51 - 35 percent;

Kasich over Sanders 46 - 40 percent;

Clinton over Trump, 45 - 42 percent;

Clinton ties Cruz 43 - 43 percent;

Sanders tops Trump 48 - 40 percent;

Sanders beats Cruz 46 - 38 percent.

Seven percent of Republicans are undecided, but 27 percent said they may still change their minds before the primary election. With Democrats, six percent were undecided, and 22 percent said they may change their minds.

In subgroup results:

Tea Party: 55 percent, Cruz; 34 percent, Trump; 7 percent, Kasich;

White Evangelicals: Cruz, 49 percent; Trump, 29 percent; Kasich, 19 percent;

"Very conservative" Republicans: 50 percent, Cruz; 29 percent, Trump; 15 percent, Kasich;

"Somewhat conservative": 44 percent, Trump; 23 percent each for Cruz and Kasich;

"Moderate/liberal": 45 percent, Trump; 35 percent, Kasich; 14 percent, Cruz.

Men: Trump, 45 percent; Cruz, 32 percent; Kasich, 18 percent;

Women: Trump, 33 percent; Kasich, 30 percent; Cruz, 28 percent.

In favorability ratings:

Kasich: 49 - 17 percent favorable;

Sanders: 49 - 37 percent favorable;

Trump: 32 - 60 percent negative;

Clinton: 35 - 59 percent negative;

Cruz: 32 - 50 percent negative.

The poll was conducted from March 30 - April 4 of 1,737 Pennsylvania voters, with an overall margin of error of 2.4 percentage points. It included 578 likely Republican primary voters, with a margin of error of 4.1 points, and 514 likely Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error of 4.3 points.

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/Trum.../06/id/722491/

I don't think the Clinton and Sanders versus Trump or other candidates can be relied upon because too much of it is anti-Trump votes like what we saw in Wisconsin which won't be the reality once the general election campaign begins.

Only the Philadelphia area is majority democrat, other counties are rural & republican