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12-30-2007, 02:31 PM #1
Rasmussen Poll
Sunday, December 30, 2007
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For the first time all year, Arizona Senator John McCain finds himself on top with support from 17% of Likely Republican Primary Voters. In the muddled GOP race, McCain becomes the third person to top the poll this month and the fourth since October. But his lead is statistically insignificant--Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are just a point behind at 16% and Rudy Giuliani is two points back at 15%. Slightly off the pace, but still within five points of McCain, is Fred Thompson at 12%. Ron Paul retains his base support at 7%.
One of the more amazing things about the Republican race this year is that it has grown closer and closer over time (see recent daily numbers). In a poll with a four-percentage point margin of error, the fact that five candidates are within five points means there is absolutely no national frontrunner. Adding to the uncertainty is the fact that 13% of Likely Primary Voters remain undecided.
Data from RasmussenMarkets.com suggest that Giuliani has a 29.6 % chance of winning the Republican nomination, Mitt Romney 24.6 %, John McCain 19.9 %, Mike Huckabee 12.4 %, and Fred Thompson 3.5 %. However, those numbers are likely to shift dramatically as results come in from the upcoming Iowa Caucuses and New Hampshire Primaries.
The race in Iowa remains very close with virtually all polls showing a toss-up between Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney. Robert Novak reports that Huckabee may be slipping a bit.
The battle for third place in Iowa is equally important. Fred Thompson needs to finish third to have any hope of continuing his campaign. For John McCain, a third place finish could boost his chances for winning in New Hampshire. The Rasmussen Markets currently suggest that Huckabee has a 48.0 % chance to win in Iowa while Romney is at 54.9 %. Other results are provided on the Rasmussen Markets Summary page.
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12-30-2007, 02:34 PM #2
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Just saw this on another site
and its likely to change another 6 times in the coming weeks
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12-30-2007, 03:36 PM #3
They must be letting the Democrats vote for McCain again.
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Laura Loomer - Woke up this morning to a @nytimes article...
03-27-2024, 11:36 PM in General Discussion