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10-31-2016, 06:22 AM #1
Trump Shrinks Clinton Lead to 1% in IBD/TIPP Poll
Clinton Vs. Trump: IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll
IBD STAFF
5:16 AM ET
The IBD/TIPP poll — a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) — has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.
The latest results for the IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll will be released each morning by 6 a.m. ET.
Day 13 Results: Oct. 31
Clinton's Lead Shrinks To 1 Point As Voters React To The FBI's Email Bombshell — IBD/TIPP Poll
Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump has all but disappeared since the email scandal exploded on the scene Friday. She currently holds a 1-point lead — 45% to 44% — in a four-way race, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. Just two days ago, Clinton's lead over Trump had reached 4 points.
Support for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson continues to ebb as the election nears, with his support dropping to just 4%. Green Party candidate Jill Stein is at 2%.
In a two-way matchup that excludes Johnson and Stein, Clinton's lead over Trump is now less than 2 points — 45.1% to 43.4%. (The unrounded numbers for the four-way race have Clinton at 44.7%, Trump at 43.7%, Johnson at 4.2%, and Stein at 2.3%.)
The FBI's bombshell announcement on Friday is clearly driving a shift in voter sentiment. The IBD/TIPP poll, for example, has consistently shown that regardless of whom they intended to vote for, more than half thought Clinton would win the election. The latest results, however, show that just 49% now say that. And Trump's share of the independent vote jumped from 41% on Saturday to 48% today.
The IBD/TIPP results comes as other national polls show the race tightening significantly. Clinton's lead in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll plunged from 12 points to 1 point in just five days.
As of Sunday night, the Real Clear Politics average had Clinton ahead by 3.4 points in a four-way matchup, and 4.3 points in a two-way race.
The latest IBD/TIPP poll included 993 likely voters, giving it a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points. The results are based on a weighted sample of 390 Democrats, 319 Republicans and 268 Independent or "other" voters.
Results based on survey of 993 likely voters conducted from 10/25 - 10/30. Margin of error: +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party identification breakdown:(Unweighted) 309 Democrats/357 Republicans/312 Independents; (Weighted) 390/319/268. Results in table above are based on weighted sample. IBD's polling partner TechnoMetrica uses "traditional" telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.
http://www.investors.com/politics/cl...ail-bombshell/
http://www.investors.com/politics/ib...election-poll/Last edited by Judy; 10-31-2016 at 06:27 AM.
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10-31-2016, 10:53 AM #2
Then if we go by the bias polls Trump must be way ahead with the curve they seem to always throw Hellery!
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