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Latest NH Republican and Democratic Poll Results
October 8, 2015

Businessman Donald J. Trump continues to dominate the New Hampshire’s GOP field four months before its first-in-the-nation primary, according to an Oct. 5-6, 2015 Gravis Insights poll of 662 Republican voters. Democratic questions had a sample size of 373.

“The New Hampshire numbers are interesting, when you consider Trump’s performance in other states,” said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based polling company that conducted the poll. The poll carries a 4 percent margin of error for Republican questions and a 5 percent margin of error for Democratic questions.

Kaplan said, “In Iowa and nationally, Trump is leveling off or weakening, but in New Hampshire his support is solidly more than 30 percent and it has been for a long time.”

Trump is the choice of 32 percent of respondents, he said.Following Trump are surgeon Ben Carson, 13 percent; Ohio Gov. John Kasich, 10 percent; Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, 8 percent and businesswoman Carly Fiorina, 8 percent, he said.

Pre-Trump frontrunner former Florida Gov. John E. “Jeb” Bush sits just below 8 percent, he said. “There is a cluster at fourth, fifth and sixth.” Bush and Rubio are interesting, too, he said.

“Rubio has not had a bad news cycle for six months, but he is not passing Carson or coming close to Trump,” Kaplan said. “Bush has been attacked for six months, and he is still hanging in there. We believe with his money and organization, he is in the race for delegates and the long haul.”

Cruz at 5 percent is also positioned for the long haul, he said. “Cruz’s support has an intensity similar to Ron Paul’s and his ground game is fantastic,” he said.

Cont. in link with charts and graphs.