Thread: Huckabee Stumbles and McCain Surges

Huckabee Stumbles and McCain Surges
Friday, January 4, 2008 8:31 AM
By: Michael Reagan

Although Mike Huckabee once suddenly leaped into the lead in the Republican primary contests, he began to drop back just as suddenly as the New Hampshire contest approached.

On the other hand, John McCain — once considered all-but-finished — has reportedly now surged ahead in New Hampshire and is showing signs that he could go all the way to the nomination.

Why these developments have surprised a lot of the so-called experts is puzzling. There are solid reasons for the sudden turnabout vis-Ã*-vis Huckabee vs. McCain, and close observers should have seen them coming.

Everybody agrees that Huckabee's strength comes from the evangelical Christians. This Baptist minister loudly proclaims his Christian faith at every whistle stop, and the evangelicals eat it up. It is the reason why he came to the forefront in Iowa and it will be the reason for his downfall in New Hampshire and the rest of the primaries.

What few seem to realize is that his entire campaign rests on his strength among the evangelical Republican voters in Iowa, where they are a majority. Without this advantage elsewhere, he has nothing left in his quiver. He is a single-issue man, and once his faith — the only arrow he has — is no longer sought, he will have nothing else to offer but his quips, his ready wit, and his Clinton-like charm.

Huckabee has become the Tom Trancredo of the evangelical Christian vote in Iowa. Trancredo was a one-issue candidate. If you asked him about anything he brought it back to immigration. You cannot win the presidency being a one-issue candidate.

By going after the evangelical vote in Iowa, he has made himself a one-issue candidate. Voters no longer think of him as the former governor of Arkansas, but rather as the Baptist minister running for president.

Moreover, he has revealed a shocking ignorance about foreign policy and national-security issues, showing himself totally unprepared to grapple with matters such as the assassination of Benazir Bhutto, the kind of event a president must be prepared to confront at a moment's notice.

When voters think about God they think about Mike Huckabee; when they think about the economy or foreign policy they think about other candidates.

John McCain is surging because when voters sit back and look at the field of candidates, out of all of them he's the only one in the Republican upper tier who is consistent. He is consistent in a field of GOP candidates who appear to be inconsistent from one year to the next, and from one decade to the next, on issues important to this campaign.

He's his own man and he's the only adult in the field who has shown consistency. You always know where he stands, You may not agree with his positions on immigration or campaign financing, but he leaves no doubt about his positions on those issues.

John McCain is a man of great courage, in-your-face honesty, and gravitas. He stands out among the leading candidates who seem to be one way today and another way tomorrow. John McCain has been the same yesterday, is the same today, and you know he will be the same tomorrow.

That's what the voters are looking for and this is why we are seeing this movement to John McCain in New Hampshire and other states.
http://www.newsmax.com/reagan/huckabee_ ... 61736.html

John McCain supports amnesty and opposes tax cuts among other problems. He's been poking a stick in the eyes of conservatives for years. He stands out, IMO, as a typical Washington insider who has been inside the beltway way too long.

What is going on here is , Americans have short memories, they forgot about MCCains slid into oblivion on the illegal immigration issue...he is a smooth talker, he was a prisoner of war, so people feel sorry for him and believe because he was, he has the ability to handle Iraq.

Since he keeps saying he has seen the light, people do not want anything done until the border is secure... so his stand now is (Secure the border and then give amnesty, this is what the citizens want,) the man is clueless but all people are hearing is (people want the border secure before we deal with the rest) they are not picking up on the anmesty....take my work for and now he is climbing in the polls. Don't underestimate McCain, believe me people do forgive and forget way to easy, this is why we have so many of the same politicians in congress over and over for decades.

Yup, people's memories are short, so we'll have to remind them.

Hugh Hewitt just said, and I agree, that if Huckabee or McCain win there is NO way the border will be secured; in fact we could count on open borders! One of the reasons why the MSM is pushing him big time.

I respect the fact McCain was a POW, but c'mon, his policies are terrible! And he has lots of quetionable things in his background that the MSM gives him a pass on.

Michael's article is right on. We'll see if Romney can turn it out in the next few days. He has to get a little more charismatic in his delivery like he did talking about Rollins wanted to knock his teeth out and his response was "just don't touch the hair."

If he can show decisive positions and articulate them without being so cautious I think he will do better.

Has anybody noticed that Huckster kinda looks like a squirrel?
Something about his eyes . . . is very squirrelly, or maybe more like a rat.

Some pundit should draw a caricature of him.