Thread: Is McCain Making a Move? - 3 Polls 11/01/08

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Is McCain Making a Move?

Obama 49.1%, McCain 44.1%
Released: 11-01-2008

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UTICA, New York -- Republican John McCain made a small gain against Democrat Barack Obama and has pulled back within the margin of error, now trailing Obama by five points, 49.1% to 44.1%, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.

Almost two days worth of the polling -- or about half of the current sample in the three-day rolling poll of likely voters nationwide, was conducted after Obama's 30-minute commercial aired Wednesday evening. There is no evidence it helped him, as he has dropped 1.1 points in the last two days, while McCain has gained 0.8 points during the same period.

Pollster John Zogby: "Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all. "Obama's lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama's good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on."


From MichNews.com
"News Central"
"ZOGBY:MCCAIN MOVES INTO LEAD 48-47 IN ONE DAY POLLING...."
http://www.michnews.com

The base is going to the polls. Conservative Chirstians are still the majority and who do you think they will vote for?

Dixie

In CA there is Prop 8 - which is about the definition of Marriage - allows marriages for gays or NOT.

The last time a Prop like this came to the polls the voters of CA voted it down, and said "marriage is between a man and a women".

Based on current polls - it looks to be going in the same direction again.

The voters are especially mad because after they voted the last time, the "left" courts in San Fran said that it was "discriminatory" and so allowed gay marriages.

This has really "energized" the Republicans and the Regan Democrats more than usual, and they anticipate huge crowds going to the polls to vote on this issue alone.

Of course many of these conservative leaning voters will then vote for McCain because he is much more like them than Obama.

I think the votes in CA are going to be much closer than is thought, as anger at the "liberal courts" are pushing voters to the polls who might not have bothered otherwise.

After what happened on Prop 187 against illegal aliens, voters in CA hate it when they vote one way and then the courts tell them they don't count.

That is the fastest way, I know in CA to get voters to the polls - tell them they don't count.

cjbl,
See "Billionaires Put Their Agendas to a Vote", Los Angeles Times, November 1, 2008: http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me ... 1563.story