Thread: Washington Post-ABC News Poll

Washington Post-ABC News Poll
Wednesday, Decemeber 5, 2007
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone November 29-December 3, 2007, among a random sample of 592 New Hampshire adults likely to vote in the Democratic primary. The results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. Are you registered to vote in New Hampshire at your present address, or not?
Yes No No opinion
12/3/07 91 8 *


1a. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) Are you registered (as a Democrat), (as a Republican), or (undeclared)?
Democrat Republican Undeclared No opinion
12/3/07 53 0 47 0


1/1a NET
------------Registered------------
Democrat Republican Undeclared Not Registered No opinion
12/3/07 48 0 43 8 *



2. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential campaign: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ----- ---- Not closely ----- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion
12/3/07 91 46 45 9 7 2 0



3. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG DEMOCRAT) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Certain Probably Chances Less than Will not No
to vote vote 50/50 50/50 attend (vol.) opinion
12/3/07 100 0 0 0 0 0



5. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG UNDECLARED) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in one of the New Hampshire presidential primaries in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that??
Certain Probably Chances Less than Will not No
to vote vote 50/50 50/50 attend (vol.) opinion
12/3/07 100 0 0 0 0 0



5a. (FOR SCREEENING PURPOSES, IF NOT REGISTERED) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will register and vote in one of the New Hampshire presidential primaries in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Certain Probably Chances Less than Will not No
to vote vote 50/50 50/50 attend (vol.) opinion
12/3/07 100 0 0 0 0 0


6. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG UNDECLARED OR NOT REG BUT WILL) If the primaries were being held today, would you vote in the (Democratic primary) or the (Republican primary)?
Democratic primary Republican primary No opinion
12/3/07 100 0 0


7. If the Democratic primary were being held today, and the candidates were: (Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, and Mike Gravel), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE:

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 35
Barack Obama 29
John Edwards 17
Bill Richardson 10
Dennis Kucinich 3
Joe Biden 2
Chris Dodd 1
Mike Gravel 0
None of these (vol.) 1
Other (vol.) *
No opinion 3


8. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (NAME), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?
ALL CANDIDATES COMBINED:
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
12/3/07 44 51 26 24 5

12/3/07 - Summary Table

Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
Hillary Clinton 53 42 17 26 5
John Edwards 41 58 29 29 1
Barack Obama 41 52 31 21 6
*Sample size too small for other candidates.



9. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) How enthusiastic are you about voting for (NAMED CANDIDATE) - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
ALL CANDIDATES COMBINED:

--- Enthusiastic -- ---- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opinion
12/3/07 94 46 48 6 6 1 1

12/3/07 - Summary Table

--- Enthusiastic -- ---- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opinion
Hillary Clinton 98 57 41 2 2 0 0
John Edwards 94 44 50 5 5 0 1
Barack Obama 90 37 53 9 8 1 *
*Sample size too small for other candidates.



10. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?
NET LEANED VOTE:

12/3/07
Barack Obama 26
John Edwards 21
Hillary Clinton 20
Bill Richardson 10
Joe Biden 3
Dennis Kucinich 3
Chris Dodd 1
Mike Gravel 0
Other (vol.) 3
None of these (vol.) 7
No opinion 5


First choice/Second choice NET

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 54
Barack Obama 53
John Edwards 36
Bill Richardson 19
Joe Biden 5
Dennis Kucinich 5
Chris Dodd 2
Mike Gravel 0
Other (vol.) 3
None of these (vol.) 8
No opinion 8


11. What is the single most important issue in your choice for the Democratic candidate for president?
12/3/07
Iraq/War in Iraq 26
Health care 23
Economy/Jobs 8
Education 8
Environment 3
Taxes 3
Immigration/Illegal
immigration 2
Terrorism/National security 1
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption
in government 1
Morals/Family values 1
Federal budget deficit 1
Global warming 1
Social Security 1
Foreign policy 1
Iran/Situation in Iran 1
Guns/Gun control 1
Abortion *
Housing/Mortgages *
Energy/Ethanol *
None/Nothing 4
Other 5
No opinion 7

11/11a NET: Top two important issues combined.

12/3/07
Health care 51
Iraq/War in Iraq 49
Economy/Jobs 16
Education 12
Environment 6
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption
in government 5
Immigration/Illegal
immigration 5
Foreign policy 4
Taxes 4
Terrorism/National security 3
Morals/Family values 2
Federal budget deficit 2
Global warming 2
Social Security 2
Iran/Situation in Iran 1
Energy/Ethanol 1
Guns/Gun control 1
Abortion *
Housing/Mortgages *
None/Nothing *
Other 14
No opinion 3



12. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Democratic candidates do you think (ITEM) - (Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, or Mike Gravel)?
12/3/07 - Summary Table

Other/None/
Clinton Edwards Obama Richardson No opinion
a. is the strongest leader 47 11 20 7 15
b. best understands the
problems of people
like you 28 20 24 7 20
c. is the most honest and
trustworthy 21 17 29 9 23
d. has the best experience
to be president 48 11 9 13 19
e. has campaigned the
hardest in New Hampshire 39 14 22 1 23
f. has the best chance of
getting elected president
in November 2008 54 12 22 2 10
g. would do the most to bring
needed change to Washington 31 15 31 8 15
h. is the most inspiring 23 14 47 4 11

Trend:

a. is the strongest leader

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 47
Barack Obama 20
John Edwards 11
Bill Richardson 7
Joe Biden 4
Dennis Kucinich 1
Chris Dodd *
Mike Gravel 0
All of them 1
None of them 2
No opinion 7

b. best understands the problems of people like you

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 28
Barack Obama 24
John Edwards 20
Bill Richardson 7
Dennis Kucinich 4
Joe Biden 1
Chris Dodd 1
Mike Gravel *
All of them 2
None of them 6
No opinion 6

c. is the most honest and trustworthy

12/3/07
Barack Obama 29
Hillary Clinton 21
John Edwards 17
Bill Richardson 9
Dennis Kucinich 6
Joe Biden 2
Chris Dodd 1
Mike Gravel *
All of them 2
None of them 6
No opinion 5

d. has the best experience to be president

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 48
Bill Richardson 13
John Edwards 11
Barack Obama 9
Joe Biden 6
Chris Dodd 2
Dennis Kucinich *
Mike Gravel 0
All of them *
None of them 3
No opinion 7

e. has campaigned the hardest in New Hampshire

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 39
Barack Obama 22
John Edwards 14
Bill Richardson 1
Dennis Kucinich 1
Joe Biden *
Chris Dodd *
Mike Gravel 0
All of them 7
None of them 1
No opinion 14

f. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 54
Barack Obama 22
John Edwards 12
Bill Richardson 2
Joe Biden *
Chris Dodd 0
Dennis Kucinich 0
Mike Gravel 0
All of them 1
None of them 1
No opinion 9

g. would do the most to bring needed change to Washington

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 31
Barack Obama 31
John Edwards 15
Bill Richardson 8
Dennis Kucinich 4
Joe Biden 1
Chris Dodd *
Mike Gravel 0
All of them 1
None of them 3
No opinion 6

h. is the most inspiring

12/3/07
Barack Obama 47
Hillary Clinton 23
John Edwards 14
Bill Richardson 4
Dennis Kucinich 3
Joe Biden 1
Chris Dodd *
Mike Gravel 0
All of them *
None of them 4
No opinion 3




13. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?
12/3/07 - Summary Table

Other/None/
Clinton Edwards Obama Richardson No opinion
a. The economy 38 16 21 8 17
b. Health care 45 22 18 3 11
c. Social Security 36 14 19 4 27
d. Immigration issues 24 14 22 16 25
e. The situation in Iraq 31 14 25 10 20
f. The federal budget
deficit 36 14 19 8 24
g. The U.S. campaign
against terrorism 32 13 21 11 23

a. The economy

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 38
Barack Obama 21
John Edwards 16
Bill Richardson 8
Joe Biden 2
Dennis Kucinich 2
Chris Dodd *
Mike Gravel *
All of them 2
None of them 4
No opinion 7

b. Health care

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 45
John Edwards 22
Barack Obama 18
Bill Richardson 3
Dennis Kucinich 3
Joe Biden 1
Chris Dodd *
Mike Gravel *
All of them 1
None of them 2
No opinion 5

c. Social Security

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 36
Barack Obama 19
John Edwards 14
Bill Richardson 4
Joe Biden 2
Dennis Kucinich 2
Chris Dodd 1
Mike Gravel 0
All of them 2
None of them 6
No opinion 13

d. Immigration issues

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 24
Barack Obama 22
Bill Richardson 16
John Edwards 14
Dennis Kucinich 3
Joe Biden 2
Chris Dodd 1
Mike Gravel 0
All of them 1
None of them 6
No opinion 12

e. The situation in Iraq

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 31
Barack Obama 25
John Edwards 14
Bill Richardson 10
Joe Biden 4
Dennis Kucinich 2
Chris Dodd *
Mike Gravel 0
All of them 2
None of them 5
No opinion 6

f. The federal budget deficit

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 36
Barack Obama 19
John Edwards 14
Bill Richardson 8
Dennis Kucinich 3
Joe Biden 2
Chris Dodd *
Mike Gravel *
All of them 2
None of them 6
No opinion 10

g. The U.S. campaign against terrorism

12/3/07
Hillary Clinton 32
Barack Obama 21
John Edwards 13
Bill Richardson 11
Joe Biden 5
Dennis Kucinich 2
Chris Dodd *
Mike Gravel 0
All of them 2
None of them 3
No opinion 10



14. Regardless of who you may support, do you think (NAME) is or is not willing enough to say what [he/she] really thinks about the issues?
12/3/07 - Summary Table

Is Is not No opinion
a. Hillary Clinton 55 41 5
b. Barack Obama 78 18 4
c. John Edwards 71 22 6



15. Does the fact that Clinton would be the first woman president make you (more) likely to vote for her, (less) likely to vote for her, or doesn't it make a difference in your vote?
More Less No difference No opinion
12/3/07 19 3 78 *


16. So far in the Democratic campaign, have you (ITEM)?
12/3/07 - Summary Table

Yes No No opin.
a. been called on the telephone by any of the campaigns 74 26 *
b. attended a campaign event 35 65 0
c. yourself personally spoken with or shaken the hand of
any of the Democratic candidates or not 17 83 0

Trend where available: December 2003 comparisons to Pew Research Center New Hampshire Democratic primary poll.

a. been called on the telephone by any of the campaigns

Yes No No opinion
12/3/07 74 26 *
12/1/03 55 44 1

b. attended a campaign event

Yes No No opinion
12/3/07 35 65 0
12/1/03 18 82 0

c. yourself personally spoken with or shaken the hand of any of the Democratic candidates or not

Yes No No opinion
12/3/07 17 83 0


17. (IF MET CANDIDATE, Q16C) Who'd you meet?
12/3/07
John Edwards 47
Barack Obama 45
Hillary Clinton 39
Bill Richardson 22
Chris Dodd 13
Dennis Kucinich 12
Joe Biden 7
Mike Gravel 0
Other 1
No opinion 1

16c/17 NET:
12/3/07
Have met candidate NET 17
John Edwards 8
Barack Obama 7
Hillary Clinton 6
Bill Richardson 4
Chris Dodd 2
Dennis Kucinich 2
Joe Biden 1
Mike Gravel 0
Other *
No opinion *
Have not met candidate 83
No opinion 0


18. How much weight will you give the outcome of the Iowa caucuses in your final decision who to support here in New Hampshire - will you give it a great deal of weight, a good amount, just some or little-or-none?
--- Great deal/Good amount --- --- Some/Little or none --- No
NET Great deal Good amount NET Some Little or none opin.
12/3/07 11 5 7 88 16 71 1



19. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?
Strength and New direction Both Neither No
experience and new ideas (vol.) (vol.) opinion
12/3/07 37 53 9 1 *



20. Which best describes your family's financial situation? Do you feel as if you (are getting ahead financially), have just enough money to maintain your standard of living, or (are falling behind financially)?
Getting Just enough Falling No
ahead to maintain behind opinion
12/3/07 22 58 20 1



21. Do you favor or oppose stricter gun control laws in this country? Is that strongly or somewhat favor/oppose?
--------- Favor --------- --------- Oppose -------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
12/3/07 71 51 20 25 11 14 4



22. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
------ Legal ------ ----- Illegal -----
All Most Most All No
NET cases cases NET cases cases opinion
12/3/07 82 38 43 14 10 4 4



23. Have you voted in any previous New Hampshire presidential primary, or will this be your first time voting in a New Hampshire primary?
Have voted First primary No opinion
12/3/07 90 10 *


***END***


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According to this poll, there are NO registered Republicans in New Hampshire.

Um, skewed poll anyone?