Thread: 25 predictions for 2012 - 2015 (plus five things that won't happen)

Part 1 of 24 predictions for 2012-2015



25 predictions for 2012 - 2015 (plus five things that won't happen)

Wednesday, January 04, 2012
by Mike Adams, the Health Ranger
Editor of NaturalNews.com (See all articles...)


NaturalNews) I've been posting predictions each year for the last three years, usually with a 3-year window. In 2010, I posted a list of 36 predictions for 2010 - 2012, many of which have already come true, including:

• U.S. debt to be downgraded (this happened in 2011, much to everyone's surprise). (http://www.naturalnews.com/033253_S...)

• Increasingly radicalized weather patterns: 2011 was a year of very radical weather (http://www.onearth.org/article/top-...).

• War on health freedom ramps up, targeting raw milk (the FDA targeted Rawesome Foods in 2011, making it the biggest raw milk raid in history) (http://www.naturalnews.com/033220_R...)

• New attempts made to destroy internet freedoms (SOPA act introduced in 2011, a total internet censorship law). (http://www.naturalnews.com/034407_a...)

These predictions were made nearly two years ago. Of course, many predictions on that list did not come true, and some may yet come true in 2012 (http://www.naturalnews.com/028167_p...).

In 2011, I wrote another round of predictions about 2011 - 2012 (http://www.naturalnews.com/030903_p...). These include:

• New attacks on internet freedom (SOPA act happened in 2011)

• Rapid rises in food prices (now widely reported as happening throughout 2011)

• Acceleration of the economic downfall of America, along with possible debt downgrades (already happened).

• Within a generation, many of the people raised on GMOs and vaccines will discover they are giving birth to mutants or not able to have children at all. (Infertility is already on the rise, and more evidence of this will emerge in the years ahead...)

25 new predictions for 2012 - 2015
Carrying on with this new year tradition, here's a new round of predictions for 2012 and beyond. Before you read these, keep in mind that while these are primarily "negative" predictions, there will always be a positive backlash in terms of the awakening of the People who need to be shaken back to reality in order to do three things:
1) Realize what's coming.
2) Take precautions to get through it.
3) Play a constructive role in the rebuilding of society and the advancement of human civilization.

Despite what you read here, I am an optimist for 2012 and beyond. In fact, I recently wrote about 2012 being the "Year of Consciousness" in which all the economic collapse events, the wars, the loss of freedoms and other similar events will only accelerate the awakening that's necessary for global change to occur. (http://www.naturalnews.com/034554_c...)

So as you read these predictions, keep in mind that for every negative action, there is an equal and opposite positive backlash (reaction) that must follow. In the end, those who honor freedom, liberty, the protection of life and the sacredness of the divine will be victorious against the dark servants of destruction, deception and greed.

#1 - The European Union breaks apart - the financial strain will not be bearable, and even though both the ECB and the Federal Reserve will try to bail out the debt of major banks, they will be unable to cover the tens of trillions in bad debt, and several global banks will fail, followed by the partial or complete breakup of the EU itself. Germany, tired of carrying the debt of nations like Greece, will lead the way back to national sovereignty and away from the EU.

#2 - Israel attacks Iran, then blames Iran - This event will almost certainly be justified based on fabricated intel or false flag events that drag the USA and much of the western world into this conflict. Expect this to happen as early as October, 2012, just in time to prop up Obama for the U.S. Presidential election. Expect tactical, low-yield nuclear weapons to be used in this war.

#3 - Oil prices briefly surpass $200 a barrel - Due to the war on Iran, oil prices will briefly spike above $200 / barrel, sending shockwaves across the U.S. economy and causing food prices to rapidly rise.

#4 - Social unrest spreads across America - expect a record increase in mall riots, street fights, city protests and general thuggishness across America as the out-of-work masses become increasingly perturbed.

#5 - A new crime wave sweeps across western nations as unemployed, desperate men turn to stealing and looting to put food on the table. Expect to see record thefts of metals such as copper, and watch as the attacks increasingly target previously unthinkable targets such as churches, hospitals and nursing homes.

#6 - Gun sales beat all previous records - Sales of firearms were already sky-high in 2011, thanks to Obama's clever attacks on the Second Amendment (Operation Fast & Furious, pulled off by Eric Holder). In one day alone, Black Friday, a whopping 129,000 firearms were sold across America. Daily gun sales will continue to escalate all through 2012, and I predict that we will see a whopping 20 million guns sold across America in calendar 2012. Most of these sales will be to "preppers" -- people who realize something's coming down and want to protect themselves and their families against the inevitable rise of armed looters. Remember, these are gun sales to legal owners who are going through proper background checks and legally acquiring firearms for self defense.

#7 - Gold prices break through $2500 / ounce - At first, gold prices will likely fall in 2012. This will happen as the EU financial system implodes, causing a rush into dollars and a corresponding fall in gold prices. But this will be short-lived, and gold will then trend all the way to $2500 / ounce (or beyond). Once the U.S. dollar starts getting hammered in a global debt breakdown (which might still take several years to occur), expect gold to head into the stratosphere, possibly $5,000 / ounce or more.

#8 - Real unemployment exceeds Great Depression era levels - Expect real unemployment in America to hit 25% or even higher. It's already at 22% if you count unemployment the old-fashioned way (i.e. what percentage of adults are out of work) instead of playing statistical smoke and mirrors like the paperwork weasels in Washington. I think we'll actually see unemployment hitting 30% or higher following the global debt collapse (which may still take several years more to fully unravel).

#9 - The collapse of food pollinators continues - The collapse of both honeybee and bat populations will continue to decline as the world is poisoned with cell phone towers, chemical pesticides and GMOs. This, in turn, will decrease food production capacity and cause food prices to rise even further. Scientists will continue to study the issue, but political pressure from chemical pesticide manufacturers will suppress the real science and try to deflect blame away from pesticides.

#10 - Major bank failures rock the world - Expect to see a major bank such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, or Wells Fargo to go belly-up as its debt burden becomes unbearable. The Fed, of course, will try to bail out these banks with new money creation, but some of these banks have tens of trillions of dollars in debt. That's too large for the Fed to just print up.

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Part 2 of 25 predictions for 2012-2015
#11 - FDIC goes bankrupt - Following the failure of a major FDIC-insured bank (see above), the FDIC will be immediately bankrupt, requiring a huge bailout effort from Washington. This could quickly cascade into bank run fears that cause the government to order bank holidays until the panic eases. A bank holiday is a fancy way for the government to stage bank closings so that you can't get your money out. By the time they reopen the banks, most of your money will be history.

#12 - The rise of the real media (alternative media) - The real media (i.e. the alternative media) will explode in popularity in 2012 and beyond as more and more people wake up to the reality that mainstream media is purely fabricated news served up for the sole purpose of keeping people brainwashed, hypnotized, and buying more stuff that will kill them (sodas, prescription medications, toxic personal care products, etc.). NaturalNews.com, which is heading toward 4 million unique visitors a month, will surge to 5 or 6 million.

#13 - Local Sheriffs and police rage against the machine - Led by patriots such as Sheriff Richard Mack, more local sheriffs and police are going to assert their Constitutional rights against federal tyranny. This may result in clashes or even armed standoffs between the feds and local law enforcement.

#14 - US troops refuse to fire on Americans - Thanks to Obama's signing of the NDAA, you can eventually expect US troops to operate on American soil (http://www.naturalnews.com/034537_N...). Many of those troops, however, will refuse to arrest or fire upon American citizens.

#15 - There is a small chance of a military coup in America as the U.S. military gets totally fed up with the criminals in Washington who lie to them, send them into battle and then deny them health care benefits when they return as veterans. Although this is a relatively small chance right now, it would increase substantially if the President orders U.S. troops to arrest and fire upon American citizens on the streets of America. This is more of a 5-10 year prediction, actually.

#16 - Mainstream media desperately tries to smear Ron Paul - This prediction is a no-brainer, of course. Ron Paul will be viciously and repeatedly attacked through the use of completely fabricated mainstream media lies. This is all part of the last-ditch effort to keep Ron Paul out of the White House, where he would start dismantling Big Government, the military industrial complex, and even the FDA.

#17 - The TSA will stage a terror event in order to justify its own existence - Under fire for molesting travelers and strip-searching elderly women in wheelchairs, the TSA is looking hard for some way to justify its own existence (and expand its budget, of course). This will culminate in a TSA-run false flag attack on U.S. soil, involving numerous fatalities. As the TSA wants to expand its authority to train stations, bus stations and stadiums, you can fully expect such an attach to prioritize those targets.

The most likely place to stage an attack is either a bus station or a stadium, and the likely mode of attack will be a chemical weapon (poison gas, like happened in Japan's subway attacks) or an explosive device. While overall the FBI is staffed with honorable men and women, certain rogue elements of the FBI may also be involved in plotting these attacks, as they have already plotted numerous "terrorism" attacks and even supplies the weapons to the terrorists! (http://www.naturalnews.com/034325_F...)

#18 - The next pandemic will be spread by scientists working for the vaccine manufacturers - This sounds like a bold prediction, I realize, but there is significant evidence pointing in this direction. For example, Baxter got caught shipping vaccines containing live viruses (http://www.naturalnews.com/025760.html), and the IOM has now openly admitted that measles vaccines actually cause the measles (http://www.naturalnews.com/033447_I...). Vaccines, it turns out, are the perfect way to infect the population with a pandemic resulting in the fearful masses seek out more vaccines! (Gee, talk about repeat business...)

And, of course, there is a long, long history of vaccine manufacturers using human beings as guinea pigs for medical experiments (http://www.naturalnews.com/019189.html), so have no illusions about their total lack of ethics and human compassion. They will murder a child with a smile on their face if it makes them an extra dollar in profits.

#19 - Fukushima will produce another massive radiation release as the reactor buildings suffer structural failures. This could easily be initiated by another earthquake, tidal wave or hurricane. It could also happen just by wind, rain and gravity. Once it happens, the media will try to downplay the incident, claiming the radiation release is inconsequential. Even now, recently released scientific data says that 14,000 deaths in America can be attributed to Fukushima radiation.

#20 - (Wildcard) Ron Paul drops the Republican party and runs as a libertarian, where he ends up splitting the vote among those on the right, and ultimately putting Obama back in the White House for another four years.

#21 - The U.S. government will stage an online hacking attack against a hospital or other critical institution such as a nuclear power plant or air traffic control system. The point of all this will be to blame it on "internet terrorists" and crack down on internet freedom. It's just like 9/11 and the Patriot Act, but this time they're targeting the internet.

#22 - Martial Law will be declared in America - Regardless of who gets elected President in 2012, expect Martial Law to be eventually declared in America as the economic downturn really hits home and waves of disgruntled masses take to the streets, wondering why all their money disappeared (the bankster crooks at the Fed and Goldman Sachs stole it, they will discover). This will lead to prediction #22...

#23 - Economic collapse will lead to FEMA camps cranking up - As the economic unraveling of the world reaches the shores of the USA (which technically may take beyond 2015 to fully unravel), the FEMA camps will transition to full operation. Masses of the "new homeless" will be rounded up under martial law and relocated to those camps, which will be advertised as "refugee camps." At first, these camps may focus on providing food, shelter and medical care to the new class of economic refugees in America. But before long, they may be twisted by tyrants into something more like concentration camps.

#24 - A false flag terror attack will attempt to place blame on veterans or farmers - This is all part of the effort to turn farmers into suspected criminals because they are too self-reliant according to those who demand centralized control over the masses. Veterans are also a threat to the controllers because veterans know how to use rifles and they know the difference between fighting for freedom vs. fighting for the political interests a bunch of self-serving tyrants and politicians.


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#25 - The rise of ANONYMOUS as a global force to be reckoned with. Anonymous, which is really a network of online activists who despise government censorship and the military industrial complex, recently hacked STRATFOR, a military intelligence hub, and released tens of thousands of documents, passwords and credit card numbers onto the 'net. This is just one small example of what Anonymous is truly capable of doing, and in 2012 - 2015, you can expect Anonymous to carry out many more such acts of "hactivism" against the dishonest corporations, war-mongering industries and any institution that tries to enslave the masses while threatening liberty.

As explained on Wikipedia:

Anonymous has no leader or controlling party and relies on the collective power of its individual participants acting in such a way that the net effect benefits the group. "Anyone who wants to can be Anonymous and work toward a set of goals..." a member of Anonymous explained to the Baltimore City Paper. "We have this agenda that we all agree on and we all coordinate and act, but all act independently toward it, without any want for recognition. We just want to get something that we feel is important done..."

The Big Unknown
In addition to those 25 predictions, there's always The Big Unknown. Something really big seems likely to happen in 2012 - 2015 that's so far out of left field that nobody could foresee it. We're talking game-changing big, such as (perhaps) the invention of a bonafide free energy device, or contact with a non-human civilization from another planet. Maybe it's a the invention of a new microscope device that can see bioenergy, or perhaps the planet gets struck by an asteroid, sending tidal waves crashing into the coasts of every continent.

Many people feel something big is going to happen in 2012, and while I don't think it has anything to do with the Mayan calendar (see below), I do agree that the world beyond 2012 will be changed in profound ways due to some game-changing events (either positive or negative). Hopefully such events will be found in the realm of either consciousness or the sciences, where innovation results in real breakthroughs that help humanity live in greater harmony with each other and with the planet. See my article on consciousness here:
http://www.naturalnews.com/034554_c...

Five things that will NOT happen in 2012 - 2015
#1 - The world will not end on December 21, 2012. The Mayan calendar holds no special sway over the physics of the universe. We'll all still be here on December 22nd, probably realizing we have yet to get our Christmas shopping done.

#2 - There will not be any sustained economic rebound. The depression is only going to get worse over the next three years, and the money supply will become even further diluted by the Fed's money creation addiction. By 2015, unemployment will be far worse than it was in 2010 or 2011.

#3 - The U.S. government will not protect you from terrorism. Any apparent terrorism that actually happens will be little more than fabricated theater. Yes, the fatalities may be real, but the terrorists aren't brown men from the Middle East. They're fat white guys in Washington who are trying to hold on to power by scaring people into compliance.

#4 - The U.S. dollar will not hold its value. The money you're currently earning and saving will be worth less and less over the next three years. While it may seem like it's holding value compared to European currencies (which are themselves on the verge of collapse), in reality your U.S. dollars have less and less purchasing power each day.

#5 - The Biblical Rapture will not occur. Those who literally claim the Rapture will take place and all good people will vanish from the planet while the bad ones are "left behind" will be sorely disappointed. This is just the Christian version of the New Age Mayan prophecy of the world ending, often combined with the idea that those who are spiritually awakened will be transported to a higher plane of existence. In reality, we're all right here on planet Earth where we are going to have to actually solve our problems rather than magically escaping them through some supernatural exit.


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Mish 2012 Predictions; 2011 Year in Review with Max Keiser

Shortly before Christmas I did a video discussion of 2011 with Max Keiser with a look-ahead to a few ideas for 2012.



Link if video does not play: On the Edge with Mish Shedlock

Part of the discussion was a recap of some of my call for 2011 as noted in Mish 2011 Predictions Review

Looking ahead to 2102, I see a continuation of the same themes, but a few new ideas as well.

Ten Themes for 2012

Severe European Recession as the sovereign debt crisis escalates: Austerity measures in Italy, Greece, Spain, and Portugal plunges all of Europe into a major recession. Spain and Portugal will follow Greece into an outright depression.

Political Crisis in Europe: French President Sarkozy loses to socialist challenger Francois Hollande. German Chancellor Angela Merkel's coalition collapses. The Merkozy agreement is either modified to do virtually nothing or is not ratified at all. This chain of events will not be good for European equities or European bonds.

Relatively Minor US Economic Recession: The US will not avoid a recession in 2012. Retail spending ran its course with the tail-off into Christmas of 2011. The Republican Congress has little incentive for fiscal stimulus measures in 2012 so do not expect any. However, with housing already limping along the bottom in terms of construction and investment (not prices), a US GDP decline will not be severe. The US may see a recession even if GDP barely drops. Certainly the US recession will be far less severe than the recession in Europe and Australia.

Major Profit Recession in US: Profit margins in the US will be torn to shreds as businesses will be unable to reduce costs the same way they did in 2008 and 2009 (by shedding massive numbers of employees).

Global Equity Prices Under Huge Pressure: Don't expect the same degree of reverse decoupling of US equities we saw in 2011. The US economy will be better than Europe, but equities globally will take a hit, including the US. Simply put, stocks are not cheap.

Fiscal Crisis in Japan Comes to Forefront: Japan's fiscal crisis and debt to the tune of 200+% of GDP finally matters. The crisis in Japan will start out as a whimper not a bang, but will worsen as the year wears on. If Japan responds by monetizing debt, not a remote possibility at all, Japanese equities will massively outperform in nominal and perhaps even in real terms. "Real" means "yen-adjusted", not "inflation-adjusted" terms.

Few Hiding Spots Other than the US Dollar: US treasuries and German bonds were safe havens in 2011, but with yields already depressed don't expect huge gains. Expect to see a strengthening of the US dollar across the board against all major currencies. Moreover, cash (one the most despised asset classes ever), may outperform nearly everything, even if the dollar goes virtually nowhere. Hiding places will be few and far between for much of 2012.

US Public Union Pension Plans Under Attack: States finally realize the need to rein in pension plans much to the dismay of public unions. Social and economic tensions in the US rise.

Regime Change in China has Major Ramifications: China will start a major shift from a growth model dependent on housing and infrastructure to a consumer-driven model. The transition will not be smooth. Property prices in China will collapse and commodity prices will remain under pressure.

Hyperinflation Calls Once Again Will Look Laughable: Unless there is a major disruption in the Mideast (which I do not rule out by any means), oil prices will drop and food prices will follow. If so, we will once again see silly talk from the Fed about preventing "unwelcome drops in inflation". As always, the deflation key is not prices at all but rather credit and credit marked-to-market. Expect credit in all forms to come under attack and expect junk bonds take a hit as well. By the way, regardless of what happens to oil prices, hyperinflation calls will look silly.

Addendum:

2011-12-30
Several people have asked me to comment on precious metals. I also wanted to mention trade wars and energy.

Trade Wars

Expect Global Trade Wars: Look for tit-for-tat trade wars to heat up in 2012 as noted previously in China to Impose Anti-Dumping Duties on GM; "Fair Trade" Idea is Self-Serving Scam; Proposal to Stop "Free Sunlight" Gains Support From Mitt Romney. Should Mitt Romney win the election, expect global trade to collapse in 2013. Trade wars will not be good for equity prices.

US Election

US Political Roadmap: If President Obama dumps Joe Biden for Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential candidate as Robert Reich suggests in My Political Prediction for 2012: It’s Obama-Clinton, Obama will win re-election unless the Republican candidate is specifically Ron Paul. Clearly this is not an endorsement of Obama, it is a prediction. Some mistook my 2008 prediction for Obama as an endorsement. It wasn't. I wrote in Ron Paul in 2008 and will do so again unless he is the nominee. If Ron Paul is the Republican nominee I think Paul would draw enough crossover votes from independents and Democrats who are sick of war and big government to win. If it's Obama-Biden vs. Newt Gingrich or Mitt Romney then it's too close to call.

Energy

Oil is a wildcard. My prediction is cooler heads prevail. However, the election is 11 months away and that is a lot of time for someone to get carried away. The odds the US initiates an attack on Iran under Ron Paul are virtually zero. Unfortunately the same cannot be said for any of the other major candidates. Should the US or Israel attack Iran (I do not believe the US will), then the price of crude will quickly skyrocket by $50 or more. Such an oil shock would immediately send the entire global economy into a severe recession.

Precious Metals

Precious Metals Roadmap: What follows is more of an approach than a prediction. Gold remains a much safer play than silver, something I have said for years. Technically silver is flirting with a breakdown of major support at $27. If that low does not hold, a decline to the low-to-mid $20's is likely (something I said earlier this year when silver was near $50). I have no target for gold. The longer the US holds off quantitative easing and the ECB lets the sovereign debt crisis simmer without action, the bigger the potential drop in precious metals. Moreover, silver is likely to take a bigger hit than gold (percentage-wise) in a recession or global slowdown because silver is an industrial commodity and Chinese demand for industrial commodities is poised to plunge. Both gold and silver are more likely to be weaker earlier in the year as opposed to the second half given the Bernanke Fed does not look to launch QE3 any time soon. If the stock market and energy prices plunge in the first half of 2012, Bernanke will be more inclined to launch another QE program and that would be beneficial to precious metals.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
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