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10-18-2021, 05:06 PM #1
Columnist: Dems Are Doomed If Polling Is Right
"DEMS ARE DOOMED"
Columnist: Dems Are Doomed If Polling Is Right
By Jacob Palmieri - October 18, 2021
Biden’s presidency is tanking and quick.
Earlier today Trump released a statement citing just how bad the Democrats’ political outlook is for 2022 and 2024.
Liz Harrington
@realLizUSA
ICYMI: "If Polls Are Right, Dems Are Doomed. If They're Wrong, It's Worse"
https://realclearpolitics.com/articles/2021/10/11/if_polls_are_right_dems_are_doomed_if_theyre_wrong _its_worse_146544.html?utm_medium=email&utm_source =ncl_amplify&utm_campaign=20211018-icymi_if_polls_are_right_dems_are_doomed_if_theyre _wrong_its_worse&utm_content=ncl-JxYJxwsKBV&_nlid=JxYJxwsKBV&_nsid=7060dd2e-8642-4ef4-9bc7-4860b42de436…
10:27 AM · Oct 18, 2021
From Real Clear Politics:Trump previously issued a warning to Republicans telling them that they must focus on election integrity to ensure no election steal happens again.
In less than three months, President Biden’s approval rating has tumbled from a remarkable position in a polarized nation to the lowest of all but two presidents since 1945. Democrats are panicked though refusing to course-correct, hoping the pandemic will retreat, the economy will rebound, and their agenda will pass through Congress and turn out to be popular down the line.
The standing of the party with voters, at this time, isn’t in doubt. It’s awful. Biden’s average job approval rating on July 20 was 52.4% in the RealClearPolitics average before tanking precipitously and taking the party’s fortunes with him as the delta variant surged and American troops withdrew from Afghanistan in a deadly and tragic exit. RCP currently has him at 43.3%. His approval in Gallup has dropped 13 points since June, six points in this last month. The latest Quinnipiac University poll had Biden’s approval/disapproval at 38/53, down four points in three weeks. Specific findings on leadership questions were dreadful, with Biden’s numbers falling since April by nine points on the question of whether he cares about average Americans, seven points on whether he is honest, and nine points on whether he has good leadership skills.
…
Even if their polling was good, Democrats face fierce headwinds next year: historical trends that favor the party out of power in the midterms in a president’s first term, a fragile four-seat margin in the House and no margin in the Senate, all of which can easily erase their congressional majorities, and redistricting maps that favor the GOP. In addition, the party is facing new liabilities in voter registration — it has lost registered voters in critical states in considerable numbers. The Hill reported registration is down for Democrats since 2019 in Florida by more than 200,000, in North Carolina by more than 135,000, and in Pennsylvania by more than 200,000. Democrats have seen marginal increases in party registration in Arizona and New Hampshire.
Yet while Democrats are bracing themselves for a wipeout at the ballot box next year, they may not know the true extent of their loss of support among voters. Polling before last year’s election, in which Biden only prevailed by fewer than 43,000 votes in three swing states, was the least accurate in 40 years.
Trump Warns Republicans–GOP Voters Won’t Vote If Election Issues Aren’t Fixed
Trump Warns Republicans–GOP Voters Won’t Vote If Election Issues Aren’t Fixed
ThePalmieriReport
Columnist: Dems Are Doomed If Polling Is Right (thepalmierireport.com)
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