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  1. #1
    Senior Member carolinamtnwoman's Avatar
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    Drywall can corrode US-China links

    Drywall can corrode US-China links


    By Benjamin A Shobert
    Asia Times
    Dec 2, 2009


    Horror stories of Chinese-made products laden with unforeseen quality problems have been in ample supply in recent years. But the recent problems with Chinese drywall - panels used to create interior walls - are different and more symbolically potent problems for US-China relations than those posed by tainted dog food or lead-laced toys.

    Drywall panels are made of crushed material sandwiched between two thick sheets of paper. [1] The Chinese product appears to be damaging sensitive household electronics, corroding domestic heating and ventilation systems and copper tubing, as well as causing health problems for homeowners where it has been installed.

    The American home, long an idealized version of what it means to achieve the American dream, has had a rough couple of years; beset by mortgage defaults, foreclosures, and plummeting real estate values, what once seemed to embody the most American of values now seems more burden than reward.

    Into this volatile mix steps the problems with Chinese-made drywall, which manages in one fell swoop to bring together growing American frustration with low-quality Chinese goods and anger at the pressure of what it means right now to be a homeowner in America.

    Just as the Japanese economic threat in the 1980s found its symbolic potency when the success of Japanese carmakers over their US counterparts was taken to indicate supremacy of the Japanese economy in its entirety, so too might the Chinese drywall generate a similar critical mass as the connecting fiber between two very dynamic and dangerous cross-currents within the US.

    The Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC), tasked by the US government to determine the extent of the problem with Chinese-made drywall, stated in its most recent report, published on November 23: "We now can show a strong association between homes with the problem drywall and the levels of hydrogen sulfide in those homes and corrosion of metals in those homes."

    This causal relationship confirms what has long been speculated, that imported drywall from China, specifically products brought in from 2001 to 2007, emits a gas that is damaging for any number of materials, with a particular proclivity towards copper. Last week, the CPSC also released two more detailed and technically augmented status reports, one on "HVAC, Gas Distribution and Fire Safety Equipment Installed in Homes with Chinese Drywall"; the other an "Analysis of Electrical Components Installed in Homes with Chinese Drywall."

    The lengthy titles should not distract from the potentially damaging findings each is respectively tasked to evaluate: the first looks at components such as "flexible connectors and copper piping" which route gas through the interior of a home. Obviously, corrosion from drywall in this case could lead to the build-up of gas that is toxic, flammable and can result in explosions.

    The first preliminary report did not find corrosion in lab testing beyond what would be generally expected; however, the same report did find corrosion from actual samples taken from Chinese drywall environments that is consistent with exposure to hydrogen sulfide. These two points will be evaluated in further detail in the coming months, with particular emphasis on how longer-term exposure will impact the copper components in gas distribution and fire safety.

    The second report offered much in the same way of conclusions: actual samples taken from homes with Chinese drywall showed corrosion on copper wires. Additionally, data released in late October from the Interagency Task Force on Chinese Drywall state that in chamber studies, " ... higher emissions of total volatile sulfur gases from Chinese than from non-Chinese drywall" were found.

    Cumulatively, the picture is now almost complete, and it appears inevitable that Chinese drywall will be proven to be the common link to a host of seemingly random electronic failures and personal health hazards, all intimately and unmistakably issues that take place within the American homestead.

    It remains unclear how many homes are impacted by the unacceptable Chinese drywall. Most of 2,100 homeowners who have complained of health and other problems that might be related to drywall live in Florida or Louisiana, where imported material was used in reconstruction after hurricanes in 2004 and 2005, according to a Bloomberg report this month. Various sources suggest the number affected could be several times larger. It is likely that the full size and scope of the problem may not be clear until a root cause can be identified.

    As of now, the CPSC's findings have been focused on quantitatively determining whether a problem exists that can be definitely linked to Chinese drywall. Once that is done, the task will shift and it will become necessary to identify what caused the problem, so the necessary tracing can be done from Chinese factories to US homes.

    Finding the root cause will not be easy: theories range from a tainted water source at the originating manufacturing site, to the possibility that mined versus synthetic gypsum, used in the filing of the panel "sandwich", was used (the latter having a lower level of strontium, which is a highly reactive element), or that the drywall was unknowingly damaged in transit, possibly absorbing sea water while being shipped.

    The best-case scenario, at least from China's perspective, is that the problem can be identified as limited to a discrete group of material.

    As is always the case in China, the process of identifying what caused the problem will be overseen by a government eager to limit its negative press, and is likely to quickly assign blame. Unfortunately, and especially if the root problem is found to be related to polluted water or another environmental concern, Beijing may be especially unresponsive.

    It is here that the process is likely to have its most ugly and unfortunate outcomes: the ability to connect damages owed to American homeowners to Chinese drywall companies is infinitely small.

    While it would be an interesting and possibly superb strategic and public relations move on the part of the Chinese government to establish some sort of settlement fund (with monies provided by the offending Chinese companies as directed by the government in Beijing) to compensate American homeowners for their losses, this is an unlikely outcome.

    Consequently, Americans will seek recourse at two venues: their insurers and their builders. It is all but inevitable that the financial liabilities imposed by faulty Chinese drywall will drive many builders out of business. Earlier this year, a Virginia construction company was ordered to tear out Chinese drywall from a hotel that was a little over a week from being opened. A host of legislation is developing in anticipation of similar issues, ranging from the Drywall Safety Act of 2009 to a series of state-specific actions being pursued by legislature in states most severely impacted by this problem.

    As the CPSC studies continue, the full geographic exposure and the number of homes built with bad installed drywall will come to be understood, but it appears the majority of those affected are homes built in Florida, Louisiana and Virginia.

    Assuming builders will not be able to shoulder the burden of paying homeowners the cost of replacing their home's wiring, electronics and drywall, the next logical place for compensation to be pursued will be homeowner insurance companies, a realization that is already driving many insurance companies to begin excluding these claims pre-emptively. The trend, at least thus far, has been for insurance companies to stipulate that problems related to Chinese drywall are pollution exclusions and are not claimable.

    The ramifications from this problem are only now beginning to become obvious. The historic economic justification of pursuing lower-cost, but at times admittedly lower-quality products, from China is under attack. This is not necessarily because China can no longer offer a compelling price advantage, but because even the most aggressive of entrepreneurs has to begin to think more broadly about potentially unforeseen problems that could significantly increase the total cost of doing business with a Chinese supply base, or maybe even put him out of business entirely.

    Companies that have operated successfully in China have always been those that are actively involved in their supply chain, many that have deliberately elected to no longer manufacture a particular part of their product line but that managed to transfer their process and product expertise to competent companies in China, and actively managed their quality and compliance with industry standards, viewing this as an ongoing and perpetual commitment to high-quality production.

    Battlelines are already being drawn with regards to this problem and what it does, or does not, say about China's modernization. In all likelihood, findings of actual malice may never be found on the part of anyone. The drywall issue may be, in the surest use of the phrase, a mistake born of unintended consequences.

    However, three main points are likely to be drawn from this experience: first, problems such as these continue to show what happens when portable industrialization, the ability for whole industries to relocate into emerging economies because technology allows them to, outstrips the new host country's management aptitude and culture, or ability to fully internalize the expectations of their export economies.

    Yes, technology has made it possible to fast-forward economies into the modern age as never before; but science absent understanding can ultimately be counter-productive, and it is a legitimate criticism of China's growth that quality problems like those seen in this drywall problem, exhibit some disconnect in this area.

    Second, issues like this change the entrepreneurial calculus that has motivated many newly minted business people to go to China absent full appreciation of the risks inherent in their products or markets. One of the beauties of doing business in China has been the ease with which new products can come to market: tooling costs are lower, unit prices are more attractive, and fewer questions about quality standards get asked. The focus is on cost, cost and cost.

    But doing business in China requires more sensitivity to up-stream concerns than many businesses appreciate, as the Chinese drywall problem illustrates.

    Third, this experience has an impact not only on Americans - consumers and business people - but also on Chinese, in particular the businessmen and women who own the companies selling into North America. As the American economy has faltered, Chinese businesses have looked within their own borders like never before, with the need to find domestic consumers and develop unique domestic products as a means of replacing the increasingly soft demand from their once vibrant export economies. As quality crisis after crisis piles up, many Chinese businesses are beginning to wrestle with how best to grow their own companies.

    Yes, exports will always be a critical part of their business, but selling within their own borders - the expectations they understand, the customers they know, the distribution channels the already play in, the quality standards they can easily adapt to - are beginning to look more and more attractive.

    A too-close focus in the United States on how these quality defects impact people there can lead to the US forgetting that the Chinese are also watching and wrestling with where they can be most successful with limited resources.

    It should come as no surprise if the Chinese drywall crisis prompts not only increasing frustrations of American consumers with Chinese products, but a dampening on how Chinese businesses view the opportunities of selling into, and supporting the needs of, more developed economies.

    Note
    1. Drywall is known by many names, including gypsum board, plasterboard and wallboard. In homes around the world, it is used to form interior walls and ceilings. Drywall is manufactured by placing gypsum, a very soft mineral, between two sheets of paper, then drying it in a kiln.

    http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China_Busi ... 2Cb01.html

  2. #2

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    Sounds like a gigantic lawsuit, knock that debt down a few hundred billion!

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